Millonarios vs Once Caldas — Primera A
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Millonarios and Once Caldas meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Millonarios have recorded 17 wins from 45 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Once Caldas have won 38% of their 34 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Millonarios and 1.06 for Once Caldas. The models give Millonarios a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Once Caldas win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Millonarios | Home | Away | Once Caldas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 72% | 85% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 31% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 28% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Millonarios | Home | Away | Once Caldas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 50% | 84% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 44% | 26% | 25% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 50% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Millonarios | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 12% |
| BTTS | 53% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Millonarios | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 59% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Millonarios | Once Caldas | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 69% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 48% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 41% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 38% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 34% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 24% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 17% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Millonarios | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 41% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 | |
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 | |
| 3 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 | |
| 5 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 | |
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 | |
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 | |
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 | |
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 | |
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 | |
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 | |
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 | |
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 | |
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 | |
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 | |
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 | |
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Millonarios failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Millonarios's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Once Caldas have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Once Caldas have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.