UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau — Primera División
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Estadio 25 de Noviembre·Moquegua·Peru·21,000
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UCV Moquegua and Atletico Grau meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 14 November 2026. UCV Moquegua have recorded 8 wins from 34 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Atletico Grau have won 30% of their 33 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for UCV Moquegua and 0.88 for Atletico Grau. The models give UCV Moquegua a 48% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico Grau win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
UCV Moquegua—
Atletico Grau14º
Position
16º
1.06
PPG
0.94
29%
Win %
24%
1.00
Goals / game
0.71
1.41
Conceded / game
1.06
38%
BTTS %
45%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
47%
Over 2.5 %
39%
3.4
Avg corners
3.9
10.3
Avg shots
11.3
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.4
Avg fouls
13.9
39.8%
Avg possession
46.7%
Home vs Away
UCV Moquegua
Home (8)
—
Atletico Grau
Away (9)
1.75
PPG
0.56
50%
Win %
11%
1.63
Goals / game
0.44
1.13
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
44%
31%
Clean sheet %
19%
63%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.4
Avg corners
3.9
10.3
Avg shots
11.3
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
39.8%
Avg possession
46.7%
Goals Scored
| UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | Atletico Grau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 28% | 61% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 44% | 11% | 24% | 29% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 24% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 25% | 72% | 39% | 29% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | Atletico Grau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 69% | 72% | 70% | 59% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 36% | 24% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 31% | 28% | 30% | 41% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UCV Moquegua | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 38% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UCV Moquegua | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
UCV Moquegua (H)L
Cienciano0–2
Cienciano0–2L
Sporting Cristal1–2
Sporting Cristal1–2L
Alianza Atletico1–4
Alianza Atletico1–4D
Sport Boys1–1
Sport Boys1–1D
FBC Melgar0–0
FBC Melgar0–0D
Comerciantes Unidos2–2
Comerciantes Unidos2–2Atletico Grau (A)L
Alianza Lima1–3
Alianza Lima1–3LSporting Cristal1–3
Sporting Cristal1–3L
Deportivo Garcilaso2–4
Deportivo Garcilaso2–4W
FC Cajamarca3–1
FC Cajamarca3–1D
Juan Pablo II College0–0
Juan Pablo II College0–0L
Sport Huancayo0–2
Sport Huancayo0–2Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
8.8
257 games
8.4
Corners / Match
31 games
| Match Corners | UCV Moquegua | Atletico Grau | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 65% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 34% | 42% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 28% | 35% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 21% | 23% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 19% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 6% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | UCV Moquegua | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 72% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 41% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 28% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 42% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
UCV Moquegua
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Atletico Grau
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
29/05/26UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
1–0UCV Moquegua| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 62 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 53 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +18 | 50 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 46 |
| 7 |  Cusco | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 44 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 41 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 |  ADT | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -20 | 15 |
Team Insights
UCV Moquegua- ●UCV Moquegua have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of UCV Moquegua's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico Grau- ●Atletico Grau have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atletico Grau failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Grau have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●74% of Atletico Grau's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
UCV MoqueguaWAFC Cajamarca1–0
FC Cajamarca1–0LHCienciano0–2
Cienciano0–2LAJuan Pablo II College0–4
Juan Pablo II College0–4LHSporting Cristal1–2
Sporting Cristal1–2LACusco0–2
Cusco0–2LHAlianza Atletico1–4
Alianza Atletico1–4–HAlianza Lima25/10
Alianza Lima25/10–AADT28/10
ADT28/10–HClub Deportivo Los Chankas31/10
Club Deportivo Los Chankas31/10Atletico GrauLAAlianza Lima1–3
Alianza Lima1–3DHClub Deportivo Los Chankas0–0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0LASporting Cristal1–3
Sporting Cristal1–3WHAlianza Atletico3–1
Alianza Atletico3–1LADeportivo Garcilaso2–4
Deportivo Garcilaso2–4WHFBC Melgar1–0
FBC Melgar1–0–HADT23/10
ADT23/10–ACienciano28/10
Cienciano28/10–HUniversitario31/10
Universitario31/10Top Scorers
UCV MoqueguaE. Lastre9 ⚽
J. Collazos4 ⚽
Bryan Angulo4 ⚽
Y. Zapata3 ⚽
R. Chipao3 ⚽
C. Mejia2 ⚽
Atletico GrauY. Ruidiaz5 ⚽
R. Ruidiaz4 ⚽
I. Tapia3 ⚽
P. Alvarez3 ⚽
Adrián Fernández3 ⚽
I. Camargo2 ⚽
Cards Given
UCV MoqueguaY. Zapata6 🟨
Yorman Zapata6 🟨
Aldair Perleche6 🟨
C. Ramirez5 🟨
Allonso Davila4 🟨
J. Lojas4 🟨
Atletico GrauIgnacio Tapia6 🟨
Rafael Guarderas5 🟨
Lucas Acevedo4 🟨
Elsar Rodas3 🟨
A. de la Cruz3 🟨
Christian Neira3 🟨