Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — Primera A
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Águilas Doradas and Independiente Medellin meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 12 November 2026. Águilas Doradas have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Independiente Medellin have won 42% of their 52 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Águilas Doradas and 1.36 for Independiente Medellin. The models give Águilas Doradas a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Independiente Medellin win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Águilas Doradas—
Independiente Medellin12º
Position
11º
1.37
PPG
1.37
37%
Win %
37%
1.05
Goals / game
1.37
1.32
Conceded / game
1.26
65%
BTTS %
67%
16%
Clean sheet %
19%
49%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
12.0
Avg shots
13.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.8
11.0
Avg fouls
12.3
50.6%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Águilas Doradas
Home (10)
—
Independiente Medellin
Away (9)
1.40
PPG
1.33
40%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
1.22
1.40
Conceded / game
1.22
68%
BTTS %
73%
21%
Clean sheet %
12%
58%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
12.0
Avg shots
13.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.8
50.6%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Águilas Doradas | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 79% | 72% | 83% | 85% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 47% | 33% | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Águilas Doradas | Home | Away | Independiente Medellin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 79% | 89% | 81% | 73% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 37% | 39% | 38% | 35% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Águilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 65% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Águilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Águilas Doradas (H)W
Deportes Tolima2–1
Deportes Tolima2–1W
Jaguares2–0
Jaguares2–0D
Deportivo Pereira2–2
Deportivo Pereira2–2D
Chico2–2
Chico2–2D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1D
Llaneros1–1
Llaneros1–1Independiente Medellin (A)L
Atletico Nacional2–3
Atletico Nacional2–3W
America de Cali2–1
America de Cali2–1L
Junior0–2
Junior0–2D
Bucaramanga2–2
Bucaramanga2–2LChico1–2
Chico1–2W
Deportivo Pasto4–1
Deportivo Pasto4–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
9.0
332 games
8.9
Corners / Match
43 games
| Match Corners | Águilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 77% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 65% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 49% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 37% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 23% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 9% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 7% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Águilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 52% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 48% | 33% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
8
Águilas Doradas
35%
5
Draws
22%
10
Independiente Medellin
43%
74%
Over 1.5
17/23
48%
Over 2.5
11/23
9%
Over 3.5
2/23
48%
BTTS
11/23
03/05/26Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–2Águilas Doradas08/10/25Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
2–1Independiente Medellin30/03/25Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
0–0Águilas Doradas15/09/24Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
1–1Independiente Medellin03/03/24Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–0Águilas Doradas26/08/23Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
1–1Independiente Medellin05/03/23Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
3–0Águilas Doradas23/11/22Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2–1Águilas Doradas13/11/22Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
1–0Independiente Medellin29/08/22Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
3–0Independiente Medellin02/03/22Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
4–0Águilas Doradas17/07/21Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–1Águilas Doradas14/03/21Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
0–2Independiente Medellin10/12/20Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
2–1Independiente Medellin28/01/20Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
2–1Águilas Doradas22/08/19Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–2Águilas Doradas28/02/19Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
0–1Independiente Medellin19/08/18Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–0Águilas Doradas24/02/18Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
2–0Independiente Medellin23/09/17Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
1–2Águilas Doradas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Águilas Doradas- ●Águilas Doradas have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Águilas Doradas failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●62% of Águilas Doradas's goals have been scored at home.
Independiente Medellin- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Medellin have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Águilas DoradasWHDeportes Tolima2–1
Deportes Tolima2–1DABucaramanga1–1
Bucaramanga1–1DAAlianza Valledupar2–2
Alianza Valledupar2–2WHJaguares2–0
Jaguares2–0LADeportivo Cali0–2
Deportivo Cali0–2LAAmerica de Cali0–1
America de Cali0–1–AJunior24/10
Junior24/10–ACucuta27/10
Cucuta27/10–HFortaleza FC02/11
Fortaleza FC02/11Independiente MedellinLHOnce Caldas0–2
Once Caldas0–2WAAmerica de Cali2–1
America de Cali2–1LHSanta Fe0–1
Santa Fe0–1DHMillonarios2–2
Millonarios2–2LAJunior0–2
Junior0–2WHJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1–AAtletico Nacional25/10
Atletico Nacional25/10–AInternacional de Bogota29/10
Internacional de Bogota29/10–HAlianza Valledupar01/11
Alianza Valledupar01/11Top Scorers
Águilas DoradasJ. Rivaldo13 ⚽
J. Varela3 ⚽
Anthony Vásquez3 ⚽
A. Ricaurte3 ⚽
F. Lozano3 ⚽
J. Mena2 ⚽
Independiente MedellinJ. Montano8 ⚽
F. Fydriszewski6 ⚽
D. Moreno6 ⚽
F. Chaverra4 ⚽
H. Palacios4 ⚽
D. Catano3 ⚽
Cards Given
Águilas DoradasFrank Lozano7 🟨
Jaen Pineda5 🟨
John Ontaneda4 🟨
Diego Hernández4 🟨
Hernán Lópes4 🟨
Iván Arboleda3 🟨
Independiente MedellinFrancisco Chaverra6 🟨
Yony González6 🟨
Didier Moreno6 🟨
Hayen Palacios5 🟨
Alexis Serna5 🟨
Francisco Fydriszewski5 🟨