Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios — Primera A
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Deportes Tolima and Millonarios meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Deportes Tolima have recorded 20 wins from 51 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Millonarios have won 37% of their 49 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Deportes Tolima and 1.21 for Millonarios. The models give Deportes Tolima a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Millonarios win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Deportes Tolima—
Millonarios6º
Position
10º
1.63
PPG
1.37
42%
Win %
37%
1.42
Goals / game
1.63
0.89
Conceded / game
1.21
45%
BTTS %
57%
35%
Clean sheet %
31%
43%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.0
Avg corners
5.8
13.2
Avg shots
15.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.9
11.2
Avg fouls
12.1
56.7%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Deportes Tolima
Home (10)
—
Millonarios
Away (9)
2.30
PPG
0.56
70%
Win %
11%
1.90
Goals / game
1.33
0.70
Conceded / game
1.78
42%
BTTS %
71%
42%
Clean sheet %
14%
42%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
5.8
13.2
Avg shots
15.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.9
56.7%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Millonarios | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 73% | 60% | 78% | 76% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 58% | 32% | 41% | 43% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 15% | 0% | 16% | 14% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 27% | 40% | 22% | 24% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Millonarios | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 58% | 72% | 69% | 48% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 8% | 40% | 33% | 19% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 4% | 24% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 42% | 28% | 31% | 52% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportes Tolima | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS | 45% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportes Tolima | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportes Tolima (H)D
Chico0–0
Chico0–0D
America de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1W
Cucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1D
Bucaramanga0–0
Bucaramanga0–0L
Independiente del Valle0–1
Independiente del Valle0–1W
Internacional de Bogota2–1
Internacional de Bogota2–1Millonarios (A)D
Fortaleza FC1–1
Fortaleza FC1–1D
Barranquilla1–1
Barranquilla1–1D
Independiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2D
Atletico Nacional1–1
Atletico Nacional1–1WCucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1D
Deportivo Pereira1–1
Deportivo Pereira1–1Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
48 games
League Avg
9.0
325 games
9.8
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Deportes Tolima | Millonarios | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 85% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 78% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 65% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 48% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 45% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 18% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 10% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportes Tolima | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 52% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 35% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
9
Deportes Tolima
38%
9
Draws
38%
6
Millonarios
25%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
33%
Over 2.5
8/24
17%
Over 3.5
4/24
54%
BTTS
13/24
24/04/26Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
2–0Deportes Tolima17/08/25Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
3–1Millonarios02/03/25Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
2–0Deportes Tolima03/08/24Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–0Deportes Tolima03/02/24Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2–0Millonarios08/08/23Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–0Deportes Tolima30/03/23Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1–1Millonarios23/10/22Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1–0Millonarios09/05/22Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
0–0Deportes Tolima10/12/21Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–1Deportes Tolima05/12/21Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1–1Millonarios07/11/21Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
3–2Millonarios20/06/21Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–2Deportes Tolima18/06/21Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1–1Millonarios04/04/21Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
0–0Deportes Tolima06/10/20Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2–2Millonarios09/10/19Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2–0Millonarios18/04/19Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–2Deportes Tolima28/10/18Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
1–1Deportes Tolima21/04/18Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1–0Millonarios| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Deportes Tolima- ●Deportes Tolima have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
Millonarios- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Millonarios failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Millonarios failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in 16 of their 18 away matches.
- ●74% of Millonarios's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Deportes TolimaLAJaguares2–3
Jaguares2–3DAAtletico Nacional0–0
Atletico Nacional0–0DHChico0–0
Chico0–0DAFortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2DHAmerica de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1LAOnce Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1–AÁguilas Doradas18/10
Águilas Doradas18/10–HDeportivo Pasto26/10
Deportivo Pasto26/10–ADeportivo Pereira03/11
Deportivo Pereira03/11MillonariosDAFortaleza FC1–1
Fortaleza FC1–1DAIndependiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2DAAtletico Nacional1–1
Atletico Nacional1–1WHChico3–0
Chico3–0WACucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1DHDeportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1–HOnce Caldas14/10
Once Caldas14/10–HJaguares17/10
Jaguares17/10–HAmerica de Cali04/11
America de Cali04/11Top Scorers
Deportes TolimaL. Sandoval10 ⚽
J. P. Torres Patino8 ⚽
A. Parra Osorio6 ⚽
K. Florez6 ⚽
J. Gonzalez5 ⚽
E. Valencia5 ⚽
MillonariosL. Castro16 ⚽
R. Contreras16 ⚽
S. Valencia6 ⚽
J. Hurtado4 ⚽
D. Silva4 ⚽
B. D. Castro Espinosa4 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportes TolimaLuis Sandoval12 🟨
Brayan Rovira9 🟨
Juan Torres6 🟨
Daniel Pedrozo5 🟨
Edwar López5 🟨
Anderson Angulo5 🟨
MillonariosRodrigo Ureña13 🟨
Jorge Arias9 🟨
Sebastián Valencia8 🟨
Leonardo Castro6 🟨
A. Llinas5 🟨
Rodrigo Contreras5 🟨