Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar — Primera A
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Independiente Medellin and Alianza Valledupar meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Independiente Medellin have recorded 22 wins from 50 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Alianza Valledupar have won 21% of their 38 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Independiente Medellin and 0.93 for Alianza Valledupar. The models give Independiente Medellin a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Alianza Valledupar win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Independiente Medellin—
Alianza Valledupar11º
Position
17º
1.37
PPG
0.89
37%
Win %
16%
1.37
Goals / game
0.68
1.26
Conceded / game
1.42
68%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
18%
58%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.0
Avg corners
4.3
13.7
Avg shots
11.5
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.1
12.2
Avg fouls
12.1
50.7%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Independiente Medellin
Home (10)
—
Alianza Valledupar
Away (10)
1.40
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
10%
1.50
Goals / game
0.60
1.30
Conceded / game
1.80
64%
BTTS %
44%
28%
Clean sheet %
6%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.0
Avg corners
4.3
13.7
Avg shots
11.5
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.1
50.7%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | Alianza Valledupar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 88% | 80% | 63% | 80% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 52% | 40% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 8% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 12% | 20% | 37% | 20% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | Alianza Valledupar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 72% | 88% | 82% | 70% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 32% | 40% | 37% | 35% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 4% | 8% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 28% | 12% | 18% | 30% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente Medellin | Alianza Valledupar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS | 68% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente Medellin | Alianza Valledupar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 49% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente Medellin (H)L
Santa Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1D
Millonarios2–2
Millonarios2–2W
Jaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1W
Llaneros2–1
Llaneros2–1L
Cucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1W
Deportivo Cali1–0
Deportivo Cali1–0Alianza Valledupar (A)LDeportivo Cali1–3
Deportivo Cali1–3WJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1W
Chico2–1
Chico2–1L
Once Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1L
America de Cali0–3
America de Cali0–3LCucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
42 games
League Avg
9.0
327 games
8.9
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Independiente Medellin | Alianza Valledupar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 72% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 53% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 16% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 9% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 3% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Independiente Medellin | Alianza Valledupar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 74% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 53% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
10
Independiente Medellin
50%
6
Draws
30%
4
Alianza Valledupar
20%
85%
Over 1.5
17/20
45%
Over 2.5
9/20
30%
Over 3.5
6/20
60%
BTTS
12/20
19/04/26Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
0–1Independiente Medellin13/07/25Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
1–1Alianza Valledupar27/01/25Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1–1Independiente Medellin10/10/24Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
2–0Alianza Valledupar24/02/24Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
2–0Independiente Medellin20/08/23Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
2–1Alianza Valledupar27/02/23Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
0–1Independiente Medellin01/10/22Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
3–1Alianza Valledupar11/04/22Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1–1Independiente Medellin26/10/21Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
3–0Independiente Medellin10/04/21Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
2–2Alianza Valledupar19/09/20Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1–0Independiente Medellin21/10/19Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
2–0Alianza Valledupar28/04/19Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1–1Independiente Medellin18/10/18Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
2–0Alianza Valledupar15/04/18Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
2–2Independiente Medellin05/11/17Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
3–1Alianza Valledupar20/05/17Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1–2Independiente Medellin04/10/16Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
3–1Independiente Medellin09/04/16Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
4–2Alianza Valledupar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Independiente Medellin- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Alianza Valledupar- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Independiente MedellinWAAmerica de Cali2–1
America de Cali2–1LHSanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1DHMillonarios2–2
Millonarios2–2LAJunior0–2
Junior0–2WHJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1DABucaramanga2–2
Bucaramanga2–2–HOnce Caldas18/10
Once Caldas18/10–AAtletico Nacional25/10
Atletico Nacional25/10–AInternacional de Bogota29/10
Internacional de Bogota29/10Alianza ValleduparDHÁguilas Doradas2–2
Águilas Doradas2–2LADeportivo Cali1–3
Deportivo Cali1–3WAJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1LHSanta Fe1–4
Santa Fe1–4WAChico2–1
Chico2–1WHJunior1–0
Junior1–0–ADeportivo Pasto20/10
Deportivo Pasto20/10–HInternacional de Bogota24/10
Internacional de Bogota24/10–AOnce Caldas28/10
Once Caldas28/10Top Scorers
Independiente MedellinJ. Montano8 ⚽
F. Fydriszewski6 ⚽
D. Moreno6 ⚽
F. Chaverra4 ⚽
H. Palacios4 ⚽
D. Catano3 ⚽
Alianza ValleduparJ. Munoz5 ⚽
M. Martinez4 ⚽
F. Pardo3 ⚽
Y. Londono2 ⚽
C. Vergara2 ⚽
Edgar Pardo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Independiente MedellinFrancisco Chaverra6 🟨
Yony González6 🟨
Didier Moreno6 🟨
Francisco Fydriszewski5 🟨
Alexis Serna5 🟨
Hayen Palacios5 🟨
Alianza ValleduparJair Castillo11 🟨
Ever Meza9 🟨
Carlos Esparragoza8 🟨
Wiston Fernández7 🟨
Fabián Cantillo5 🟨
Juan Viveros4 🟨