UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar — Primera División
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Estadio Héroes de San Ramón·Cajamarca·Peru·18,000
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UTC Cajamarca and FBC Melgar meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 23 October 2026. UTC Cajamarca have recorded 7 wins from 35 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. FBC Melgar have won 43% of their 37 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.24 for FBC Melgar. The models give UTC Cajamarca a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an FBC Melgar win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
UTC Cajamarca—
FBC Melgar13º
Position
5º
1.06
PPG
1.65
24%
Win %
47%
1.24
Goals / game
1.71
1.53
Conceded / game
1.18
66%
BTTS %
65%
14%
Clean sheet %
30%
54%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.2
Avg corners
5.1
12.3
Avg shots
14.9
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.6
Avg fouls
9.7
49.9%
Avg possession
55.0%
Home vs Away
UTC Cajamarca
Home (8)
—
FBC Melgar
Away (8)
1.25
PPG
1.13
25%
Win %
25%
1.13
Goals / game
1.25
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
65%
BTTS %
68%
24%
Clean sheet %
21%
47%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.2
Avg corners
5.1
12.3
Avg shots
14.9
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.9%
Avg possession
55.0%
Goals Scored
| UTC Cajamarca | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 76% | 72% | 84% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 35% | 44% | 51% | 67% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 12% | 6% | 22% | 28% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 24% | 28% | 16% | 11% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| UTC Cajamarca | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 76% | 94% | 70% | 61% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 35% | 72% | 24% | 22% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 12% | 28% | 16% | 11% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 24% | 6% | 30% | 39% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UTC Cajamarca | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 66% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UTC Cajamarca | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
UTC Cajamarca (H)L
Sporting Cristal0–1
Sporting Cristal0–1L
Juan Pablo II College1–2
Juan Pablo II College1–2L
Universitario2–4
Universitario2–4L
Comerciantes Unidos1–3
Comerciantes Unidos1–3D
ADT1–1
ADT1–1D
UCV Moquegua0–0
UCV Moquegua0–0FBC Melgar (A)DUniversitario2–2
Universitario2–2W
Cusco1–0
Cusco1–0L
Atletico Grau0–1
Atletico Grau0–1W
Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0DUCV Moquegua0–0
UCV Moquegua0–0W
Cienciano3–1
Cienciano3–1Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
8.8
257 games
9.3
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | UTC Cajamarca | FBC Melgar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 48% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 37% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 3% | 17% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | UTC Cajamarca | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 72% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 66% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 40% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
5
UTC Cajamarca
23%
7
Draws
32%
10
FBC Melgar
45%
73%
Over 1.5
16/22
41%
Over 2.5
9/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
03/05/26UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
2–0UTC Cajamarca19/07/25FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
1–2FBC Melgar08/02/25UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3–0UTC Cajamarca22/10/24UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1–0UTC Cajamarca12/05/24FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
2–6FBC Melgar15/08/23UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1–1UTC Cajamarca18/03/23FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
0–0FBC Melgar29/07/22UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1–0UTC Cajamarca04/03/22FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
3–1FBC Melgar17/08/21UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
0–1UTC Cajamarca15/04/21FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
3–1FBC Melgar28/02/20FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
1–1FBC Melgar17/08/19FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
0–2FBC Melgar21/03/19UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1–1UTC Cajamarca08/11/18FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
3–0FBC Melgar17/08/18UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3–3UTC Cajamarca13/10/17FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
0–0FBC Melgar05/07/17UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
2–0UTC Cajamarca31/05/17FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
4–2FBC Melgar21/05/17UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1–0UTC Cajamarca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 62 |
| 2 | Universitario | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 53 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +18 | 50 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 46 |
| 7 | Cusco | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 44 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 10 |  Sport Huancayo | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 41 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -20 | 15 |
Team Insights
UTC Cajamarca- ●UTC Cajamarca have failed to win in their last 23 matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca have failed to win in their last 12 home matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●UTC Cajamarca have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
FBC Melgar- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of FBC Melgar's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
UTC CajamarcaLACienciano0–1
Cienciano0–1LHSporting Cristal0–1
Sporting Cristal0–1LASport Huancayo2–3
Sport Huancayo2–3LHJuan Pablo II College1–2
Juan Pablo II College1–2LAAlianza Atletico2–3
Alianza Atletico2–3LHUniversitario2–4
Universitario2–4–HFBC Melgar23/10
FBC Melgar23/10–AFC Cajamarca28/10
FC Cajamarca28/10–HDeportivo Garcilaso31/10
Deportivo Garcilaso31/10FBC MelgarWHDeportivo Garcilaso4–2
Deportivo Garcilaso4–2DAUniversitario2–2
Universitario2–2DHSport Boys1–1
Sport Boys1–1WACusco1–0
Cusco1–0WHADT3–0
ADT3–0LAAtletico Grau0–1
Atletico Grau0–1–AUTC Cajamarca23/10
UTC Cajamarca23/10–HComerciantes Unidos28/10
Comerciantes Unidos28/10–ASport Huancayo31/10
Sport Huancayo31/10Top Scorers
UTC CajamarcaM. Lliuya7 ⚽
D. Camacho7 ⚽
A. Munoz5 ⚽
M. de Jesus4 ⚽
A. Arroyo4 ⚽
D. Dioses2 ⚽
FBC MelgarJ. Vidales11 ⚽
B. Cuesta11 ⚽
N. Quagliata5 ⚽
C. Bordacahar4 ⚽
M. Zegarra3 ⚽
Bernardo Cuesta3 ⚽
Cards Given
UTC CajamarcaArquímedes Figuera10 🟨
Manuel Ganoza8 🟨
Bruno Duarte7 🟨
Joshua Cantt4 🟨
Gilmar Paredes4 🟨
A. Figuera4 🟨
FBC MelgarJuan Escobar5 🟨
Alec Deneumostier5 🟨
Walter Tandazo4 🟨
W. Tandazo4 🟨
J. De Santis3 🟨
Jesus Alcantar3 🟨