Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto — Primera A
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Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Deportes Tolima have recorded 20 wins from 46 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Deportivo Pasto have won 40% of their 35 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Deportes Tolima and 1.19 for Deportivo Pasto. The models give Deportes Tolima a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Deportivo Pasto win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Deportes Tolima—
Deportivo Pasto6º
Position
3º
1.63
PPG
1.79
42%
Win %
53%
1.42
Goals / game
1.53
0.89
Conceded / game
1.32
43%
BTTS %
49%
35%
Clean sheet %
31%
43%
Over 2.5 %
49%
4.8
Avg corners
4.1
12.7
Avg shots
11.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
3.3
11.0
Avg fouls
11.7
56.6%
Avg possession
52.0%
Home vs Away
Deportes Tolima
Home (10)
—
Deportivo Pasto
Away (9)
2.30
PPG
1.56
70%
Win %
44%
1.90
Goals / game
1.67
0.70
Conceded / game
1.89
42%
BTTS %
56%
42%
Clean sheet %
25%
46%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.8
Avg corners
4.1
12.7
Avg shots
11.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
3.3
56.6%
Avg possession
52.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 59% | 74% | 74% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 63% | 27% | 40% | 26% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 41% | 26% | 26% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 58% | 73% | 69% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 8% | 36% | 46% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 4% | 23% | 14% | 5% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 42% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 17% |
| BTTS | 43% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportes Tolima (H)W
Cucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1D
Bucaramanga0–0
Bucaramanga0–0L
Independiente del Valle0–1
Independiente del Valle0–1W
Internacional de Bogota2–1
Internacional de Bogota2–1L
Independiente Medellin2–3
Independiente Medellin2–3W
Junior2–1
Junior2–1Deportivo Pasto (A)W
America de Cali1–0
America de Cali1–0DCucuta2–2
Cucuta2–2DInternacional de Bogota1–1
Internacional de Bogota1–1L
Millonarios0–2
Millonarios0–2W
Bogota FC3–0
Bogota FC3–0LIndependiente Medellin2–3
Independiente Medellin2–3Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
43 games
League Avg
9.0
286 games
8.3
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 47% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 23% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 72% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 65% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 47% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
12
Deportes Tolima
48%
7
Draws
28%
6
Deportivo Pasto
24%
60%
Over 1.5
15/25
36%
Over 2.5
9/25
16%
Over 3.5
4/25
48%
BTTS
12/25
13/05/26Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–2Deportes Tolima09/05/26Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto11/04/26Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–0Deportes Tolima12/07/25Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
3–2Deportes Tolima28/01/25Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
2–0Deportivo Pasto03/10/24Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–1Deportes Tolima18/09/24Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–2Deportivo Pasto24/07/24Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
2–1Deportivo Pasto26/01/24Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–4Deportes Tolima18/09/23Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–2Deportes Tolima11/04/23Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
3–1Deportivo Pasto09/10/22Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
2–1Deportes Tolima16/04/22Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0–1Deportivo Pasto14/08/21Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto15/02/21Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–1Deportes Tolima28/01/21Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–1Deportivo Pasto14/09/20Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–3Deportes Tolima06/10/19Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–0Deportes Tolima14/04/19Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0–0Deportivo Pasto28/08/18Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Deportes Tolima- ●Deportes Tolima have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Deportes Tolima's goals have been scored at home.
Deportivo Pasto- ●Deportivo Pasto have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Deportes TolimaLAOnce Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1LASanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1WALlaneros2–1
Llaneros2–1WHCucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1DHBucaramanga0–0
Bucaramanga0–0WHInternacional de Bogota2–1
Internacional de Bogota2–1–AFortaleza FC27/09
Fortaleza FC27/09–HChico03/10
Chico03/10–AAtletico Nacional08/10
Atletico Nacional08/10Deportivo PastoWHOnce Caldas1–0
Once Caldas1–0WAAmerica de Cali1–0
America de Cali1–0DACucuta2–2
Cucuta2–2LHDeportivo Pereira1–2
Deportivo Pereira1–2DAInternacional de Bogota1–1
Internacional de Bogota1–1LHLlaneros0–1
Llaneros0–1–AChico25/09
Chico25/09–HFortaleza FC04/10
Fortaleza FC04/10–AAtletico Nacional11/10
Atletico Nacional11/10Top Scorers
Deportes TolimaL. Sandoval10 ⚽
J. P. Torres Patino8 ⚽
A. Parra Osorio6 ⚽
K. Florez6 ⚽
J. Gonzalez5 ⚽
E. Valencia5 ⚽
Deportivo PastoA. Estupinan13 ⚽
S. Cordoba6 ⚽
J. Perlaza5 ⚽
Diego Gabriel Chavez2 ⚽
D. Chavez2 ⚽
J. Obregon2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportes TolimaLuis Sandoval9 🟨
Brayan Rovira7 🟨
Juan Torres6 🟨
Daniel Pedrozo5 🟨
Edwar López5 🟨
Anderson Angulo5 🟨
Deportivo PastoSantiago Jiménez8 🟨
Andrey Estupiñán7 🟨
E. C. Serje Orozco7 🟨
Mateo Garavito7 🟨
Nicolas Gil7 🟨
M. Pisano6 🟨