Lecce vs Atalanta — Serie A
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Lecce and Atalanta meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Lecce have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Atalanta have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Lecce and 1.58 for Atalanta. The models give Lecce a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atalanta win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Lecce—
Atalanta14º
Position
13º
0.90
PPG
1.10
30%
Win %
30%
1.10
Goals / game
1.60
2.10
Conceded / game
2.00
38%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
28%
56%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.8
Avg corners
4.7
13.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.1
13.3
Avg fouls
10.3
43.0%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Lecce
Home (5)
—
Atalanta
Away (4)
0.60
PPG
0.25
20%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.25
2.40
Conceded / game
2.25
56%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.8
Avg corners
4.7
13.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.1
43.0%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Lecce | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 57% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 14% | 28% | 40% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lecce | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 89% | 57% | 72% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 43% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 11% | 29% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 11% | 43% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lecce | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lecce | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Lecce (H)L
Genoa1–2
Genoa1–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2L
Bologna1–2
Bologna1–2W
Monza3–2
Monza3–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4W
SS Monopoli1–0
SS Monopoli1–0Atalanta (A)D
Fiorentina2–2
Fiorentina2–2L
Ajax0–2
Ajax0–2L
AC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3LJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2W
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.6
100 games
10.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Lecce | Atalanta | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 57% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 43% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 43% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lecce | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 50% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
2
Lecce
17%
2
Draws
17%
8
Atalanta
67%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
06/04/26Atalanta
Lecce
0–3Atalanta14/09/25Lecce
Atalanta
4–1Lecce27/04/25Lecce
Atalanta
1–1Lecce19/08/24Atalanta
Lecce
0–4Atalanta18/05/24Atalanta
Lecce
0–2Atalanta30/12/23Lecce
Atalanta
1–0Lecce19/02/23Lecce
Atalanta
1–2Lecce09/11/22Atalanta
Lecce
2–1Atalanta01/03/20Atalanta
Lecce
2–7Atalanta06/10/19Lecce
Atalanta
3–1Lecce12/02/12Lecce
Atalanta
0–0Lecce21/09/11Atalanta
Lecce
1–2Atalanta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lecce- ●Lecce have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lecce have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Lecce's points have been earned away.
- ●Lecce have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Lecce have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Atalanta- ●Atalanta have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●69% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atalanta have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LecceLHGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2LAFrosinone1–5
Frosinone1–5LHJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2WAUdinese3–0
Udinese3–0LHBologna1–2
Bologna1–2LAAC Milan0–3
AC Milan0–3–ATorino07/11
Torino07/11–ALazio21/11
Lazio21/11–HAtalanta29/11
Atalanta29/11AtalantaLHParma0–3
Parma0–3DAFiorentina2–2
Fiorentina2–2DHFrosinone4–4
Frosinone4–4LAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2–AMonza08/11
Monza08/11–HInter22/11
Inter22/11–ALecce29/11
Lecce29/11Top Scorers
LecceTiago Gabriel2 ⚽
Y. Maleh2 ⚽
L. Coulibaly2 ⚽
P. Esteban2 ⚽
Kialonda Gaspar1 ⚽
H. Laerke1 ⚽
AtalantaNikola Krstović5 ⚽
N. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
Éderson José dos Santos2 ⚽
Cards Given
LecceKialonda Gaspar3 🟨
Jamil Siebert3 🟨
D. Veiga3 🟨
O. Ngom2 🟨
Ivan Ilić2 🟨
K. Gaspar1 🟨
AtalantaRelja Obric2 🟨
Éderson José dos Santos2 🟨
Elif Elmas2 🟨
N. Zalewski2 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨