Colombia · Primera A · Clausura - 1

Chico

18º · 0.89 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 20h

–

Atletico Nacional

1º · 2.11 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 2d 18h

Estadio de La Independencia·Tunja·Colombia·25,000

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Chico and Atletico Nacional meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Chico have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Atletico Nacional have won 64% of their 44 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 34%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Chico and 1.07 for Atletico Nacional. The models give Chico a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico Nacional win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Chico

—

Atletico Nacional

18º

Position

1º

0.89

PPG

2.11

26%

Win %

68%

0.79

Goals / game

1.84

1.68

Conceded / game

0.79

23%

BTTS %

45%

29%

Clean sheet %

34%

49%

Over 2.5 %

61%

4.1

Avg corners

5.6

9.2

Avg shots

16.4

2.9

Avg shots on target

6.1

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.6

13.4

Avg fouls

11.7

44.8%

Avg possession

58.6%

Home vs Away

Chico

Home (9)

—

Atletico Nacional

Away (10)

1.78

PPG

1.50

56%

Win %

50%

1.44

Goals / game

1.30

0.56

Conceded / game

1.20

24%

BTTS %

38%

47%

Clean sheet %

19%

41%

Over 2.5 %

62%

4.1

Avg corners

5.6

9.2

Avg shots

16.4

2.9

Avg shots on target

6.1

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.6

44.8%

Avg possession

58.6%

Goals Scored

	Chico	Home	Away	Atletico Nacional	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	43%	65%	22%	76%	92%	57%
Over 1.5 Scored	26%	41%	11%	60%	67%	52%
Over 2.5 Scored	11%	24%	0%	31%	38%	24%
Failed To Score	57%	35%	78%	24%	8%	43%

Goals Conceded

	Chico	Home	Away	Atletico Nacional	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	53%	89%	67%	54%	81%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	6%	72%	22%	17%	29%
Over 2.5 Conceded	20%	0%	39%	9%	4%	14%
Clean Sheets	29%	47%	11%	33%	46%	19%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Chico	Atletico Nacional
Over 0.5	91%	96%
Over 1.5	66%	80%
Over 2.5	49%	62%
Over 3.5	23%	24%
Over 4.5	9%	13%
BTTS	23%	47%
BTTS & Win	6%	36%
BTTS & Draw	11%	4%
BTTS & Over 2.5	17%	42%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	31%	20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Chico	Atletico Nacional
Win 1st Half	20%	36%
Draw 1st Half	43%	44%
Loss 1st Half	37%	20%
Scored 1st Half	31%	56%
Conceded 1st Half	46%	44%
Win 2nd Half	20%	53%
Draw 2nd Half	31%	24%
Loss 2nd Half	49%	22%
Scored 2nd Half	26%	60%
Conceded 2nd Half	54%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	66%	73%
Over 1.5 HT	37%	42%

Recent Venue Form

Chico (H)

Cucuta0–1

Deportivo Pasto3–0

Alianza Valledupar1–2

Independiente Medellin2–1

Once Caldas2–0

Fortaleza FC0–0

Atletico Nacional (A)

Llaneros0–2

Internacional de Bogota3–2

Alianza Valledupar5–1

Fortaleza FC2–1

America de Cali0–1

Jaguares3–0

Number of Corners

8.6

Corners / Match

31 games

League Avg

9.0

327 games

9.6

Corners / Match

37 games

Match Corners	Chico	Atletico Nacional	League Avg
Over 6	71%	86%	77%
Over 7	65%	76%	68%
Over 8	52%	65%	54%
Over 9	42%	54%	41%
Over 10	26%	32%	30%
Over 11	19%	22%	22%
Over 12	10%	14%	13%
Over 13	3%	8%	9%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Chico	Atletico Nacional
Corners Earned / Match	4.1	5.6
Corners Against / Match	4.5	4.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	65%	92%
Over 3.5 Corners For	48%	70%
Over 4.5 Corners For	35%	51%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	71%	70%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	58%	54%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	42%	41%

Head to Head · 13 matches

Chico

Draws

23%

Atletico Nacional

69%

100%

Over 1.5

13/13

62%

Over 2.5

8/13

46%

Over 3.5

6/13

69%

BTTS

9/13

17/01/26

Atletico Nacional

4–0

Chico

06/10/25

Chico

1–1

Atletico Nacional

16/04/25

Atletico Nacional

4–1

Chico

29/09/24

Atletico Nacional

6–2

Chico

17/03/24

Chico

2–1

Atletico Nacional

22/10/23

Chico

1–3

Atletico Nacional

07/05/23

Atletico Nacional

3–1

Chico

07/02/21

Atletico Nacional

2–0

Chico

12/02/20

Chico

0–3

Atletico Nacional

30/09/18

Atletico Nacional

3–2

Chico

02/04/18

Chico

1–1

Atletico Nacional

15/08/16

Chico

1–1

Atletico Nacional

05/03/16

Atletico Nacional

2–0

Chico

Primera A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	+28	55
2	Junior	26	13	5	8	+9	44
3	Deportes Tolima	24	11	7	6	+11	40
4	America de Cali	22	11	4	7	+8	37
5	Santa Fe	23	8	11	4	+11	35
6	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	+8	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	22	10	4	8	0	34
8	Deportivo Cali	20	8	6	6	+6	30
9	Independiente Medellin	20	8	5	7	+3	29
10	Internacional de Bogota	22	7	7	8	-9	28
11	Millonarios	20	7	5	8	+7	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
12	Bucaramanga	20	6	8	6	+7	26
14	Llaneros	20	5	10	5	-2	25
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	20	5	3	12	-15	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	20	1	7	12	-18	10

Team Insights

Chico

●Chico have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
●Chico failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
●Chico have lost 13 of their 16 away matches.
●84% of Chico's goals have been scored at home.
●82% of Chico's goals conceded were conceded away.
●90% of Chico's points have been earned at home.
●Chico have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Atletico Nacional

●Atletico Nacional have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Atletico Nacional have been undefeated in their last 17 home matches.
●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
●Atletico Nacional have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 19 away matches.
●Atletico Nacional have won 11 of their 19 away matches.
●74% of Atletico Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
●Atletico Nacional have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.

Chico

LHCucuta19º0–1

LHCucuta9º0–1

LHCucuta19º0–1

LHCucuta10º0–1

LHCucuta19º0–1

DADeportes Tolima6º0–0

DADeportes Tolima8º0–0

DADeportes Tolima6º0–0

DADeportes Tolima4º0–0

DADeportes Tolima3º0–0

Atletico Nacional

WHIndependiente Medellin1º3–2

DHDeportes Tolima6º0–0

DHDeportes Tolima8º0–0

DHDeportes Tolima6º0–0

DHDeportes Tolima4º0–0

DHDeportes Tolima3º0–0

WHJunior2º3–1

WHJunior17º3–1

WHJunior2º3–1

Season Schedule

Chico

Cucuta0–1

Deportes Tolima0–0

Deportivo Pasto3–0

Millonarios0–3

Alianza Valledupar1–2

Independiente Medellin2–1

–H

Atletico Nacional17/10

–A

Deportivo Pereira20/10

–H

Bucaramanga23/10

Atletico Nacional

Deportes Tolima0–0

Junior3–1

Millonarios1–1

Llaneros0–2

Internacional de Bogota3–2

Águilas Doradas2–0

–A

Chico17/10

–A

Cucuta20/10

–H

Deportivo Pasto23/10

Top Scorers

Chico

J. Molina7 ⚽

I. Montano5 ⚽

S. Mera3 ⚽

A. Maya2 ⚽

A. Banguero2 ⚽

S. Salazar2 ⚽

Atletico Nacional

A. Morelos17 ⚽

M. Moreno8 ⚽

J. Rengifo8 ⚽

A. Sarmiento7 ⚽

E. Cardona5 ⚽

A. Roman3 ⚽

Cards Given

Chico

Arlen Banguero8 🟨

Jairo Molina7 🟨

Anyelo Saldaña Marín6 🟨

Juan Diaz5 🟨

Sebastian Salazar5 🟨

Sebastián Palma5 🟨

Atletico Nacional

Alfredo Morelos8 🟨

Milton Casco7 🟨

Edwin Cardona7 🟨

Andrés Román7 🟨

Juan Zapata7 🟨

Jorman Campuzano5 🟨

Chico vs Atletico Nacional — Primera A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 13 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given