Llaneros vs Santa Fe — Primera A
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Llaneros and Santa Fe meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Llaneros have recorded 10 wins from 34 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Santa Fe have won 37% of their 46 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 0.98 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Llaneros and 1.10 for Santa Fe. The models give Llaneros a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Santa Fe win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Llaneros—
Santa Fe14º
Position
7º
1.16
PPG
1.53
21%
Win %
37%
0.89
Goals / game
1.53
1.05
Conceded / game
1.16
50%
BTTS %
63%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
29%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.0
Avg corners
4.2
10.3
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
10.7
Avg fouls
11.3
46.7%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Llaneros
Home (9)
—
Santa Fe
Away (10)
1.11
PPG
1.40
11%
Win %
30%
1.11
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
63%
BTTS %
70%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
38%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.0
Avg corners
4.2
10.3
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
46.7%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Llaneros | Home | Away | Santa Fe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 81% | 67% | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 38% | 11% | 41% | 58% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 19% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 19% | 33% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Llaneros | Home | Away | Santa Fe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 70% | 62% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 38% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llaneros | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 7% |
| BTTS | 50% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llaneros | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Llaneros (H)L
Deportes Tolima1–2
Deportes Tolima1–2D
Quindio1–1
Quindio1–1L
Millonarios0–2
Millonarios0–2W
Fortaleza FC3–1
Fortaleza FC3–1W
Deportivo Pereira1–0
Deportivo Pereira1–0W
Patriotas3–1
Patriotas3–1Santa Fe (A)D
Junior1–1
Junior1–1D
River Plate1–1
River Plate1–1W
Caracas FC3–0
Caracas FC3–0L
Águilas Doradas1–2
Águilas Doradas1–2W
Penarol1–0
Penarol1–0DJunior0–0
Junior0–0Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
9.0
278 games
8.5
Corners / Match
41 games
| Match Corners | Llaneros | Santa Fe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 61% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 79% | 41% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 37% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 27% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 22% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 7% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Llaneros | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 44% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Llaneros
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Santa Fe
33%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
01/04/26Llaneros
Santa Fe
0–1Llaneros12/10/25Llaneros
Santa Fe
1–3Llaneros01/05/25Santa Fe
Llaneros
0–1Santa Fe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Llaneros- ●Llaneros have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Llaneros have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Llaneros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Llaneros have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Llaneros have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llaneros failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Llaneros have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Santa Fe- ●Santa Fe have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Santa Fe have been undefeated in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Santa Fe have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●68% of Santa Fe's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LlanerosLAInternacional de Bogota2–3
Internacional de Bogota2–3LHDeportes Tolima1–2
Deportes Tolima1–2LAIndependiente Medellin1–2
Independiente Medellin1–2LHMillonarios0–2
Millonarios0–2WADeportivo Pasto1–0
Deportivo Pasto1–0DAÁguilas Doradas1–1
Águilas Doradas1–1–HAtletico Nacional21/09
Atletico Nacional21/09–ACucuta26/09
Cucuta26/09–HAmerica de Cali05/10
America de Cali05/10Santa FeWHDeportes Tolima1–0
Deportes Tolima1–0DHFortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2WHMillonarios3–2
Millonarios3–2DAJunior1–1
Junior1–1DHAmerica de Cali0–0
America de Cali0–0WHChico2–0
Chico2–0–AAlianza Valledupar19/09
Alianza Valledupar19/09–HDeportivo Cali23/09
Deportivo Cali23/09–ADeportivo Pereira29/09
Deportivo Pereira29/09Top Scorers
LlanerosJhon Vasquez9 ⚽
4 ⚽
N. Ospina4 ⚽
L. Miranda3 ⚽
C. Cortes3 ⚽
Kelvin Osorio2 ⚽
Santa FeH. Rodallega19 ⚽
F. Fagundez12 ⚽
N. Bustos7 ⚽
O. Fernandez5 ⚽
L. Palacios4 ⚽
E. Olivera3 ⚽
Cards Given
LlanerosJhon Vásquez8 🟨
J. Escobar Salcedo5 🟨
Francisco Meza5 🟨
J. Pertuz4 🟨
Daniel Mantilla4 🟨
J. Contreras4 🟨
Santa FeDaniel Torres6 🟨
Victor Moreno6 🟨
E. Olivera5 🟨
Emanuel Olivera5 🟨
Christian Mafla5 🟨
Jhojan Torres5 🟨