Lecce vs Genoa — Serie A
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Lecce and Genoa meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Lecce have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Genoa have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Lecce and 1.36 for Genoa. The models give Lecce a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Genoa win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lecce | Home | Away | Genoa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lecce | Home | Away | Genoa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 83% | 50% | 83% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% | 17% | 13% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lecce | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS | 30% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lecce | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Lecce | Genoa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 33% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 17% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lecce | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 17% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 | |
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 | |
| 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
—
- ●Genoa have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Genoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Genoa have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●70% of Genoa's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Genoa have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.

