Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima — Primera A
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Águilas Doradas and Deportes Tolima meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Águilas Doradas have recorded 10 wins from 32 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Deportes Tolima have won 43% of their 47 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Águilas Doradas and 1.07 for Deportes Tolima. The models give Águilas Doradas a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Deportes Tolima win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Águilas Doradas—
Deportes Tolima12º
Position
6º
1.37
PPG
1.63
37%
Win %
42%
1.05
Goals / game
1.42
1.32
Conceded / game
0.89
66%
BTTS %
45%
16%
Clean sheet %
34%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.4
Avg corners
4.9
11.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.1
Avg fouls
11.0
50.2%
Avg possession
56.9%
Home vs Away
Águilas Doradas
Home (10)
—
Deportes Tolima
Away (9)
1.40
PPG
0.89
40%
Win %
11%
1.20
Goals / game
0.89
1.40
Conceded / game
1.11
71%
BTTS %
45%
18%
Clean sheet %
27%
59%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.4
Avg corners
4.9
11.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
50.2%
Avg possession
56.9%
Goals Scored
| Águilas Doradas | Home | Away | Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 76% | 73% | 68% | 76% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 41% | 33% | 45% | 60% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 24% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Águilas Doradas | Home | Away | Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 82% | 87% | 66% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 41% | 33% | 21% | 8% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 18% | 13% | 34% | 40% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Águilas Doradas | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 6% |
| BTTS | 66% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 34% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Águilas Doradas | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Águilas Doradas (H)D
Deportivo Pereira2–2
Deportivo Pereira2–2D
Chico2–2
Chico2–2D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1D
Llaneros1–1
Llaneros1–1W
Santa Fe2–1
Santa Fe2–1DDeportivo Pereira1–1
Deportivo Pereira1–1Deportes Tolima (A)L
Once Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1LSanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1WLlaneros2–1
Llaneros2–1L
Independiente del Valle1–3
Independiente del Valle1–3W
Alianza Valledupar2–1
Alianza Valledupar2–1L
Quindio1–2
Quindio1–2Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
9.1
295 games
9.3
Corners / Match
44 games
| Match Corners | Águilas Doradas | Deportes Tolima | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 82% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 48% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 32% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 9% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 5% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Águilas Doradas | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 39% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
4
Águilas Doradas
17%
8
Draws
33%
12
Deportes Tolima
50%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
17%
Over 3.5
4/24
54%
BTTS
13/24
01/04/26Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
4–1Águilas Doradas14/11/25Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
1–2Deportes Tolima25/05/25Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1–2Águilas Doradas02/11/24Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
0–1Deportes Tolima12/04/24Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
2–1Águilas Doradas02/12/23Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
0–1Águilas Doradas18/11/23Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
0–4Deportes Tolima29/07/23Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1–1Águilas Doradas06/02/23Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
4–2Deportes Tolima02/10/22Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
1–2Deportes Tolima09/04/22Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
3–0Águilas Doradas03/11/21Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
1–1Deportes Tolima02/09/21Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
0–0Deportes Tolima26/08/21Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1–0Águilas Doradas28/02/21Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1–0Águilas Doradas14/02/20Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
1–1Deportes Tolima27/07/19Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
0–2Deportes Tolima05/02/19Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
2–0Águilas Doradas29/09/18Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
1–1Águilas Doradas31/03/18Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
1–3Deportes Tolima| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Águilas Doradas- ●Águilas Doradas have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●63% of Águilas Doradas's goals have been scored at home.
Deportes Tolima- ●Deportes Tolima have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●66% of Deportes Tolima's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Águilas DoradasLAAmerica de Cali0–1
America de Cali0–1DHDeportivo Pereira2–2
Deportivo Pereira2–2LAAtletico Nacional0–2
Atletico Nacional0–2DAInternacional de Bogota2–2
Internacional de Bogota2–2DHChico2–2
Chico2–2DHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1–ADeportivo Cali28/09
Deportivo Cali28/09–HJaguares03/10
Jaguares03/10–AAlianza Valledupar10/10
Alianza Valledupar10/10Deportes TolimaDHAmerica de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1LAOnce Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1LASanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1WALlaneros2–1
Llaneros2–1WHCucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1DHBucaramanga0–0
Bucaramanga0–0–AFortaleza FC27/09
Fortaleza FC27/09–HChico03/10
Chico03/10–AAtletico Nacional08/10
Atletico Nacional08/10Top Scorers
Águilas DoradasJ. Rivaldo13 ⚽
F. Lozano3 ⚽
A. Ricaurte3 ⚽
J. Varela3 ⚽
Anthony Vásquez2 ⚽
J. Mena2 ⚽
Deportes TolimaL. Sandoval10 ⚽
J. P. Torres Patino8 ⚽
A. Parra Osorio6 ⚽
K. Florez6 ⚽
J. Gonzalez5 ⚽
E. Valencia5 ⚽
Cards Given
Águilas DoradasFrank Lozano6 🟨
Jaen Pineda5 🟨
Diego Hernández4 🟨
Hernán Lópes4 🟨
Andrés Álvarez3 🟨
Iván Arboleda3 🟨
Deportes TolimaLuis Sandoval10 🟨
Brayan Rovira7 🟨
Juan Torres6 🟨
Daniel Pedrozo5 🟨
Edwar López5 🟨
Anderson Angulo5 🟨