Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar — Primera División
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Alianza Atletico and FBC Melgar meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Alianza Atletico have recorded 18 wins from 44 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. FBC Melgar have won 43% of their 37 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Alianza Atletico and 1.12 for FBC Melgar. The models give Alianza Atletico a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an FBC Melgar win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alianza Atletico | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 77% | 73% | 84% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 23% | 51% | 67% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 32% | 9% | 22% | 28% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 23% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Alianza Atletico | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 64% | 86% | 70% | 61% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 27% | 45% | 24% | 22% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 5% | 32% | 16% | 11% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 36% | 14% | 30% | 39% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 39% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 37% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 17% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 32% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 40% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 62 | |
| 2 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 53 | |
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +18 | 50 | |
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 | |
| 5 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45 | |
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 44 | |
| 8 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 44 | |
| 9 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 43 | |
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 41 | |
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 | |
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 38 | |
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 33 | |
| 14 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 | |
| 15 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 28 | |
| 16 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 | |
| 17 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 | |
| 18 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -19 | 15 |
Team Insights
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Alianza Atletico's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of FBC Melgar's goals have been scored at home.