Chico vs Bucaramanga — Primera A
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Chico and Bucaramanga meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Chico have recorded 8 wins from 32 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Bucaramanga have won 27% of their 33 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Chico and 0.83 for Bucaramanga. The models give Chico a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bucaramanga win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Chico—
Bucaramanga18º
Position
13º
0.89
PPG
1.21
26%
Win %
26%
0.79
Goals / game
1.37
1.68
Conceded / game
1.05
25%
BTTS %
58%
25%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.1
Avg corners
4.0
9.4
Avg shots
12.4
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
13.4
Avg fouls
12.1
44.8%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
Chico
Home (9)
—
Bucaramanga
Away (10)
1.78
PPG
0.70
56%
Win %
10%
1.44
Goals / game
0.70
0.56
Conceded / game
1.40
27%
BTTS %
58%
47%
Clean sheet %
21%
40%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.1
Avg corners
4.0
9.4
Avg shots
12.4
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
44.8%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| Chico | Home | Away | Bucaramanga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 67% | 24% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 12% | 36% | 57% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 18% | 29% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 33% | 76% | 27% | 14% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Chico | Home | Away | Bucaramanga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 53% | 94% | 70% | 57% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 7% | 76% | 45% | 29% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 41% | 6% | 7% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 47% | 6% | 30% | 43% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chico | Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 15% |
| BTTS | 25% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chico | Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Chico (H)L
Alianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2W
Independiente Medellin2–1
Independiente Medellin2–1W
Once Caldas2–0
Once Caldas2–0D
Fortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0L
Llaneros0–1
Llaneros0–1W
Depor FC4–0
Depor FC4–0Bucaramanga (A)W
Deportivo Pereira3–1
Deportivo Pereira3–1D
Deportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1D
Deportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WAlianza Valledupar3–2
Alianza Valledupar3–2W
Millonarios1–0
Millonarios1–0LAlianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
9.0
286 games
7.6
Corners / Match
27 games
| Match Corners | Chico | Bucaramanga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 52% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 37% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 22% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 15% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 7% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chico | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 68% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 37% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
4
Chico
29%
4
Draws
29%
6
Bucaramanga
43%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
12/04/26Chico
Bucaramanga
5–0Chico12/07/25Chico
Bucaramanga
1–1Chico10/06/25Chico
Bucaramanga
3–2Chico24/01/25Bucaramanga
Chico
1–0Bucaramanga06/11/24Bucaramanga
Chico
1–1Bucaramanga20/04/24Chico
Bucaramanga
2–3Chico17/10/23Chico
Bucaramanga
1–0Chico01/05/23Bucaramanga
Chico
0–0Bucaramanga20/01/21Chico
Bucaramanga
2–0Chico02/11/20Bucaramanga
Chico
1–0Bucaramanga20/10/18Chico
Bucaramanga
3–0Chico18/04/18Bucaramanga
Chico
2–1Bucaramanga17/09/16Chico
Bucaramanga
2–0Chico16/04/16Bucaramanga
Chico
1–1Bucaramanga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Chico- ●Chico failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Chico have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Chico failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Chico have lost 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●82% of Chico's goals have been scored at home.
- ●84% of Chico's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●92% of Chico's points have been earned at home.
- ●Chico have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Bucaramanga- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
ChicoLAMillonarios0–3
Millonarios0–3LHAlianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2WHIndependiente Medellin2–1
Independiente Medellin2–1WHOnce Caldas2–0
Once Caldas2–0DAÁguilas Doradas2–2
Águilas Doradas2–2DHFortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0–HDeportivo Pasto25/09
Deportivo Pasto25/09–ADeportes Tolima03/10
Deportes Tolima03/10–HCucuta13/10
Cucuta13/10BucaramangaDHIndependiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2WADeportivo Pereira3–1
Deportivo Pereira3–1DADeportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1DADeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WAAlianza Valledupar3–2
Alianza Valledupar3–2DHCucuta1–1
Cucuta1–1–AOnce Caldas26/09
Once Caldas26/09–HJunior04/10
Junior04/10–HÁguilas Doradas14/10
Águilas Doradas14/10Top Scorers
ChicoJ. Molina7 ⚽
I. Montano5 ⚽
S. Mera3 ⚽
S. Salazar2 ⚽
A. Banguero2 ⚽
A. Maya1 ⚽
BucaramangaL. Pons9 ⚽
E. Batalla9 ⚽
F. Sambueza6 ⚽
B. Caicedo5 ⚽
K. Londono4 ⚽
Luciano Pons3 ⚽
Cards Given
ChicoArlen Banguero8 🟨
Jairo Molina7 🟨
Anyelo Saldaña Marín6 🟨
Sebastian Salazar5 🟨
Juan Diaz5 🟨
Sebastián Palma5 🟨
BucaramangaFabián Sambueza8 🟨
Aldair Gutiérrez6 🟨
Fredy Hinestroza5 🟨
F. Hinestroza5 🟨
Carlos Romaña3 🟨
F. Sambueza3 🟨