Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga — Primera A
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Santa Fe and Bucaramanga meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 15 October 2026. Santa Fe have recorded 17 wins from 46 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 0.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Bucaramanga have won 31% of their 32 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Santa Fe and 0.95 for Bucaramanga. The models give Santa Fe a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bucaramanga win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Santa Fe—
Bucaramanga7º
Position
13º
1.53
PPG
1.21
37%
Win %
26%
1.53
Goals / game
1.37
1.16
Conceded / game
1.05
63%
BTTS %
56%
30%
Clean sheet %
31%
43%
Over 2.5 %
53%
4.2
Avg corners
4.1
12.1
Avg shots
12.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
11.3
Avg fouls
12.1
46.9%
Avg possession
50.6%
Home vs Away
Santa Fe
Home (9)
—
Bucaramanga
Away (10)
1.67
PPG
0.70
44%
Win %
10%
1.89
Goals / game
0.70
1.11
Conceded / game
1.40
58%
BTTS %
56%
38%
Clean sheet %
22%
50%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.2
Avg corners
4.1
12.1
Avg shots
12.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
46.9%
Avg possession
50.6%
Goals Scored
| Santa Fe | Home | Away | Bucaramanga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 85% | 72% | 86% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 58% | 20% | 38% | 57% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 5% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 15% | 28% | 14% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Santa Fe | Home | Away | Bucaramanga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 62% | 80% | 69% | 57% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 23% | 25% | 41% | 21% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 38% | 20% | 31% | 43% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 16% |
| BTTS | 63% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 37% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Santa Fe (H)W
Deportes Tolima1–0
Deportes Tolima1–0D
Vasco DA Gama0–0
Vasco DA Gama0–0D
Fortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2W
Millonarios3–2
Millonarios3–2D
America de Cali0–0
America de Cali0–0D
River Plate0–0
River Plate0–0Bucaramanga (A)W
Deportivo Pereira3–1
Deportivo Pereira3–1D
Deportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1DDeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0W
Alianza Valledupar3–2
Alianza Valledupar3–2WMillonarios1–0
Millonarios1–0LDeportivo Cali0–2
Deportivo Cali0–2Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
41 games
League Avg
9.0
276 games
7.5
Corners / Match
26 games
| Match Corners | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 58% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 61% | 50% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 41% | 35% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 19% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 15% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 12% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 8% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santa Fe | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 68% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 35% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
12
Santa Fe
43%
6
Draws
21%
10
Bucaramanga
36%
61%
Over 1.5
17/28
39%
Over 2.5
11/28
14%
Over 3.5
4/28
50%
BTTS
14/28
28/03/26Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
1–2Santa Fe09/12/25Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
0–0Bucaramanga19/11/25Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
1–0Santa Fe10/08/25Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
2–1Santa Fe19/03/25Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1–1Bucaramanga28/08/24Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
3–1Santa Fe08/08/24Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
0–1Santa Fe16/06/24Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
3–2Bucaramanga09/06/24Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
1–0Santa Fe15/05/24Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1–1Bucaramanga07/02/24Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
0–1Bucaramanga30/09/23Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
1–1Santa Fe23/04/23Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
3–0Bucaramanga17/09/22Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
2–1Santa Fe22/03/22Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
3–1Bucaramanga02/09/21Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
0–1Santa Fe26/08/21Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1–0Bucaramanga25/07/21Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
4–3Santa Fe14/02/21Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
2–0Bucaramanga15/11/20Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
1–2Santa Fe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Santa Fe- ●Santa Fe have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Santa Fe have been undefeated in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Santa Fe have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●68% of Santa Fe's goals have been scored at home.
Bucaramanga- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●69% of Bucaramanga's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Santa FeWHDeportes Tolima1–0
Deportes Tolima1–0DHFortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2WHMillonarios3–2
Millonarios3–2DAJunior1–1
Junior1–1DHAmerica de Cali0–0
America de Cali0–0WHChico2–0
Chico2–0–AAlianza Valledupar19/09
Alianza Valledupar19/09–HDeportivo Cali23/09
Deportivo Cali23/09–AIndependiente Medellin04/10
Independiente Medellin04/10BucaramangaWADeportivo Pereira3–1
Deportivo Pereira3–1DADeportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1DADeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WAAlianza Valledupar3–2
Alianza Valledupar3–2DHCucuta1–1
Cucuta1–1DHLlaneros1–1
Llaneros1–1–HInternacional de Bogota20/09
Internacional de Bogota20/09–AOnce Caldas26/09
Once Caldas26/09–HJunior04/10
Junior04/10Top Scorers
Santa FeH. Rodallega19 ⚽
F. Fagundez12 ⚽
N. Bustos7 ⚽
O. Fernandez5 ⚽
L. Palacios4 ⚽
E. Olivera3 ⚽
BucaramangaL. Pons9 ⚽
E. Batalla9 ⚽
F. Sambueza6 ⚽
B. Caicedo5 ⚽
K. Londono4 ⚽
F. Charrupi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Santa FeDaniel Torres6 🟨
Victor Moreno6 🟨
E. Olivera5 🟨
Emanuel Olivera5 🟨
Christian Mafla5 🟨
Jhojan Torres5 🟨
BucaramangaFabián Sambueza7 🟨
Aldair Gutiérrez6 🟨
Fredy Hinestroza5 🟨
F. Hinestroza5 🟨
F. Sambueza3 🟨
E. Batalla3 🟨