Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena — Primera B
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Barranquilla and Real Cartagena meet in the Primera B 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Barranquilla have recorded 10 wins from 36 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Real Cartagena have won 41% of their 37 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Barranquilla and 1.14 for Real Cartagena. The models give Barranquilla a 33% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Real Cartagena win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Barranquilla—
Real Cartagena7º
Position
5º
1.33
PPG
1.59
40%
Win %
41%
1.40
Goals / game
1.53
1.33
Conceded / game
1.12
58%
BTTS %
62%
19%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barranquilla
Home (8)
—
Real Cartagena
Away (8)
1.25
PPG
1.38
38%
Win %
25%
1.38
Goals / game
0.75
1.50
Conceded / game
0.63
56%
BTTS %
61%
28%
Clean sheet %
28%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barranquilla | Home | Away | Real Cartagena | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 78% | 72% | 81% | 84% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 44% | 39% | 43% | 68% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 22% | 28% | 19% | 16% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Barranquilla | Home | Away | Real Cartagena | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 72% | 89% | 73% | 74% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 39% | 44% | 30% | 37% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 26% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 28% | 11% | 27% | 26% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barranquilla | Real Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 16% |
| BTTS | 58% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barranquilla | Real Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Barranquilla (H)W
Quindio4–1
Quindio4–1D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1L
Real Cundinamarca0–1
Real Cundinamarca0–1L
Ind. Yumbo0–2
Ind. Yumbo0–2W
Popayan2–1
Popayan2–1D
Depor FC2–2
Depor FC2–2Real Cartagena (A)DDepor FC2–2
Depor FC2–2D
Union Magdalena1–1
Union Magdalena1–1L
Internacional Palmira1–2
Internacional Palmira1–2W
Orsomarso1–0
Orsomarso1–0W
Leones FC6–1
Leones FC6–1DReal Cundinamarca1–1
Real Cundinamarca1–1Head to Head · 35 matches
6
Barranquilla
17%
12
Draws
34%
17
Real Cartagena
49%
77%
Over 1.5
27/35
66%
Over 2.5
23/35
31%
Over 3.5
11/35
60%
BTTS
21/35
22/05/26Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
2–1Barranquilla27/04/26Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0–0Real Cartagena18/04/26Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
1–3Barranquilla10/10/25Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
3–1Real Cartagena07/09/25Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
0–0Barranquilla07/05/25Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
3–0Barranquilla29/03/25Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2–2Real Cartagena06/10/24Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
3–0Barranquilla08/09/24Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0–1Real Cartagena02/05/24Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0–1Real Cartagena26/03/24Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
1–1Barranquilla08/09/23Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0–0Real Cartagena23/07/23Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
1–2Barranquilla26/03/23Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
0–3Barranquilla03/02/23Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2–2Real Cartagena24/09/22Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2–3Real Cartagena31/08/22Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
2–2Barranquilla06/02/22Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0–2Real Cartagena11/10/21Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
3–1Barranquilla01/02/21Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
1–0Barranquilla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 60 |
| 2 |  Envigado | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +15 | 57 |
| 3 | Quindio | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | +9 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | +14 | 56 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +14 | 54 |
| 6 |  Tigres FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | +8 | 43 |
| 8 |  Bogota FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | -7 | 39 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Patriotas | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 |  Real Santander | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -25 | 21 |
Team Insights
Barranquilla- ●Barranquilla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Barranquilla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Barranquilla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Barranquilla have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Barranquilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Barranquilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Barranquilla have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Real Cartagena- ●Real Cartagena have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Real Cartagena failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Real Cartagena failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●64% of Real Cartagena's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Cartagena have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BarranquillaWHQuindio4–1
Quindio4–1DALeones FC1–1
Leones FC1–1LHReal Cundinamarca0–1
Real Cundinamarca0–1LABogota FC1–2
Bogota FC1–2LHInd. Yumbo0–2
Ind. Yumbo0–2LAPatriotas1–3
Patriotas1–3–HTigres FC17/10
Tigres FC17/10–AEnvigado20/10
Envigado20/10–HReal Cartagena24/10
Real Cartagena24/10Real CartagenaDADepor FC2–2
Depor FC2–2LHPopayan2–3
Popayan2–3DAUnion Magdalena1–1
Union Magdalena1–1DHEnvigado0–0
Envigado0–0LAInternacional Palmira1–2
Internacional Palmira1–2WAOrsomarso1–0
Orsomarso1–0–AQuindio16/10
Quindio16/10–HPatriotas19/10
Patriotas19/10–ABarranquilla24/10
Barranquilla24/10Top Scorers
BarranquillaM. Bolivar6 ⚽
P. Oviedo5 ⚽
C. Penate5 ⚽
J. Lozano5 ⚽
J. Cortez4 ⚽
4 ⚽
Real CartagenaF. Montero24 ⚽
M. Manotas13 ⚽
J. Aleman4 ⚽
C. Graciano2 ⚽
E. Lopez2 ⚽
A. Melendez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Barranquilla30 🟨
A. Orozco9 🟨
C. Penate4 🟨
E. Herazo4 🟨
F. Correa4 🟨
M. Agamez4 🟨
Real Cartagena36 🟨
A. Escobar9 🟨
D. Pino7 🟨
F. Montero6 🟨
L. Guevara5 🟨
J. Nieva3 🟨