Atalanta vs Frosinone — Serie A
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Atalanta and Frosinone meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atalanta have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Frosinone have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Atalanta and 1.28 for Frosinone. The models give Atalanta a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Frosinone win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Atalanta—
Frosinone11º
Position
6º
1.29
PPG
1.86
43%
Win %
57%
1.43
Goals / game
1.86
1.57
Conceded / game
1.29
57%
BTTS %
60%
36%
Clean sheet %
27%
64%
Over 2.5 %
53%
3.9
Avg corners
5.2
13.6
Avg shots
17.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.8
Avg fouls
16.0
50.0%
Avg possession
44.9%
Home vs Away
Atalanta
Home (4)
—
Frosinone
Away (3)
2.25
PPG
1.33
75%
Win %
33%
1.75
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
63%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
5.2
13.6
Avg shots
17.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.0%
Avg possession
44.9%
Goals Scored
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Frosinone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 88% | 83% | 87% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 47% | 55% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 38% | 17% | 27% | 27% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Frosinone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 63% | 67% | 73% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 67% | 33% | 36% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 38% | 33% | 27% | 27% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atalanta | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atalanta | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Atalanta (H)W
Pafos3–1
Pafos3–1W
Venezia3–1
Venezia3–1L
Cagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2W
Bologna1–0
Bologna1–0W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1D
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0Frosinone (A)L
Napoli0–3
Napoli0–3D
Genoa1–1
Genoa1–1DSassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1W
Fiorentina3–0
Fiorentina3–0W
Juve Stabia1–0
Juve Stabia1–0W
Modena2–1
Modena2–1Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
11.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Atalanta | Frosinone | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 89% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 78% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 78% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 44% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 44% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 33% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atalanta | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 67% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Atalanta
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Frosinone
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
15/01/24Frosinone
Atalanta
5–0Frosinone26/08/23Atalanta
Frosinone
2–1Atalanta20/01/19Atalanta
Frosinone
0–5Atalanta20/08/18Frosinone
Atalanta
4–0Frosinone23/01/16Atalanta
Frosinone
0–0Atalanta30/08/15Frosinone
Atalanta
2–0Frosinone| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Atalanta- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
Frosinone- ●Frosinone have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●69% of Frosinone's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Frosinone have scored 77% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Frosinone have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AtalantaLAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2WHBologna1–0
Bologna1–0–HFrosinone25/10
Frosinone25/10–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10–HParma02/11
Parma02/11FrosinoneWHSassuolo4–2
Sassuolo4–2LANapoli0–3
Napoli0–3WHComo2–0
Como2–0DAGenoa1–1
Genoa1–1WHVenezia3–2
Venezia3–2WAFiorentina3–0
Fiorentina3–0–AAtalanta25/10
Atalanta25/10–HLecce29/10
Lecce29/10–HTorino01/11
Torino01/11Top Scorers
AtalantaN. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
Nikola Krstović3 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
N. Zalewski1 ⚽
FrosinoneAntonio Raimondo5 ⚽
G. Kvernadze4 ⚽
G. Calo3 ⚽
A. Raimondo3 ⚽
G. Bracaglia1 ⚽
Alessio Zerbin1 ⚽
Cards Given
AtalantaF. Kessie1 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
Elif Elmas1 🟨
FrosinoneG. Bracaglia4 🟨
R. Schmid2 🟨
A. Raimondo2 🟨
G. Calvani2 🟨
G. Cittadini2 🟨
Anthony Oyono1 🟨