Cagliari vs AC Milan — Serie A
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Cagliari and AC Milan meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Cagliari have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 0.79 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. AC Milan have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Cagliari and 1.43 for AC Milan. The models give Cagliari a 29% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an AC Milan win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Cagliari—
AC Milan8º
Position
5º
1.63
PPG
2.14
50%
Win %
57%
0.75
Goals / game
2.00
1.13
Conceded / game
1.00
29%
BTTS %
57%
50%
Clean sheet %
21%
29%
Over 2.5 %
64%
3.7
Avg corners
3.7
10.2
Avg shots
12.1
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.5
Avg fouls
10.6
44.4%
Avg possession
56.2%
Home vs Away
Cagliari
Home (4)
—
AC Milan
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
25%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
13%
Over 2.5 %
78%
3.7
Avg corners
3.7
10.2
Avg shots
12.1
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
44.4%
Avg possession
56.2%
Goals Scored
| Cagliari | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 63% | 67% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 57% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 38% | 33% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Cagliari | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 79% | 60% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cagliari | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 43% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cagliari | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 7% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Cagliari (H)L
Bologna0–2
Bologna0–2D
Juventus1–1
Juventus1–1W
Lecce1–0
Lecce1–0L
Hellas Verona1–2
Hellas Verona1–2L
Inter0–1
Inter0–1W
Arezzo1–0
Arezzo1–0AC Milan (A)L
Bournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3W
Red Bull Salzburg4–0
Red Bull Salzburg4–0D
Sassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1D
Lazio2–2
Lazio2–2DJuventus1–1
Juventus1–1W
Torino2–1
Torino2–1Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
6.9
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Cagliari | AC Milan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 40% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 20% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 20% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 10% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cagliari | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 20% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
2
Cagliari
7%
6
Draws
21%
21
AC Milan
72%
83%
Over 1.5
24/29
55%
Over 2.5
16/29
28%
Over 3.5
8/29
59%
BTTS
17/29
24/05/26Cagliari
AC Milan
1–2Cagliari02/01/26AC Milan
Cagliari
0–1AC Milan11/01/25Cagliari
AC Milan
1–1Cagliari09/11/24AC Milan
Cagliari
3–3AC Milan11/05/24Cagliari
AC Milan
5–1Cagliari02/01/24Cagliari
AC Milan
4–1Cagliari27/09/23AC Milan
Cagliari
1–3AC Milan19/03/22AC Milan
Cagliari
0–1AC Milan29/08/21Cagliari
AC Milan
4–1Cagliari16/05/21Cagliari
AC Milan
0–0Cagliari18/01/21AC Milan
Cagliari
0–2AC Milan01/08/20Cagliari
AC Milan
3–0Cagliari11/01/20AC Milan
Cagliari
0–2AC Milan10/02/19Cagliari
AC Milan
3–0Cagliari16/09/18AC Milan
Cagliari
1–1AC Milan21/01/18AC Milan
Cagliari
1–2AC Milan27/08/17Cagliari
AC Milan
2–1Cagliari28/05/17AC Milan
Cagliari
2–1AC Milan08/01/17Cagliari
AC Milan
1–0Cagliari21/03/15Cagliari
AC Milan
3–1Cagliari| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Cagliari- ●Cagliari have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●69% of Cagliari's points have been earned away.
AC Milan- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
CagliariLHBologna0–2
Bologna0–2LAMonza0–4
Monza0–4DHJuventus1–1
Juventus1–1WAUdinese1–0
Udinese1–0WAAtalanta2–1
Atalanta2–1WHLecce1–0
Lecce1–0–AAS Roma27/10
AS Roma27/10–ALazio01/11
Lazio01/11–HFrosinone07/11
Frosinone07/11AC MilanWHAtalanta3–2
Atalanta3–2DASassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1WHLecce3–0
Lecce3–0DALazio2–2
Lazio2–2DAJuventus1–1
Juventus1–1WHVenezia2–0
Venezia2–0–AUdinese25/10
Udinese25/10–HBologna28/10
Bologna28/10–HInter31/10
Inter31/10Top Scorers
CagliariP. Mendy2 ⚽
Daniel Maldini2 ⚽
D. Maldini2 ⚽
Paul Mendy1 ⚽
A. Deiola1 ⚽
Y. Trepy1 ⚽
AC MilanAlphadjo Cissè4 ⚽
D. Moreira3 ⚽
Adrien Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
F. Camarda2 ⚽
Cards Given
CagliariAlessandro Deiola3 🟨
Alieu Fadera1 🟨
D. Maldini1 🟨
F. Pisacane1 🟨
Fabio Pisacane1 🟨
A. Deiola1 🟨
AC MilanS. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan3 🟨
Koni De Winter3 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
Gonçalo Ramos1 🟨
C. Pulisic1 🟨