Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe — Primera A
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Estadio Atanasio Girardot·Medellín·Colombia·45,943
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Atletico Nacional and Santa Fe meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Atletico Nacional have recorded 31 wins from 48 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Santa Fe have won 38% of their 55 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Atletico Nacional and 0.92 for Santa Fe. The models give Atletico Nacional a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Santa Fe win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Nacional—
Santa Fe1º
Position
7º
2.11
PPG
1.53
68%
Win %
37%
1.84
Goals / game
1.53
0.79
Conceded / game
1.16
46%
BTTS %
62%
33%
Clean sheet %
27%
63%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
16.4
Avg shots
12.3
6.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.7
Avg fouls
11.2
59.1%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Atletico Nacional
Home (9)
—
Santa Fe
Away (10)
2.78
PPG
1.40
89%
Win %
30%
2.44
Goals / game
1.20
0.33
Conceded / game
1.20
52%
BTTS %
65%
48%
Clean sheet %
19%
64%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
16.4
Avg shots
12.3
6.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
59.1%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | Santa Fe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 92% | 57% | 82% | 83% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 68% | 52% | 42% | 59% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 26% | 13% | 17% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 8% | 43% | 18% | 17% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | Santa Fe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 52% | 83% | 73% | 66% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 16% | 26% | 24% | 24% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 48% | 17% | 27% | 34% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 7% |
| BTTS | 46% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Nacional (H)W
Deportivo Pasto3–0
Deportivo Pasto3–0W
Independiente Medellin3–2
Independiente Medellin3–2D
Deportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0W
Junior3–1
Junior3–1D
Chapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1Santa Fe (A)L
Llaneros0–1
Llaneros0–1WIndependiente Medellin1–0
Independiente Medellin1–0W
Deportivo Pereira2–1
Deportivo Pereira2–1D
Union Magdalena1–1
Union Magdalena1–1W
Alianza Valledupar4–1
Alianza Valledupar4–1L
Vasco DA Gama0–2
Vasco DA Gama0–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
8.8
Corners / Match
48 games
| Match Corners | Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 40% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 25% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 46% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
16
Atletico Nacional
52%
9
Draws
29%
6
Santa Fe
19%
74%
Over 1.5
23/31
48%
Over 2.5
15/31
16%
Over 3.5
5/31
42%
BTTS
13/31
26/02/26Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
1–2Atletico Nacional26/07/25Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
1–1Santa Fe13/06/25Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
1–2Atletico Nacional08/06/25Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
1–2Santa Fe13/02/25Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
2–2Atletico Nacional09/12/24Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
0–3Atletico Nacional21/11/24Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
5–0Santa Fe05/11/24Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
1–1Santa Fe13/04/24Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
0–0Atletico Nacional21/09/23Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
3–0Santa Fe12/05/23Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
0–2Atletico Nacional30/09/22Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
1–1Atletico Nacional29/03/22Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
2–1Santa Fe15/09/21Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
1–0Santa Fe09/09/21Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
2–1Atletico Nacional04/08/21Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
0–1Atletico Nacional17/01/21Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
2–0Santa Fe08/03/20Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
2–2Atletico Nacional30/10/19Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
0–0Atletico Nacional16/08/19Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
2–0Atletico Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Atletico Nacional- ●Atletico Nacional have been undefeated in their last 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their 21 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won 12 of their 21 away matches.
- ●76% of Atletico Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Nacional have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Santa Fe- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 19 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Santa Fe have scored in 15 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atletico NacionalWHDeportivo Pasto3–0
Deportivo Pasto3–0LACucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1WAChico4–1
Chico4–1DHDeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WHJunior3–1
Junior3–1DHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1–HIndependiente Medellin25/10
Independiente Medellin25/10–HSanta Fe30/10
Santa Fe30/10–ABucaramanga03/11
Bucaramanga03/11Santa FeWHJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1LALlaneros0–1
Llaneros0–1WAIndependiente Medellin1–0
Independiente Medellin1–0WADeportivo Pereira2–1
Deportivo Pereira2–1LHDeportivo Cali0–1
Deportivo Cali0–1WAAlianza Valledupar4–1
Alianza Valledupar4–1–HBucaramanga27/10
Bucaramanga27/10–AAtletico Nacional30/10
Atletico Nacional30/10–ACucuta02/11
Cucuta02/11Top Scorers
Atletico NacionalA. Morelos17 ⚽
J. Rengifo9 ⚽
M. Moreno8 ⚽
A. Sarmiento7 ⚽
E. Cardona6 ⚽
Andrés Sarmiento3 ⚽
Santa FeH. Rodallega21 ⚽
F. Fagundez15 ⚽
N. Bustos8 ⚽
Nahuel Bustos6 ⚽
L. Palacios5 ⚽
O. Fernandez5 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico NacionalEdwin Cardona8 🟨
Alfredo Morelos8 🟨
Milton Casco7 🟨
Juan Zapata7 🟨
Andrés Román7 🟨
Jorman Campuzano5 🟨
Santa FeDaniel Torres7 🟨
Emanuel Olivera7 🟨
Victor Moreno6 🟨
Jhojan Torres6 🟨
Luis Palacios6 🟨
Christian Mafla5 🟨