Jaguares vs Llaneros — Primera A
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Jaguares and Llaneros meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Jaguares have recorded 8 wins from 35 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Llaneros have won 29% of their 38 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Jaguares and 0.98 for Llaneros. The models give Jaguares a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Llaneros win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Jaguares—
Llaneros16º
Position
14º
0.95
PPG
1.16
26%
Win %
21%
1.05
Goals / game
0.89
1.74
Conceded / game
1.05
51%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
54%
Over 2.5 %
32%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
10.5
Avg shots
10.6
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
11.0
Avg fouls
10.9
45.4%
Avg possession
46.1%
Home vs Away
Jaguares
Home (10)
—
Llaneros
Away (10)
1.60
PPG
1.20
50%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
0.70
1.20
Conceded / game
1.10
58%
BTTS %
43%
32%
Clean sheet %
29%
58%
Over 2.5 %
24%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
10.5
Avg shots
10.6
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
45.4%
Avg possession
46.1%
Goals Scored
| Jaguares | Home | Away | Llaneros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 89% | 44% | 74% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 42% | 13% | 24% | 41% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 16% | 6% | 8% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 11% | 56% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Jaguares | Home | Away | Llaneros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 68% | 94% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 53% | 69% | 32% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 16% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 32% | 6% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jaguares | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 3% |
| BTTS | 51% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jaguares | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Jaguares (H)W
Deportes Tolima3–2
Deportes Tolima3–2L
Alianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2D
Fortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2D
America de Cali2–2
America de Cali2–2W
Chico1–0
Chico1–0D
Once Caldas1–1
Once Caldas1–1Llaneros (A)LOnce Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1L
Cucuta1–2
Cucuta1–2L
Internacional de Bogota2–3
Internacional de Bogota2–3D
Quindio1–1
Quindio1–1L
Independiente Medellin1–2
Independiente Medellin1–2W
Deportivo Pasto1–0
Deportivo Pasto1–0Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
9.0
325 games
10.2
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Jaguares | Llaneros | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 91% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 84% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 78% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 56% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 41% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 22% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 19% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 13% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Jaguares | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 63% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Jaguares
20%
3
Draws
60%
1
Llaneros
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
20%
Over 2.5
1/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
09/03/26Jaguares
Llaneros
2–0Jaguares24/04/24Llaneros
Jaguares
1–1Llaneros10/04/24Jaguares
Llaneros
2–2Jaguares30/03/23Llaneros
Jaguares
1–0Llaneros15/03/23Jaguares
Llaneros
1–1Jaguares| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Jaguares- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jaguares have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jaguares have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Jaguares have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Jaguares have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Jaguares have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Jaguares have lost 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●71% of Jaguares's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Jaguares's points have been earned at home.
Llaneros- ●Llaneros have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Llaneros have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Llaneros have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Llaneros failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Llaneros failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Llaneros have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
JaguaresWHDeportes Tolima3–2
Deportes Tolima3–2LAÁguilas Doradas0–2
Águilas Doradas0–2LHAlianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2LAIndependiente Medellin1–2
Independiente Medellin1–2DHFortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2DAJunior3–3
Junior3–3–ASanta Fe14/10
Santa Fe14/10–AMillonarios17/10
Millonarios17/10–HLlaneros26/10
Llaneros26/10LlanerosLAOnce Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1LHAmerica de Cali1–2
America de Cali1–2LACucuta1–2
Cucuta1–2WHAtletico Nacional2–0
Atletico Nacional2–0LAInternacional de Bogota2–3
Internacional de Bogota2–3LHDeportes Tolima1–2
Deportes Tolima1–2–HSanta Fe18/10
Santa Fe18/10–HDeportivo Cali21/10
Deportivo Cali21/10–AJaguares26/10
Jaguares26/10Top Scorers
JaguaresA. Renteria7 ⚽
D. Lopez6 ⚽
Andrés Rentería3 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
Darwin Lopez3 ⚽
D. Rodriguez Urango2 ⚽
LlanerosJhon Vasquez9 ⚽
4 ⚽
N. Ospina4 ⚽
L. Miranda3 ⚽
C. Cortes3 ⚽
F. Meza3 ⚽
Cards Given
JaguaresJonathan Lovera9 🟨
Carlos Henao6 🟨
Diego Martínez6 🟨
Johan Hinestroza6 🟨
Andrés Rentería5 🟨
J. Hinestroza4 🟨
LlanerosJhon Vásquez8 🟨
Jhon Vasquez8 🟨
Francisco Meza6 🟨
Luis Miranda5 🟨
J. Escobar Salcedo5 🟨
F. Meza4 🟨