Atalanta vs Inter — Serie A
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Atalanta and Inter meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Atalanta have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Inter have won 71% of their 17 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Atalanta and 1.87 for Inter. The models give Atalanta a 30% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Inter win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Atalanta—
Inter11º
Position
1º
1.25
PPG
2.75
38%
Win %
88%
1.75
Goals / game
2.88
1.88
Conceded / game
1.25
56%
BTTS %
71%
31%
Clean sheet %
29%
63%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.7
Avg corners
6.1
14.5
Avg shots
22.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.3
Avg fouls
8.6
48.8%
Avg possession
60.5%
Home vs Away
Atalanta
Home (5)
—
Inter
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
2.33
60%
Win %
67%
2.20
Goals / game
2.00
1.60
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
88%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.7
Avg corners
6.1
14.5
Avg shots
22.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
48.8%
Avg possession
60.5%
Goals Scored
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 89% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 56% | 29% | 65% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 44% | 14% | 35% | 56% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 11% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 71% | 56% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 71% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 44% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atalanta | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 24% |
| BTTS | 56% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atalanta | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Atalanta (H)D
Frosinone4–4
Frosinone4–4W
Pafos3–1
Pafos3–1W
Venezia3–1
Venezia3–1L
Cagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2W
Bologna1–0
Bologna1–0W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1Inter (A)WBologna3–1
Bologna3–1D
AS Roma2–2
AS Roma2–2L
Real Madrid1–2
Real Madrid1–2WCagliari1–0
Cagliari1–0W
Juventus2–1
Juventus2–1D
AC Milan1–1
AC Milan1–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.4
80 games
9.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Atalanta | Inter | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 73% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 64% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 55% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 27% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 27% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 27% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atalanta | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 18% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
5
Atalanta
16%
11
Draws
34%
16
Inter
50%
75%
Over 1.5
24/32
41%
Over 2.5
13/32
31%
Over 3.5
10/32
53%
BTTS
17/32
14/03/26Atalanta
Inter
1–1Atalanta28/12/25Inter
Atalanta
0–1Inter16/03/25Inter
Atalanta
0–2Inter02/01/25Atalanta
Inter
2–0Atalanta30/08/24Atalanta
Inter
4–0Atalanta28/02/24Atalanta
Inter
4–0Atalanta04/11/23Inter
Atalanta
1–2Inter27/05/23Atalanta
Inter
3–2Atalanta31/01/23Atalanta
Inter
1–0Atalanta13/11/22Inter
Atalanta
2–3Inter16/01/22Inter
Atalanta
0–0Inter25/09/21Atalanta
Inter
2–2Atalanta08/03/21Atalanta
Inter
1–0Atalanta08/11/20Inter
Atalanta
1–1Inter01/08/20Inter
Atalanta
0–2Inter11/01/20Atalanta
Inter
1–1Atalanta07/04/19Atalanta
Inter
0–0Atalanta11/11/18Inter
Atalanta
4–1Inter14/04/18Inter
Atalanta
0–0Inter19/11/17Atalanta
Inter
2–0Atalanta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
Atalanta- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●79% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atalanta have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Inter- ●Inter have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Inter have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inter have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Inter have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inter have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Inter failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●74% of Inter's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Inter's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Inter have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AtalantaDHFrosinone4–4
Frosinone4–4LAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10–HParma02/11
Parma02/11–AMonza08/11
Monza08/11InterWHFiorentina2–1
Fiorentina2–1WABologna3–1
Bologna3–1WHParma3–0
Parma3–0DAAS Roma2–2
AS Roma2–2WHUdinese5–3
Udinese5–3WHNapoli3–2
Napoli3–2–AVenezia28/10
Venezia28/10–AAC Milan31/10
AC Milan31/10–HComo08/11
Como08/11Top Scorers
AtalantaNikola Krstović5 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
N. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
Éderson José dos Santos2 ⚽
InterCarlos Augusto4 ⚽
Marcus Thuram4 ⚽
Lautaro Martínez4 ⚽
A. Diouf3 ⚽
F. Dimarco2 ⚽
Ange-Yoan Bonny2 ⚽
Cards Given
AtalantaÉderson José dos Santos2 🟨
N. Zalewski2 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
InterM. Akanji2 🟨
Marcus Thuram2 🟨
Hakan Çalhanoğlu2 🟨
Lautaro Martínez2 🟨
Alessandro Bastoni2 🟨
H. Calhanoglu1 🟨