Peru · Primera División · Clausura - 13

UCV Moquegua

14º · 1.06 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 6d 23h

–

Alianza Lima

1º · 2.35 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 16h

Estadio 25 de Noviembre·Moquegua·Peru·21,000

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UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. UCV Moquegua have recorded 8 wins from 34 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Alianza Lima have won 50% of their 40 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for UCV Moquegua and 1.11 for Alianza Lima. The models give UCV Moquegua a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Alianza Lima win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

UCV Moquegua

—

Alianza Lima

14º

Position

1º

1.06

PPG

2.35

29%

Win %

71%

1.00

Goals / game

1.76

1.41

Conceded / game

0.47

38%

BTTS %

57%

29%

Clean sheet %

33%

47%

Over 2.5 %

48%

3.4

Avg corners

4.8

10.3

Avg shots

15.6

3.3

Avg shots on target

5.1

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

12.4

Avg fouls

10.9

39.8%

Avg possession

57.0%

Home vs Away

UCV Moquegua

Home (8)

—

Alianza Lima

Away (9)

1.75

PPG

2.00

50%

Win %

56%

1.63

Goals / game

0.89

1.13

Conceded / game

0.44

63%

BTTS %

60%

31%

Clean sheet %

30%

63%

Over 2.5 %

35%

3.4

Avg corners

4.8

10.3

Avg shots

15.6

3.3

Avg shots on target

5.1

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

39.8%

Avg possession

57.0%

Goals Scored

	UCV Moquegua	Home	Away	Alianza Lima	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	50%	75%	28%	85%	90%	80%
Over 1.5 Scored	26%	44%	11%	38%	55%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	6%	13%	0%	18%	30%	5%
Failed To Score	50%	25%	72%	15%	10%	20%

Goals Conceded

	UCV Moquegua	Home	Away	Alianza Lima	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	69%	72%	68%	65%	70%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	50%	50%	23%	20%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	15%	13%	17%	3%	0%	5%
Clean Sheets	29%	31%	28%	33%	35%	30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	UCV Moquegua	Alianza Lima
Over 0.5	82%	95%
Over 1.5	68%	73%
Over 2.5	47%	48%
Over 3.5	21%	18%
Over 4.5	9%	5%
BTTS	38%	57%
BTTS & Win	12%	23%
BTTS & Draw	9%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	35%	40%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	12%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	UCV Moquegua	Alianza Lima
Win 1st Half	21%	33%
Draw 1st Half	41%	45%
Loss 1st Half	38%	23%
Scored 1st Half	32%	55%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	43%
Win 2nd Half	18%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	55%
Loss 2nd Half	44%	13%
Scored 2nd Half	35%	65%
Conceded 2nd Half	56%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	68%	75%
Over 1.5 HT	24%	30%

Recent Venue Form

UCV Moquegua (H)

Cienciano0–2

Sporting Cristal1–2

Alianza Atletico1–4

Sport Boys1–1

FBC Melgar0–0

Comerciantes Unidos2–2

Alianza Lima (A)

Cusco2–1

Juan Pablo II College1–1

FBC Melgar1–1

Sport Boys1–1

Comerciantes Unidos2–2

Carlos A. Mannucci1–3

Number of Corners

8.4

Corners / Match

29 games

League Avg

8.8

257 games

7.1

Corners / Match

30 games

Match Corners	UCV Moquegua	Alianza Lima	League Avg
Over 6	83%	47%	75%
Over 7	69%	40%	67%
Over 8	34%	33%	51%
Over 9	28%	30%	41%
Over 10	21%	23%	31%
Over 11	14%	13%	21%
Over 12	10%	3%	13%
Over 13	7%	0%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	UCV Moquegua	Alianza Lima
Corners Earned / Match	3.4	4.8
Corners Against / Match	5.0	2.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	72%	73%
Over 3.5 Corners For	41%	57%
Over 4.5 Corners For	28%	43%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	90%	37%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	72%	13%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	55%	7%

Head to Head · 1 matches

UCV Moquegua

Draws

Alianza Lima

100%

Over 1.5

1/1

100%

Over 2.5

1/1

Over 3.5

0/1

100%

BTTS

1/1

03/05/26

Alianza Lima

2–1

UCV Moquegua

Primera División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	29	18	8	3	+29	62
2	Universitario	29	15	8	6	+15	53
3	FBC Melgar	29	14	8	7	+18	50
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	14	6	9	+12	48
5	Cienciano	29	14	5	10	+9	47
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	13	7	9	-8	46
7	Cusco	29	14	3	12	0	45
8	Sporting Cristal	29	13	5	11	+11	44
9	Alianza Atletico	29	12	7	10	+4	43
10	Sport Huancayo	29	12	5	12	-5	41
11	Sport Boys	29	10	8	11	-1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	10	8	11	-8	38
13	Atletico Grau	29	9	6	14	-7	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	7	10	12	-5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	7	7	15	-12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	7	7	15	-18	28
17	ADT	29	6	8	15	-14	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	29	4	8	17	-20	15

Team Insights

UCV Moquegua

●UCV Moquegua have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 3 home matches.
●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
●UCV Moquegua have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
●72% of UCV Moquegua's goals have been scored at home.

Alianza Lima

●Alianza Lima have won their last 3 matches.
●Alianza Lima have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
●Alianza Lima have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Alianza Lima have won their last 2 home matches.
●Alianza Lima have been undefeated in their last 9 away matches.
●Alianza Lima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Alianza Lima have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Alianza Lima have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Alianza Lima have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
●Alianza Lima have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
●Alianza Lima have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
●69% of Alianza Lima's goals have been scored at home.
●Alianza Lima have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.

UCV Moquegua

WAFC Cajamarca15º1–0

WAFC Cajamarca13º1–0

WAFC Cajamarca15º1–0

WAFC Cajamarca14º1–0

WAFC Cajamarca15º1–0

LHCienciano3º0–2

LHCienciano16º0–2

LHCienciano3º0–2

LHCienciano12º0–2

LHCienciano5º0–2

Alianza Lima

WHAtletico Grau16º3–1

WHAtletico Grau14º3–1

WHAtletico Grau16º3–1

WHAtletico Grau11º3–1

WHAtletico Grau13º3–1

WACusco6º2–1

WACusco9º2–1

WACusco6º2–1

WACusco9º2–1

WACusco7º2–1

Season Schedule

UCV Moquegua

FC Cajamarca1–0

Cienciano0–2

Juan Pablo II College0–4

Sporting Cristal1–2

Cusco0–2

Alianza Atletico1–4

–H

Alianza Lima25/10

–A

ADT28/10

–H

Club Deportivo Los Chankas31/10

Alianza Lima

Atletico Grau3–1

Cusco2–1

ADT2–0

Universitario1–2

Juan Pablo II College1–1

Deportivo Garcilaso0–1

–A

UCV Moquegua25/10

–A

Sporting Cristal28/10

–H

Cienciano31/10

Top Scorers

UCV Moquegua

E. Lastre9 ⚽

J. Collazos4 ⚽

Bryan Angulo4 ⚽

Y. Zapata3 ⚽

R. Chipao3 ⚽

C. Mejia2 ⚽

Alianza Lima

E. Castillo16 ⚽

Paolo Guerrero7 ⚽

R. Garces5 ⚽

A. Cantero4 ⚽

J. Velez4 ⚽

Erick Castillo3 ⚽

Cards Given

UCV Moquegua

Y. Zapata6 🟨

Yorman Zapata6 🟨

Aldair Perleche6 🟨

C. Ramirez5 🟨

Allonso Davila4 🟨

J. Lojas4 🟨

Alianza Lima

Luis Advíncula6 🟨

R. Garces5 🟨

Mateo Antoni5 🟨

Paolo Guerrero5 🟨

Renzo Garcés4 🟨

Eryc Castillo3 🟨

UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima — Primera División

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 1 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given