Udinese vs AC Milan — Serie A
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Bluenergy Stadium·Udine·Italy·25,952
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Udinese and AC Milan meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Udinese have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. AC Milan have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Udinese and 1.58 for AC Milan. The models give Udinese a 29% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AC Milan win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Udinese—
AC Milan16º
Position
5º
0.57
PPG
2.14
14%
Win %
57%
1.29
Goals / game
2.00
2.29
Conceded / game
1.00
59%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
21%
53%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.4
Avg corners
3.7
14.4
Avg shots
12.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.8
Avg fouls
10.6
49.1%
Avg possession
56.2%
Home vs Away
Udinese
Home (4)
—
AC Milan
Away (4)
0.25
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.75
Conceded / game
1.25
55%
BTTS %
67%
27%
Clean sheet %
11%
55%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.4
Avg corners
3.7
14.4
Avg shots
12.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
49.1%
Avg possession
56.2%
Goals Scored
| Udinese | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 82% | 67% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 27% | 33% | 57% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 9% | 33% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 18% | 33% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Udinese | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 73% | 100% | 79% | 60% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 45% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 27% | 0% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Udinese | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS | 59% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Udinese | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 6% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 24% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Udinese (H)L
Lecce0–3
Lecce0–3L
Cagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1L
Lazio1–2
Lazio1–2W
Venezia2–1
Venezia2–1D
Como1–1
Como1–1W
Padova1–0
Padova1–0AC Milan (A)L
Bournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3W
Red Bull Salzburg4–0
Red Bull Salzburg4–0D
Sassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1DLazio2–2
Lazio2–2D
Juventus1–1
Juventus1–1W
Torino2–1
Torino2–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
6.9
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Udinese | AC Milan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 40% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 20% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 20% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 10% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Udinese | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 25% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 20% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
9
Udinese
28%
9
Draws
28%
14
AC Milan
44%
75%
Over 1.5
24/32
50%
Over 2.5
16/32
22%
Over 3.5
7/32
63%
BTTS
20/32
11/04/26Udinese
AC Milan
0–3Udinese20/09/25AC Milan
Udinese
0–3AC Milan11/04/25AC Milan
Udinese
0–4AC Milan19/10/24Udinese
AC Milan
1–0Udinese20/01/24AC Milan
Udinese
2–3AC Milan04/11/23Udinese
AC Milan
0–1Udinese18/03/23AC Milan
Udinese
3–1AC Milan13/08/22Udinese
AC Milan
4–2Udinese25/02/22Udinese
AC Milan
1–1Udinese11/12/21AC Milan
Udinese
1–1AC Milan03/03/21Udinese
AC Milan
1–1Udinese01/11/20AC Milan
Udinese
1–2AC Milan19/01/20Udinese
AC Milan
3–2Udinese25/08/19AC Milan
Udinese
1–0AC Milan02/04/19Udinese
AC Milan
1–1Udinese04/11/18AC Milan
Udinese
0–1AC Milan04/02/18AC Milan
Udinese
1–1AC Milan17/09/17Udinese
AC Milan
2–1Udinese29/01/17AC Milan
Udinese
2–1AC Milan11/09/16Udinese
AC Milan
0–1Udinese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Udinese- ●Udinese have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Udinese have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Udinese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Udinese have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Udinese have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Udinese have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Udinese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●78% of Udinese's goals have been scored away.
- ●Udinese have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
AC Milan- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
UdineseLHLecce0–3
Lecce0–3LATorino1–2
Torino1–2LHCagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1LAInter3–5
Inter3–5LHLazio1–2
Lazio1–2WAMonza3–2
Monza3–2–HAC Milan25/10
AC Milan25/10–AParma28/10
Parma28/10–HAS Roma31/10
AS Roma31/10AC MilanWHAtalanta3–2
Atalanta3–2DASassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1WHLecce3–0
Lecce3–0DALazio2–2
Lazio2–2DAJuventus1–1
Juventus1–1WHVenezia2–0
Venezia2–0–AUdinese25/10
Udinese25/10–HBologna28/10
Bologna28/10–HInter31/10
Inter31/10Top Scorers
UdineseK. Davis3 ⚽
Vakoun Bayo2 ⚽
H. Kamara2 ⚽
J. Ekkelenkamp2 ⚽
I. Gueye2 ⚽
J. Piotrowski1 ⚽
AC MilanAlphadjo Cissè4 ⚽
D. Moreira3 ⚽
Adrien Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
F. Camarda2 ⚽
Cards Given
UdineseNicolo Bertola3 🟨
N. Zaniolo2 🟨
J. Karlstrom2 🟨
J. Abankwah1 🟨
Jakub Piotrowski1 🟨
J. Piotrowski1 🟨
AC MilanS. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan3 🟨
Koni De Winter3 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
Gonçalo Ramos1 🟨
C. Pulisic1 🟨