Real Cartagena vs Patriotas — Primera B
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Real Cartagena and Patriotas meet in the Primera B 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Real Cartagena have recorded 15 wins from 33 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Patriotas have won 32% of their 28 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Real Cartagena and 1.09 for Patriotas. The models give Real Cartagena a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Patriotas win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Real Cartagena—
Patriotas5º
Position
11º
1.59
PPG
1.13
41%
Win %
27%
1.53
Goals / game
0.87
1.12
Conceded / game
1.13
61%
BTTS %
57%
27%
Clean sheet %
32%
52%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Cartagena
Home (9)
—
Patriotas
Away (8)
1.78
PPG
0.38
56%
Win %
0%
2.22
Goals / game
0.63
1.56
Conceded / game
1.63
65%
BTTS %
77%
24%
Clean sheet %
8%
71%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Cartagena | Home | Away | Patriotas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 88% | 75% | 79% | 80% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 71% | 13% | 29% | 40% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 18% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 12% | 25% | 21% | 20% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Cartagena | Home | Away | Patriotas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 76% | 69% | 68% | 47% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 35% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 24% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 53% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Cartagena | Patriotas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS | 61% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Cartagena | Patriotas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Cartagena (H)L
Tigres FC0–3
Tigres FC0–3W
Bogota FC2–0
Bogota FC2–0L
Ind. Yumbo0–2
Ind. Yumbo0–2D
America de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1W
Real Santander5–1
Real Santander5–1L
Envigado2–3
Envigado2–3Patriotas (A)W
Quindio2–1
Quindio2–1L
Real Cundinamarca1–4
Real Cundinamarca1–4DReal Santander2–2
Real Santander2–2L
Llaneros1–3
Llaneros1–3D
Depor FC1–1
Depor FC1–1LEnvigado0–2
Envigado0–2Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Real Cartagena
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
Patriotas
57%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
13/04/26Real Cartagena
Patriotas
1–0Real Cartagena20/11/25Patriotas
Real Cartagena
0–1Patriotas07/11/25Real Cartagena
Patriotas
2–2Real Cartagena16/09/25Real Cartagena
Patriotas
3–1Real Cartagena17/04/25Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1–3Patriotas28/07/23Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0–0Real Cartagena09/02/23Patriotas
Real Cartagena
3–2Patriotas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 53 |
| 2 |  Internacional Palmira | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +11 | 53 |
| 3 | Quindio | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | Envigado | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 5 |  Union Magdalena | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 38 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 36 |
| 8 | Patriotas | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 |  Barranquilla | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Real Cundinamarca | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 |  Orsomarso | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Depor FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 |  Popayan | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 |  Leones FC | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -23 | 19 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
Team Insights
Real Cartagena- ●Real Cartagena have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Real Cartagena failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●66% of Real Cartagena's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Patriotas- ●Patriotas have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Patriotas have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Patriotas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Patriotas have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Patriotas failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Patriotas have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●66% of Patriotas's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Patriotas's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Patriotas's points have been earned at home.
- ●Patriotas have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real CartagenaLAInternacional Palmira1–2
Internacional Palmira1–2WAOrsomarso1–0
Orsomarso1–0LHTigres FC0–3
Tigres FC0–3WALeones FC6–1
Leones FC6–1WHBogota FC2–0
Bogota FC2–0LHInd. Yumbo0–2
Ind. Yumbo0–2–HEnvigado22/09
Envigado22/09–AUnion Magdalena30/09
Union Magdalena30/09–HPopayan03/10
Popayan03/10PatriotasLHUnion Magdalena1–2
Union Magdalena1–2WAQuindio2–1
Quindio2–1WHBarranquilla3–1
Barranquilla3–1WHTigres FC1–0
Tigres FC1–0LAReal Cundinamarca1–4
Real Cundinamarca1–4WHDepor FC2–0
Depor FC2–0–APopayan26/09
Popayan26/09–HInd. Yumbo03/10
Ind. Yumbo03/10–ABogota FC09/10
Bogota FC09/10Top Scorers
Real CartagenaF. Montero21 ⚽
M. Manotas13 ⚽
J. Aleman3 ⚽
C. Graciano2 ⚽
E. Lopez2 ⚽
A. Melendez2 ⚽
PatriotasK. Alvarez13 ⚽
J. Campana5 ⚽
F. Torres3 ⚽
M. Gomez3 ⚽
C. Copete2 ⚽
S. E. Bello Vivas1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real Cartagena26 🟨
A. Escobar9 🟨
D. Pino6 🟨
F. Montero6 🟨
L. Guevara5 🟨
J. Nieva3 🟨
Patriotas20 🟨
D. Palomeque6 🟨
F. Figueroa6 🟨
Carabali5 🟨
J. Campana5 🟨
J. Hurtado4 🟨