America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — Primera A
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America de Cali and Independiente Medellin meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 12 October 2026. America de Cali have recorded 23 wins from 44 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Independiente Medellin have won 45% of their 44 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for America de Cali and 1.03 for Independiente Medellin. The models give America de Cali a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Independiente Medellin win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
America de Cali—
Independiente Medellin4º
Position
11º
1.74
PPG
1.37
53%
Win %
37%
1.32
Goals / game
1.37
0.79
Conceded / game
1.26
43%
BTTS %
68%
43%
Clean sheet %
23%
41%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.8
Avg corners
4.8
13.9
Avg shots
13.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.4
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.7
12.3
Avg fouls
12.4
56.5%
Avg possession
50.4%
Home vs Away
America de Cali
Home (9)
—
Independiente Medellin
Away (9)
2.33
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.22
0.33
Conceded / game
1.22
50%
BTTS %
73%
45%
Clean sheet %
14%
45%
Over 2.5 %
59%
3.8
Avg corners
4.8
13.9
Avg shots
13.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.4
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.7
56.5%
Avg possession
50.4%
Goals Scored
| America de | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 73% | 86% | 91% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 23% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 32% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| America de | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 55% | 59% | 77% | 68% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 5% | 41% | 34% | 32% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 2% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 45% | 41% | 23% | 32% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| America de | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 14% |
| BTTS | 43% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| America de | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
America de (H)L
Deportivo Pasto0–1
Deportivo Pasto0–1W
Deportivo Pereira4–1
Deportivo Pereira4–1W
Alianza Valledupar3–0
Alianza Valledupar3–0W
Junior4–2
Junior4–2W
Atletico Nacional1–0
Atletico Nacional1–0W
Chico7–0
Chico7–0Independiente Medellin (A)LChico1–2
Chico1–2WDeportivo Pasto4–1
Deportivo Pasto4–1WDeportivo Pereira3–0
Deportivo Pereira3–0W
Deportes Tolima3–2
Deportes Tolima3–2L
Vasco DA Gama0–1
Vasco DA Gama0–1D
Leones FC1–1
Leones FC1–1Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
35 games
League Avg
9.0
278 games
9.0
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | America de | Independiente Medellin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 63% | 78% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 64% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 31% | 47% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 20% | 39% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 25% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 8% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | America de | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 46% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 66% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 51% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 37% | 36% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
11
America de
37%
4
Draws
13%
15
Independiente Medellin
50%
90%
Over 1.5
27/30
57%
Over 2.5
17/30
20%
Over 3.5
6/30
60%
BTTS
18/30
30/03/26America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2–1America de Cali02/12/25America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1–1America de Cali27/11/25Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2–1Independiente Medellin14/11/25America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
3–0America de Cali20/06/25Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1–1Independiente Medellin01/06/25America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1–1America de Cali25/05/25Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2–0Independiente Medellin15/10/24Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1–0Independiente Medellin01/04/24America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1–4America de Cali07/12/23America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2–1America de Cali13/11/23Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1–2Independiente Medellin13/08/23Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1–3Independiente Medellin12/06/23America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
0–1America de Cali29/05/23Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2–0Independiente Medellin18/02/23America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
0–1America de Cali27/11/22America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2–1America de Cali09/11/22Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
0–2Independiente Medellin11/09/22America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2–0America de Cali20/03/22Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1–3Independiente Medellin17/03/22Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2–1Independiente Medellin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
America de- ●America de Cali have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●America de Cali have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●America de Cali have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●America de Cali have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●America de Cali have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of America de Cali's goals have been scored at home.
- ●72% of America de Cali's goals conceded were conceded away.
Independiente Medellin- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
America deLHDeportivo Pasto0–1
Deportivo Pasto0–1WHAlianza Valledupar3–0
Alianza Valledupar3–0DAJaguares2–2
Jaguares2–2WHJunior4–2
Junior4–2DASanta Fe0–0
Santa Fe0–0WHAtletico Nacional1–0
Atletico Nacional1–0–ADeportes Tolima20/09
Deportes Tolima20/09–HÁguilas Doradas24/09
Águilas Doradas24/09–ALlaneros05/10
Llaneros05/10Independiente MedellinLAChico1–2
Chico1–2WADeportivo Pereira3–0
Deportivo Pereira3–0WHLlaneros2–1
Llaneros2–1LHCucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1WADeportes Tolima3–2
Deportes Tolima3–2WHDeportivo Cali1–0
Deportivo Cali1–0–ABucaramanga17/09
Bucaramanga17/09–HJaguares22/09
Jaguares22/09–AJunior27/09
Junior27/09Top Scorers
America deY. Guzman20 ⚽
D. Valencia6 ⚽
T. Angel6 ⚽
D. Rosero5 ⚽
J. Murillo4 ⚽
J. Palacios3 ⚽
Independiente MedellinJ. Montano8 ⚽
F. Fydriszewski6 ⚽
D. Moreno6 ⚽
F. Chaverra4 ⚽
H. Palacios4 ⚽
D. Catano3 ⚽
Cards Given
America deJosen Escobar11 🟨
Marlon Torres8 🟨
Rafael Carrascal7 🟨
Jean6 🟨
J. Escobar6 🟨
D. Rosero5 🟨
Independiente MedellinFrancisco Chaverra6 🟨
Yony González5 🟨
Francisco Fydriszewski5 🟨
Alexis Serna5 🟨
Didier Moreno4 🟨
Hayen Palacios4 🟨