MatchPulse

AC Milan vs Inter — Serie A

← Back
Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 10
AC Milan
AC Milan
5º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 3h
vs
–
–
Inter
Inter
1º · 2.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 0h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

AC Milan and Inter meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 31 October 2026. AC Milan have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Inter have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for AC Milan and 1.54 for Inter. The models give AC Milan a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Inter win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

AC Milan
—
Inter
5º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
2.67
50%
Win %
83%
1.83
Goals / game
3.00
0.83
Conceded / game
1.33
64%
BTTS %
71%
18%
Clean sheet %
29%
55%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.1
Avg corners
6.1
13.1
Avg shots
23.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
7.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.9
Avg fouls
7.8
60.3%
Avg possession
61.5%

Home vs Away

AC Milan
Home (2)
—
Inter
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
50%
2.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
86%
50%
Clean sheet %
14%
25%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
6.1
13.1
Avg shots
23.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
7.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
60.3%
Avg possession
61.5%

Goals Scored

AC MilanHomeAwayInterHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%75%86%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored55%50%57%64%86%43%
Over 2.5 Scored18%25%14%36%71%0%
Failed To Score18%25%14%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

AC MilanHomeAwayInterHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%50%100%71%57%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%25%57%36%43%29%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%0%14%14%29%0%
Clean Sheets18%50%0%29%43%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AC MilanInter
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.5100%86%
Over 2.555%64%
Over 3.527%36%
Over 4.59%29%
BTTS64%71%
BTTS & Win18%36%
BTTS & Draw45%21%
BTTS & Over 2.536%57%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AC MilanInter
Win 1st Half9%29%
Draw 1st Half55%57%
Loss 1st Half36%14%
Scored 1st Half18%57%
Conceded 1st Half45%43%
Win 2nd Half55%57%
Draw 2nd Half27%36%
Loss 2nd Half18%7%
Scored 2nd Half82%79%
Conceded 2nd Half64%43%
Over 0.5 HT55%71%
Over 1.5 HT27%50%

Recent Venue Form

AC Milan (H)
WLecce3–0
LBenfica0–2
WVenezia2–0
DInter1–1
LCagliari1–2
LAtalanta2–3
Inter (A)
DAS Roma2–2
LReal Madrid1–2
WCagliari1–0
WJuventus2–1
DAC Milan1–1
DManchester City1–1

Number of Corners

7.1
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersAC MilanInterLeague Avg
Over 657%63%77%
Over 743%63%63%
Over 814%50%53%
Over 914%50%42%
Over 1014%50%33%
Over 110%38%30%
Over 120%38%23%
Over 130%38%18%

Team Corners

Team CornersAC MilanInter
Corners Earned / Match4.16.1
Corners Against / Match3.03.8
Over 2.5 Corners For57%88%
Over 3.5 Corners For57%63%
Over 4.5 Corners For43%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against57%75%
Over 3.5 Corners Against14%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against14%25%

Head to Head · 43 matches

13
AC Milan
30%
11
Draws
26%
19
Inter
44%
65%
Over 1.5
28/43
47%
Over 2.5
20/43
21%
Over 3.5
9/43
47%
BTTS
20/43
05/08/26
AC Milan
1–1
Inter
08/03/26
AC Milan
1–0
Inter
23/11/25
Inter
0–1
AC Milan
23/04/25
Inter
0–3
AC Milan
02/04/25
AC Milan
1–1
Inter
02/02/25
AC Milan
1–1
Inter
06/01/25
Inter
2–3
AC Milan
22/09/24
Inter
1–2
AC Milan
22/04/24
AC Milan
1–2
Inter
16/09/23
Inter
5–1
AC Milan
16/05/23
Inter
1–0
AC Milan
10/05/23
AC Milan
0–2
Inter
05/02/23
Inter
1–0
AC Milan
18/01/23
AC Milan
0–3
Inter
03/09/22
AC Milan
3–2
Inter
19/04/22
Inter
3–0
AC Milan
01/03/22
AC Milan
0–0
Inter
05/02/22
Inter
1–2
AC Milan
07/11/21
AC Milan
1–1
Inter
21/02/21
AC Milan
0–3
Inter
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Inter6510+1016
2Lazio6510+716
3AS Roma6420+1114
4Cagliari6411+313
5AC Milan6330+612
6Juventus6321+411
7Como6321+311
8Napoli6312+410
9Frosinone6312+210
10Atalanta630309
11Sassuolo622208
12Torino6213-27
13Lecce6204-66
14Bologna6123-25
15Udinese6114-44
16Monza6114-64
17Genoa6114-64
18Parma6114-64
19Fiorentina6114-74
20Venezia6006-110

Team Insights

AC Milan
  • ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●AC Milan have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Inter
  • ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Inter have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Inter have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Inter have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Inter have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●83% of Inter's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Inter's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●75% of Inter's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Inter have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
AC MilanAC Milan
DASassuolo11º1–1
DASassuolo15º1–1
WHLecce13º3–0
WHLecce19º3–0
LHBenfica7º0–2
LHBenfica7º0–2
DALazio2º2–2
DALazio13º2–2
DAJuventus6º1–1
DAJuventus12º1–1
InterInter
LHClub Brugge KV32º3–4
LHClub Brugge KV18º3–4
WHParma18º3–0
WHParma14º3–0
WHLumezzane2–0
DAAS Roma3º2–2
DAAS Roma4º2–2
WHUdinese15º5–3
WHUdinese18º5–3
LAReal Madrid5º1–2

Season Schedule

AC Milan
DASassuolo1–1
WHLecce3–0
DALazio2–2
DAJuventus1–1
WHVenezia2–0
WATorino2–1
–HAtalanta18/10
–AUdinese25/10
–HBologna28/10
Inter
WHParma3–0
DAAS Roma2–2
WHUdinese5–3
WHNapoli3–2
WACagliari1–0
WHMonza4–1
–ABologna17/10
–HFiorentina25/10
–AVenezia28/10

Top Scorers

AC Milan
D. Moreira3 ⚽
F. Camarda2 ⚽
G. Ramos2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
R. Loftus-Cheek1 ⚽
Inter
Lautaro Martínez4 ⚽
A. Diouf3 ⚽
H. Calhanoglu2 ⚽
Carlos Augusto2 ⚽
F. Dimarco2 ⚽
F. Esposito2 ⚽

Cards Given

AC Milan
S. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan2 🟨
Koni De Winter2 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
R. Loftus-Cheek1 🟨
Alphadjo Cissè1 🟨
Inter
Hakan Çalhanoğlu2 🟨
M. Akanji2 🟨
Lautaro Martínez2 🟨
F. Esposito1 🟨
H. Mkhitaryan1 🟨
H. Calhanoglu1 🟨