Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — Primera A
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Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 12 November 2026. Millonarios have recorded 18 wins from 49 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Alianza Valledupar have won 21% of their 38 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Millonarios and 0.75 for Alianza Valledupar. The models give Millonarios a 61% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Alianza Valledupar win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Millonarios—
Alianza Valledupar10º
Position
17º
1.37
PPG
0.89
37%
Win %
16%
1.63
Goals / game
0.68
1.21
Conceded / game
1.42
57%
BTTS %
53%
31%
Clean sheet %
18%
45%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.8
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
11.5
5.8
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.9
Avg yellow cards
3.1
12.1
Avg fouls
12.1
49.1%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Millonarios
Home (10)
—
Alianza Valledupar
Away (10)
2.10
PPG
0.60
60%
Win %
10%
1.90
Goals / game
0.60
0.70
Conceded / game
1.80
38%
BTTS %
44%
52%
Clean sheet %
6%
38%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.8
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
11.5
5.8
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.9
Avg yellow cards
3.1
49.1%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Millonarios | Home | Away | Alianza Valledupar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 76% | 79% | 63% | 80% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 43% | 39% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 24% | 21% | 37% | 20% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Millonarios | Home | Away | Alianza Valledupar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 48% | 86% | 82% | 70% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 19% | 43% | 37% | 35% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 52% | 14% | 18% | 30% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Millonarios | Alianza Valledupar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS | 57% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Millonarios | Alianza Valledupar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 49% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Millonarios (H)W
Chico3–0
Chico3–0D
Deportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1D
Internacional de Bogota0–0
Internacional de Bogota0–0W
Deportivo Pasto2–0
Deportivo Pasto2–0L
Bucaramanga0–1
Bucaramanga0–1L
Colo Colo0–1
Colo Colo0–1Alianza Valledupar (A)LDeportivo Cali1–3
Deportivo Cali1–3W
Jaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1WChico2–1
Chico2–1L
Once Caldas0–1
Once Caldas0–1L
America de Cali0–3
America de Cali0–3L
Cucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
9.0
325 games
8.9
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Millonarios | Alianza Valledupar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 72% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 53% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 16% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 9% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 3% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Millonarios | Alianza Valledupar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 68% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 35% | 53% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
15
Millonarios
56%
6
Draws
22%
6
Alianza Valledupar
22%
78%
Over 1.5
21/27
41%
Over 2.5
11/27
22%
Over 3.5
6/27
48%
BTTS
13/27
03/05/26Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2–2Millonarios13/09/25Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
3–0Millonarios30/03/25Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2–0Alianza Valledupar28/07/24Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2–1Millonarios31/01/24Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
1–1Alianza Valledupar06/10/23Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
1–2Millonarios29/09/23Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2–0Alianza Valledupar29/07/23Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
1–0Millonarios11/05/23Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
3–1Alianza Valledupar30/10/22Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2–4Millonarios14/05/22Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
1–0Alianza Valledupar12/12/21Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
0–1Millonarios03/12/21Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
3–0Alianza Valledupar14/11/21Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
1–1Alianza Valledupar19/08/21Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
1–1Alianza Valledupar05/08/21Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
1–0Millonarios10/03/21Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
0–2Millonarios20/11/20Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2–2Millonarios15/11/20Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
6–1Alianza Valledupar27/09/19Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2–1Alianza Valledupar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Millonarios- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Millonarios have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Millonarios failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Millonarios failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Millonarios have scored in 16 of their 18 away matches.
- ●74% of Millonarios's goals conceded were conceded away.
Alianza Valledupar- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Alianza Valledupar have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
MillonariosDAFortaleza FC1–1
Fortaleza FC1–1DAIndependiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2DAAtletico Nacional1–1
Atletico Nacional1–1WHChico3–0
Chico3–0WACucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1DHDeportivo Cali1–1
Deportivo Cali1–1–HOnce Caldas14/10
Once Caldas14/10–HJaguares17/10
Jaguares17/10–HAmerica de Cali04/11
America de Cali04/11Alianza ValleduparDHÁguilas Doradas2–2
Águilas Doradas2–2LADeportivo Cali1–3
Deportivo Cali1–3WAJaguares2–1
Jaguares2–1LHSanta Fe1–4
Santa Fe1–4WAChico2–1
Chico2–1WHJunior1–0
Junior1–0–ADeportivo Pasto20/10
Deportivo Pasto20/10–HInternacional de Bogota24/10
Internacional de Bogota24/10–AOnce Caldas28/10
Once Caldas28/10Top Scorers
MillonariosL. Castro16 ⚽
R. Contreras16 ⚽
S. Valencia6 ⚽
J. Hurtado4 ⚽
D. Silva4 ⚽
B. D. Castro Espinosa4 ⚽
Alianza ValleduparJ. Munoz5 ⚽
M. Martinez4 ⚽
F. Pardo3 ⚽
Y. Londono2 ⚽
C. Vergara2 ⚽
Edgar Pardo1 ⚽
Cards Given
MillonariosRodrigo Ureña13 🟨
Jorge Arias9 🟨
Sebastián Valencia8 🟨
Leonardo Castro6 🟨
A. Llinas5 🟨
Rodrigo Contreras5 🟨
Alianza ValleduparJair Castillo11 🟨
Ever Meza9 🟨
Carlos Esparragoza8 🟨
Wiston Fernández7 🟨
Fabián Cantillo5 🟨
Juan Viveros4 🟨