Colombia · Primera A · Clausura - 15

Independiente Medellin

11º · 1.37 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 2h

–

Once Caldas

5º · 1.74 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 2h

🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free Trial Upgrade to Pro →

Independiente Medellin and Once Caldas meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Independiente Medellin have recorded 20 wins from 44 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Once Caldas have won 38% of their 34 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Independiente Medellin and 1.25 for Once Caldas. The models give Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Once Caldas win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Independiente Medellin

—

Once Caldas

11º

Position

5º

1.37

PPG

1.74

37%

Win %

42%

1.37

Goals / game

1.63

1.26

Conceded / game

1.16

68%

BTTS %

68%

23%

Clean sheet %

24%

57%

Over 2.5 %

47%

4.8

Avg corners

5.3

13.4

Avg shots

14.8

4.4

Avg shots on target

5.6

2.7

Avg yellow cards

2.8

12.4

Avg fouls

10.1

50.4%

Avg possession

54.1%

Home vs Away

Independiente Medellin

Home (10)

—

Once Caldas

Away (9)

1.40

PPG

1.33

40%

Win %

22%

1.50

Goals / game

1.22

1.30

Conceded / game

1.00

64%

BTTS %

72%

32%

Clean sheet %

22%

55%

Over 2.5 %

39%

4.8

Avg corners

5.3

13.4

Avg shots

14.8

4.4

Avg shots on target

5.6

2.7

Avg yellow cards

2.8

50.4%

Avg possession

54.1%

Goals Scored

	Independiente Medellin	Home	Away	Once Caldas	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	86%	91%	82%	85%	88%	83%
Over 1.5 Scored	43%	50%	36%	41%	44%	39%
Over 2.5 Scored	16%	9%	23%	18%	31%	6%
Failed To Score	14%	9%	18%	15%	13%	17%

Goals Conceded

	Independiente Medellin	Home	Away	Once Caldas	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	77%	68%	86%	76%	75%	78%
Over 1.5 Conceded	34%	32%	36%	26%	25%	28%
Over 2.5 Conceded	7%	5%	9%	3%	6%	0%
Clean Sheets	23%	32%	14%	24%	25%	22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Independiente Medellin	Once Caldas
Over 0.5	95%	94%
Over 1.5	75%	82%
Over 2.5	57%	47%
Over 3.5	27%	21%
Over 4.5	14%	12%
BTTS	68%	68%
BTTS & Win	27%	21%
BTTS & Draw	20%	38%
BTTS & Over 2.5	55%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	2%	9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Independiente Medellin	Once Caldas
Win 1st Half	24%	29%
Draw 1st Half	48%	53%
Loss 1st Half	29%	18%
Scored 1st Half	48%	53%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	47%
Win 2nd Half	40%	29%
Draw 2nd Half	36%	59%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	12%
Scored 2nd Half	60%	65%
Conceded 2nd Half	40%	44%
Over 0.5 HT	71%	71%
Over 1.5 HT	40%	44%

Recent Venue Form

Independiente Medellin (H)

Llaneros2–1

Cucuta0–1

Deportivo Cali1–0

Deportivo Pasto3–2

Vasco DA Gama2–2

Cucuta2–1

Once Caldas (A)

Chico0–2

Fortaleza FC2–1

Junior1–1

Jaguares1–1

Santa Fe2–2

Envigado3–0

Number of Corners

9.0

Corners / Match

36 games

League Avg

9.0

276 games

9.8

Corners / Match

28 games

Match Corners	Independiente Medellin	Once Caldas	League Avg
Over 6	78%	82%	77%
Over 7	64%	71%	66%
Over 8	47%	50%	52%
Over 9	39%	43%	40%
Over 10	33%	39%	28%
Over 11	25%	36%	20%
Over 12	11%	25%	13%
Over 13	8%	18%	10%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Independiente Medellin	Once Caldas
Corners Earned / Match	4.8	5.3
Corners Against / Match	4.3	4.5
Over 2.5 Corners For	86%	79%
Over 3.5 Corners For	67%	64%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	46%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	78%	71%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	58%	68%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	36%	43%

Head to Head · 24 matches

Independiente Medellin

42%

Draws

42%

Once Caldas

17%

88%

Over 1.5

21/24

50%

Over 2.5

12/24

33%

Over 3.5

8/24

75%

BTTS

18/24

03/04/26

Once Caldas

1–1

Independiente Medellin

13/10/25

Once Caldas

1–5

Independiente Medellin

20/04/25

Independiente Medellin

2–0

Once Caldas

28/09/24

Once Caldas

0–2

Independiente Medellin

17/03/24

Independiente Medellin

1–2

Once Caldas

01/10/23

Once Caldas

2–2

Independiente Medellin

11/05/23

Independiente Medellin

2–2

Once Caldas

24/07/22

Independiente Medellin

1–1

Once Caldas

05/02/22

Once Caldas

2–1

Independiente Medellin

18/09/21

Independiente Medellin

3–1

Once Caldas

05/08/21

Once Caldas

1–3

Independiente Medellin

29/07/21

Independiente Medellin

1–1

Once Caldas

18/04/21

Once Caldas

2–0

Independiente Medellin

02/11/20

Independiente Medellin

1–1

Once Caldas

28/09/19

Once Caldas

1–1

Independiente Medellin

12/09/19

Independiente Medellin

1–0

Once Caldas

29/08/19

Once Caldas

2–3

Independiente Medellin

05/04/19

Independiente Medellin

1–1

Once Caldas

02/09/18

Independiente Medellin

2–2

Once Caldas

07/03/18

Once Caldas

3–2

Independiente Medellin

Primera A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	+28	55
2	Junior	26	13	5	8	+9	44
3	Deportes Tolima	24	11	7	6	+11	40
4	America de Cali	22	11	4	7	+8	37
5	Santa Fe	23	8	11	4	+11	35
6	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	+8	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	22	10	4	8	0	34
8	Deportivo Cali	20	8	6	6	+6	30
9	Independiente Medellin	20	8	5	7	+3	29
10	Internacional de Bogota	22	7	7	8	-9	28
11	Millonarios	20	7	5	8	+7	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
12	Bucaramanga	20	6	8	6	+7	26
14	Llaneros	20	5	10	5	-2	25
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	20	5	3	12	-15	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	20	1	7	12	-18	10

Team Insights

Independiente Medellin

●Independiente Medellin have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
●Independiente Medellin have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
●Independiente Medellin have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
●Independiente Medellin have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
●Independiente Medellin have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.

Once Caldas

●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
●Once Caldas have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
●Once Caldas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Once Caldas have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.

Independiente Medellin

LAChico7º1–2

LAChico15º1–2

LAChico18º1–2

WADeportivo Pasto4–1

WADeportivo Pereira17º3–0

WADeportivo Pereira20º3–0

WADeportivo Pereira18º3–0

WADeportivo Pereira20º3–0

Once Caldas

LHDeportivo Cali2º1–2

LHDeportivo Cali9º1–2

LHDeportivo Cali8º1–2

LHDeportivo Cali9º1–2

LHDeportivo Cali12º1–2

WHAlianza Valledupar2º1–0

LAChico18º0–2

LAChico15º0–2

LAChico18º0–2

Season Schedule

Independiente Medellin

Chico1–2

Deportivo Pereira3–0

Llaneros2–1

Cucuta0–1

Deportes Tolima3–2

Deportivo Cali1–0

–H

Jaguares19/09

–A

Junior27/09

–H

Santa Fe04/10

Once Caldas

Deportivo Cali1–2

Chico0–2

Fortaleza FC2–1

Junior1–1

Jaguares1–1

America de Cali0–1

–A

Deportivo Pasto19/09

–H

Bucaramanga26/09

–H

Llaneros10/10

Top Scorers

Independiente Medellin

J. Montano8 ⚽

F. Fydriszewski6 ⚽

D. Moreno6 ⚽

F. Chaverra4 ⚽

H. Palacios4 ⚽

D. Catano3 ⚽

Once Caldas

D. Moreno13 ⚽

J. A. Zapata Ramirez11 ⚽

P. Gomez4 ⚽

M. Zuleta3 ⚽

A. Roa3 ⚽

L. Sanchez3 ⚽

Cards Given

Independiente Medellin

Francisco Chaverra6 🟨

Yony González5 🟨

Francisco Fydriszewski5 🟨

Alexis Serna5 🟨

Didier Moreno4 🟨

Hayen Palacios4 🟨

Once Caldas

Mateo Zuleta5 🟨

Robert Mejía5 🟨

Jader Quinones5 🟨

Juan Castaño5 🟨

Jaime Alvarado4 🟨

Andrés Roa3 🟨

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas — Primera A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 24 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given