Universitario vs UCV Moquegua — Primera División
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Universitario and UCV Moquegua meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Universitario have recorded 18 wins from 40 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. UCV Moquegua have won 21% of their 33 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Universitario and 0.65 for UCV Moquegua. The models give Universitario a 67% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an UCV Moquegua win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Universitario | Home | Away | UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 82% | 56% | 48% | 75% | 24% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 59% | 33% | 27% | 44% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 23% | 17% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 18% | 44% | 52% | 25% | 76% |
Goals Conceded
| Universitario | Home | Away | UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 64% | 72% | 73% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 27% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 36% | 28% | 27% | 31% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Universitario | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS | 53% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Universitario | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Universitario | UCV Moquegua | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 74% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 68% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 36% | 50% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 34% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 14% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 7% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Universitario | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 66% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 37% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 57% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | +27 | 59 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 50 | |
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +14 | 48 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +16 | 47 | |
| 5 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | +1 | 45 | |
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 44 | |
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +7 | 43 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 43 | |
| 9 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 41 | |
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +1 | 38 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | -6 | 38 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -5 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 31 | |
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 28 | |
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 26 | |
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 25 | |
| 18 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -19 | 15 |
Team Insights
- ●Universitario failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Universitario have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Universitario have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Universitario failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Universitario have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Universitario failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Universitario have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●75% of UCV Moquegua's goals have been scored at home.