Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — Primera A
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Bucaramanga and Fortaleza FC meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 12 November 2026. Bucaramanga have recorded 12 wins from 39 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Fortaleza FC have won 18% of their 38 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Bucaramanga and 0.89 for Fortaleza FC. The models give Bucaramanga a 62% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Fortaleza FC win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Bucaramanga—
Fortaleza FC13º
Position
15º
1.21
PPG
1.16
26%
Win %
26%
1.37
Goals / game
1.16
1.05
Conceded / game
1.42
59%
BTTS %
71%
28%
Clean sheet %
21%
51%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.6
Avg corners
4.2
12.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.6
11.8
Avg fouls
12.0
47.9%
Avg possession
53.2%
Home vs Away
Bucaramanga
Home (9)
—
Fortaleza FC
Away (9)
1.78
PPG
0.44
44%
Win %
0%
2.11
Goals / game
0.89
0.67
Conceded / game
1.89
61%
BTTS %
63%
39%
Clean sheet %
21%
56%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.6
Avg corners
4.2
12.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.6
47.9%
Avg possession
53.2%
Goals Scored
| Bucaramanga | Home | Away | Fortaleza FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 89% | 62% | 79% | 95% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 56% | 24% | 32% | 37% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 11% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Bucaramanga | Home | Away | Fortaleza FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 61% | 81% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 22% | 52% | 42% | 32% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 39% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bucaramanga | Fortaleza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 59% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 34% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bucaramanga | Fortaleza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Bucaramanga (H)D
America de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1D
Águilas Doradas1–1
Águilas Doradas1–1W
Junior3–1
Junior3–1W
Internacional de Bogota2–0
Internacional de Bogota2–0D
Independiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2D
Cucuta1–1
Cucuta1–1Fortaleza FC (A)LInternacional de Bogota1–2
Internacional de Bogota1–2D
Santa Fe2–2
Santa Fe2–2D
Deportivo Pasto0–0
Deportivo Pasto0–0D
Jaguares2–2
Jaguares2–2DSanta Fe2–2
Santa Fe2–2D
Chico0–0
Chico0–0Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
7.6
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Bucaramanga | Fortaleza FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 61% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 52% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 39% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 24% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 15% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 9% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 3% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bucaramanga | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 30% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
5
Bucaramanga
56%
1
Draws
11%
3
Fortaleza FC
33%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
03/05/26Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
2–1Bucaramanga30/11/25Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
0–2Bucaramanga26/11/25Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
1–2Fortaleza FC27/09/25Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
2–1Bucaramanga14/04/25Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
4–0Fortaleza FC10/11/24Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
1–0Fortaleza FC22/04/24Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
0–2Bucaramanga21/08/16Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1–2Bucaramanga13/03/16Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
0–0Fortaleza FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Bucaramanga- ●Bucaramanga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●63% of Bucaramanga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Fortaleza FC- ●Fortaleza FC have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
BucaramangaLAChico0–1
Chico0–1DHAmerica de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1DHÁguilas Doradas1–1
Águilas Doradas1–1WHJunior3–1
Junior3–1WAOnce Caldas3–1
Once Caldas3–1WHInternacional de Bogota2–0
Internacional de Bogota2–0–ASanta Fe27/10
Santa Fe27/10–HDeportivo Pasto31/10
Deportivo Pasto31/10–HAtletico Nacional03/11
Atletico Nacional03/11Fortaleza FCLAInternacional de Bogota1–2
Internacional de Bogota1–2DHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1DADeportivo Pasto0–0
Deportivo Pasto0–0DHDeportes Tolima2–2
Deportes Tolima2–2LHJunior1–4
Junior1–4DAJaguares2–2
Jaguares2–2–HDeportivo Cali25/10
Deportivo Cali25/10–AAmerica de Cali29/10
America de Cali29/10–AÁguilas Doradas02/11
Águilas Doradas02/11Top Scorers
BucaramangaE. Batalla10 ⚽
L. Pons9 ⚽
F. Sambueza6 ⚽
B. Caicedo5 ⚽
K. Londono4 ⚽
Luciano Pons4 ⚽
Fortaleza FCA. Arroyo9 ⚽
J. Herrera5 ⚽
R. D. Rivas Torres4 ⚽
J. Salas4 ⚽
T. Wilke3 ⚽
A. Amaya2 ⚽
Cards Given
BucaramangaFabián Sambueza8 🟨
Fredy Hinestroza6 🟨
Aldair Gutiérrez6 🟨
F. Hinestroza6 🟨
F. Sambueza5 🟨
Luciano Pons5 🟨
Fortaleza FCKevin Balanta6 🟨
J. Herrera5 🟨
Yesid Díaz5 🟨
L. Pico4 🟨
Joan Cajares4 🟨
Jhon Balanta4 🟨