Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin — Primera A
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Fortaleza FC and Independiente Medellin meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Fortaleza FC have recorded 7 wins from 37 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Independiente Medellin have won 44% of their 50 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Fortaleza FC and 1.25 for Independiente Medellin. The models give Fortaleza FC a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Independiente Medellin win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Fortaleza FC—
Independiente Medellin15º
Position
11º
1.16
PPG
1.37
26%
Win %
37%
1.16
Goals / game
1.37
1.42
Conceded / game
1.26
70%
BTTS %
68%
22%
Clean sheet %
20%
49%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.1
Avg corners
5.0
11.7
Avg shots
13.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.8
12.1
Avg fouls
12.2
52.7%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Fortaleza FC
Home (10)
—
Independiente Medellin
Away (9)
1.80
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.40
Goals / game
1.22
1.00
Conceded / game
1.22
79%
BTTS %
72%
21%
Clean sheet %
12%
53%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.1
Avg corners
5.0
11.7
Avg shots
13.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.8
52.7%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Fortaleza FC | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 95% | 61% | 84% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 37% | 28% | 46% | 52% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 5% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 5% | 39% | 16% | 12% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Fortaleza FC | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 79% | 78% | 80% | 72% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 32% | 50% | 36% | 32% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 5% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fortaleza FC | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 12% |
| BTTS | 70% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 49% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fortaleza FC | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Fortaleza FC (H)D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1D
Deportes Tolima2–2
Deportes Tolima2–2L
Junior1–4
Junior1–4L
Once Caldas1–2
Once Caldas1–2L
Atletico Nacional1–2
Atletico Nacional1–2W
Cucuta2–0
Cucuta2–0Independiente Medellin (A)W
America de Cali2–1
America de Cali2–1LJunior0–2
Junior0–2D
Bucaramanga2–2
Bucaramanga2–2L
Chico1–2
Chico1–2W
Deportivo Pasto4–1
Deportivo Pasto4–1W
Deportivo Pereira3–0
Deportivo Pereira3–0Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
9.0
325 games
9.0
Corners / Match
42 games
| Match Corners | Fortaleza FC | Independiente Medellin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 59% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 16% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 24% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 10% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 3% | 7% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fortaleza FC | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 72% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 41% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 41% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 33% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
1
Fortaleza FC
10%
4
Draws
40%
5
Independiente Medellin
50%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
11/05/26Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
1–0Fortaleza FC26/04/26Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
1–0Fortaleza FC17/10/25Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
3–1Fortaleza FC04/09/25Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
2–1Fortaleza FC27/08/25Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
0–0Independiente Medellin27/04/25Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
0–0Independiente Medellin27/08/24Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
2–2Independiente Medellin17/02/24Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
2–2Fortaleza FC15/10/16Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
2–1Independiente Medellin02/05/16Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
3–0Fortaleza FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Fortaleza FC- ●Fortaleza FC have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Independiente Medellin- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Fortaleza FCDHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1DADeportivo Pasto0–0
Deportivo Pasto0–0DHDeportes Tolima2–2
Deportes Tolima2–2LHJunior1–4
Junior1–4DAJaguares2–2
Jaguares2–2DASanta Fe2–2
Santa Fe2–2–AInternacional de Bogota20/10
Internacional de Bogota20/10–HDeportivo Cali25/10
Deportivo Cali25/10–AAmerica de Cali29/10
America de Cali29/10Independiente MedellinWAAmerica de Cali2–1
America de Cali2–1LHSanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1DHMillonarios2–2
Millonarios2–2LAJunior0–2
Junior0–2WHJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1DABucaramanga2–2
Bucaramanga2–2–HOnce Caldas18/10
Once Caldas18/10–AAtletico Nacional25/10
Atletico Nacional25/10–AInternacional de Bogota29/10
Internacional de Bogota29/10Top Scorers
Fortaleza FCA. Arroyo9 ⚽
J. Herrera5 ⚽
R. D. Rivas Torres4 ⚽
J. Salas4 ⚽
T. Wilke3 ⚽
A. Amaya2 ⚽
Independiente MedellinJ. Montano8 ⚽
F. Fydriszewski6 ⚽
D. Moreno6 ⚽
F. Chaverra4 ⚽
H. Palacios4 ⚽
D. Catano3 ⚽
Cards Given
Fortaleza FCKevin Balanta6 🟨
J. Herrera5 🟨
Yesid Díaz5 🟨
Leonardo Pico4 🟨
Joan Cajares4 🟨
Jhon Balanta4 🟨
Independiente MedellinFrancisco Chaverra6 🟨
Yony González6 🟨
Didier Moreno6 🟨
Francisco Fydriszewski5 🟨
Alexis Serna5 🟨
Hayen Palacios5 🟨