Atalanta vs Parma — Serie A
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Atalanta and Parma meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Atalanta have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Parma have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 0.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Atalanta and 0.94 for Parma. The models give Atalanta a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Parma win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Atalanta—
Parma10º
Position
18º
1.50
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.33
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
46%
42%
Clean sheet %
15%
58%
Over 2.5 %
23%
3.9
Avg corners
3.6
13.0
Avg shots
8.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.3
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.6
Avg fouls
11.0
48.9%
Avg possession
42.5%
Home vs Away
Atalanta
Home (4)
—
Parma
Away (3)
2.25
PPG
0.00
75%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.33
1.00
Conceded / game
2.33
57%
BTTS %
40%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
57%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.9
Avg corners
3.6
13.0
Avg shots
8.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.3
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
48.9%
Avg possession
42.5%
Goals Scored
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Parma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 80% | 54% | 63% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 20% | 46% | 38% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Parma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 57% | 60% | 85% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 29% | 60% | 38% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 43% | 40% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atalanta | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atalanta | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 73% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Atalanta (H)W
Venezia3–1
Venezia3–1L
Cagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2W
Bologna1–0
Bologna1–0W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1D
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0W
Athletic Club1–0
Athletic Club1–0Parma (A)L
Inter0–3
Inter0–3L
Como1–2
Como1–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2DSassuolo0–0
Sassuolo0–0D
Trento1–1
Trento1–1LComo0–1
Como0–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
9.6
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Atalanta | Parma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 63% | 75% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 25% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atalanta | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 63% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
11
Atalanta
58%
3
Draws
16%
5
Parma
26%
89%
Over 1.5
17/19
74%
Over 2.5
14/19
47%
Over 3.5
9/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
25/01/26Parma
Atalanta
4–0Parma30/08/25Atalanta
Parma
1–1Atalanta25/05/25Parma
Atalanta
2–3Parma23/11/24Atalanta
Parma
1–3Atalanta04/08/24Atalanta
Parma
4–1Atalanta09/05/21Atalanta
Parma
2–5Atalanta06/01/21Parma
Atalanta
3–0Parma28/07/20Atalanta
Parma
1–2Atalanta06/01/20Parma
Atalanta
5–0Parma31/03/19Atalanta
Parma
1–3Atalanta27/10/18Parma
Atalanta
3–0Parma08/03/15Atalanta
Parma
0–0Atalanta19/10/14Parma
Atalanta
1–0Parma16/02/14Parma
Atalanta
0–4Parma25/09/13Atalanta
Parma
4–3Atalanta05/05/13Atalanta
Parma
2–0Atalanta08/12/12Parma
Atalanta
2–1Parma11/03/12Parma
Atalanta
1–1Parma23/10/11Atalanta
Parma
1–2Atalanta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
Atalanta- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●88% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atalanta have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Parma- ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Parma have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Parma have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Parma's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AtalantaWHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2WHBologna1–0
Bologna1–0WHSassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1–AAC Milan18/10
AC Milan18/10–HFrosinone25/10
Frosinone25/10–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10ParmaLAInter0–3
Inter0–3WHGenoa2–1
Genoa2–1LAComo1–2
Como1–2DHMonza1–1
Monza1–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1–HTorino19/10
Torino19/10–ALazio24/10
Lazio24/10–HUdinese28/10
Udinese28/10Top Scorers
AtalantaN. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca3 ⚽
Nikola Krstović2 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
N. Zalewski1 ⚽
Ederson1 ⚽
ParmaD. Romero2 ⚽
S. Lontani2 ⚽
D. Mikolajewski1 ⚽
P. Almqvist1 ⚽
R. Kouda1 ⚽
Simone Lontani1 ⚽
Cards Given
AtalantaElif Elmas1 🟨
F. Kessie1 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
ParmaE. Delprato2 🟨
M. Troilo2 🟨
F. Carboni1 🟨
L. Valenti1 🟨
Mandela Keita1 🟨
A. Konate1 🟨