Sassuolo vs Fiorentina — Serie A
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Sassuolo and Fiorentina meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Sassuolo have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Fiorentina have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Sassuolo and 1.67 for Fiorentina. The models give Sassuolo a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Fiorentina win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sassuolo | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 78% | 80% | 86% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 0% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Sassuolo | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 67% | 100% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 22% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 20% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 33% | 0% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sassuolo | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS | 71% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sassuolo | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Sassuolo | Fiorentina | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 63% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 38% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 13% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 13% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 13% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 13% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Sassuolo have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Sassuolo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sassuolo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●87% of Sassuolo's points have been earned at home.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.