Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional — Primera A
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Cucuta and Atletico Nacional meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Cucuta have recorded 6 wins from 34 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Atletico Nacional have won 68% of their 37 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Cucuta and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional. The models give Cucuta a 30% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico Nacional win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Cucuta—
Atletico Nacional19º
Position
1º
0.84
PPG
2.11
16%
Win %
68%
1.16
Goals / game
1.84
1.84
Conceded / game
0.79
62%
BTTS %
43%
24%
Clean sheet %
35%
44%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
9.8
Avg shots
16.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
10.5
Avg fouls
11.6
46.7%
Avg possession
57.5%
Home vs Away
Cucuta
Home (9)
—
Atletico Nacional
Away (10)
1.33
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
50%
1.33
Goals / game
1.30
1.44
Conceded / game
1.20
63%
BTTS %
37%
31%
Clean sheet %
21%
38%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
9.8
Avg shots
16.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
46.7%
Avg possession
57.5%
Goals Scored
| Cucuta | Home | Away | Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 81% | 72% | 76% | 94% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 22% | 62% | 72% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 6% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 6% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Cucuta | Home | Away | Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 69% | 83% | 65% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 44% | 67% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 6% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 31% | 17% | 35% | 50% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cucuta | Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS | 62% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cucuta | Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Cucuta (H)L
Millonarios1–2
Millonarios1–2D
Deportivo Pasto2–2
Deportivo Pasto2–2W
Alianza Valledupar1–0
Alianza Valledupar1–0D
Internacional de Bogota1–1
Internacional de Bogota1–1D
Fortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0D
Leones FC0–0
Leones FC0–0Atletico Nacional (A)L
Deportivo Cali0–3
Deportivo Cali0–3WAlianza Valledupar5–1
Alianza Valledupar5–1WFortaleza FC2–1
Fortaleza FC2–1L
America de Cali0–1
America de Cali0–1W
Jaguares3–0
Jaguares3–0W
Tigres FC2–0
Tigres FC2–0Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
26 games
League Avg
9.0
278 games
9.4
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Cucuta | Atletico Nacional | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 65% | 75% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 28% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 16% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 9% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cucuta | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 46% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 35% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 65% | 41% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Cucuta
13%
1
Draws
13%
6
Atletico Nacional
75%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
02/04/26Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0–0Cucuta05/08/25Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
0–3Atletico Nacional29/07/25Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
1–0Cucuta15/11/20Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
3–0Cucuta27/11/19Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
0–1Atletico Nacional10/11/19Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
3–1Cucuta15/09/19Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
2–3Cucuta23/03/19Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
1–3Atletico Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Cucuta- ●Cucuta have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cucuta have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cucuta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cucuta have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cucuta failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Cucuta have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Cucuta failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cucuta have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cucuta have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Nacional- ●Atletico Nacional have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●76% of Atletico Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Nacional have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CucutaLHMillonarios1–2
Millonarios1–2DHDeportivo Pasto2–2
Deportivo Pasto2–2LADeportes Tolima1–2
Deportes Tolima1–2WHAlianza Valledupar1–0
Alianza Valledupar1–0WAIndependiente Medellin1–0
Independiente Medellin1–0DHInternacional de Bogota1–1
Internacional de Bogota1–1–ADeportivo Cali19/09
Deportivo Cali19/09–HLlaneros26/09
Llaneros26/09–HDeportivo Pereira04/10
Deportivo Pereira04/10Atletico NacionalWHÁguilas Doradas2–0
Águilas Doradas2–0WAAlianza Valledupar5–1
Alianza Valledupar5–1WHDeportivo Cali2–1
Deportivo Cali2–1WAFortaleza FC2–1
Fortaleza FC2–1LAAmerica de Cali0–1
America de Cali0–1WAJaguares3–0
Jaguares3–0–AInternacional de Bogota17/09
Internacional de Bogota17/09–ALlaneros21/09
Llaneros21/09–HMillonarios25/09
Millonarios25/09Top Scorers
CucutaJ. Peralta8 ⚽
L. Hernandez7 ⚽
L. Berdugo6 ⚽
L. Rios2 ⚽
D. Calcaterra2 ⚽
G. Torres1 ⚽
Atletico NacionalA. Morelos17 ⚽
J. Rengifo8 ⚽
M. Moreno8 ⚽
A. Sarmiento7 ⚽
E. Cardona5 ⚽
E. Bello2 ⚽
Cards Given
CucutaJaime Peralta8 🟨
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez5 🟨
Kevin Londoño5 🟨
Mauricio Duarte4 🟨
D. Calcaterra4 🟨
Diego Calcaterra4 🟨
Atletico NacionalAlfredo Morelos8 🟨
Juan Zapata6 🟨
Andrés Román6 🟨
Edwin Cardona6 🟨
Milton Casco6 🟨
Juan Manuel Rengifo5 🟨