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AC Milan vs Parma — Serie A

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Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 14
AC Milan
AC Milan
5º · 2.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 21h
vs
–
–
Parma
Parma
15º · 0.80 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 21h
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AC Milan and Parma meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 December 2026. AC Milan have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Parma have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for AC Milan and 1.29 for Parma. The models give AC Milan a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Parma win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

AC Milan
—
Parma
5º
Position
15º
2.10
PPG
0.80
60%
Win %
20%
2.10
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
59%
BTTS %
41%
24%
Clean sheet %
24%
65%
Over 2.5 %
35%
3.5
Avg corners
3.8
11.9
Avg shots
9.7
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.5
Avg fouls
10.8
56.2%
Avg possession
41.3%

Home vs Away

AC Milan
Home (5)
—
Parma
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
0.60
80%
Win %
20%
2.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.80
57%
BTTS %
43%
29%
Clean sheet %
29%
57%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.5
Avg corners
3.8
11.9
Avg shots
9.7
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
56.2%
Avg possession
41.3%

Goals Scored

AC MilanHomeAwayParmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%86%80%53%50%57%
Over 1.5 Scored65%71%60%18%20%14%
Over 2.5 Scored29%43%20%6%0%14%
Failed To Score18%14%20%47%50%43%

Goals Conceded

AC MilanHomeAwayParmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded76%71%80%76%80%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%43%50%41%30%57%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%14%20%12%10%14%
Clean Sheets24%29%20%24%20%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AC MilanParma
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.5100%82%
Over 2.565%35%
Over 3.541%0%
Over 4.518%0%
BTTS59%41%
BTTS & Win24%6%
BTTS & Draw29%24%
BTTS & Over 2.541%18%
BTTS No & Over 2.524%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AC MilanParma
Win 1st Half35%20%
Draw 1st Half35%40%
Loss 1st Half29%40%
Scored 1st Half41%27%
Conceded 1st Half47%47%
Win 2nd Half47%13%
Draw 2nd Half24%60%
Loss 2nd Half29%27%
Scored 2nd Half71%40%
Conceded 2nd Half59%47%
Over 0.5 HT71%67%
Over 1.5 HT47%40%

Recent Venue Form

AC Milan (H)
WInter3–1
LBologna2–4
WAtalanta3–2
WLecce3–0
LBenfica0–2
WVenezia2–0
Parma (A)
WAtalanta3–0
LLazio1–2
LInter0–3
LComo1–2
LJuventus0–2
DSassuolo0–0

Number of Corners

7.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.6
100 games
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersAC MilanParmaLeague Avg
Over 654%83%80%
Over 746%75%68%
Over 831%58%58%
Over 923%42%43%
Over 1015%42%36%
Over 118%33%31%
Over 128%25%24%
Over 138%17%18%

Team Corners

Team CornersAC MilanParma
Corners Earned / Match3.53.8
Corners Against / Match3.96.0
Over 2.5 Corners For54%67%
Over 3.5 Corners For46%42%
Over 4.5 Corners For23%33%
Over 2.5 Corners Against69%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against31%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against31%67%

Head to Head · 20 matches

12
AC Milan
60%
4
Draws
20%
4
Parma
20%
85%
Over 1.5
17/20
70%
Over 2.5
14/20
55%
Over 3.5
11/20
75%
BTTS
15/20
22/02/26
AC Milan
0–1
Parma
08/11/25
Parma
2–2
AC Milan
26/01/25
AC Milan
3–2
Parma
24/08/24
Parma
2–1
AC Milan
10/04/21
Parma
1–3
AC Milan
13/12/20
AC Milan
2–2
Parma
15/07/20
AC Milan
3–1
Parma
01/12/19
Parma
0–1
AC Milan
20/04/19
Parma
1–1
AC Milan
02/12/18
AC Milan
2–1
Parma
01/02/15
AC Milan
3–1
Parma
14/09/14
Parma
4–5
AC Milan
16/03/14
AC Milan
2–4
Parma
27/10/13
Parma
3–2
AC Milan
15/02/13
AC Milan
2–1
Parma
29/09/12
Parma
1–1
AC Milan
17/03/12
Parma
0–2
AC Milan
26/10/11
AC Milan
4–1
Parma
12/02/11
AC Milan
4–0
Parma
02/10/10
Parma
0–1
AC Milan
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lazio10910+1628
2Inter10811+1325
3AS Roma10730+1824
4Como10721+1023
5AC Milan10631+921
6Frosinone10622+1020
7Juventus10523+317
8Napoli10424+414
9Bologna10424+114
10Torino10415-213
11Genoa10415-413
12Cagliari10415-613
13Atalanta10325-411
14Lecce10307-109
15Parma10226-78
16Fiorentina10226-88
17Sassuolo10226-108
18Monza10217-77
19Udinese10127-125
20Venezia10109-143

Team Insights

AC Milan
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●AC Milan failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●62% of AC Milan's goals have been scored at home.
Parma
  • ●Parma have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Parma have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●62% of Parma's goals have been scored away.
AC MilanAC Milan
WHInter2º3–1
WHInter11º3–1
LHBologna9º2–4
LHBologna6º2–4
WAUdinese19º2–0
WAUdinese18º2–0
LABournemouth10º0–3
LABournemouth3º0–3
WHAtalanta13º3–2
WHAtalanta5º3–2
ParmaParma
WAAtalanta13º3–0
WAAtalanta5º3–0
DHUdinese19º0–0
DHUdinese18º0–0
LALazio1º1–2
LALazio13º1–2
LHTorino10º0–3
LHTorino17º0–3
LAInter2º0–3
LAInter11º0–3

Season Schedule

AC Milan
WHInter3–1
LHBologna2–4
WAUdinese2–0
WHAtalanta3–2
DASassuolo1–1
WHLecce3–0
–AGenoa08/11
–HFrosinone22/11
–ACagliari29/11
Parma
WAAtalanta3–0
DHUdinese0–0
LALazio1–2
LHTorino0–3
LAInter0–3
WHGenoa2–1
–HBologna07/11
–HAS Roma21/11
–AFrosinone29/11

Top Scorers

AC Milan
Alphadjo Cissè6 ⚽
D. Moreira3 ⚽
Adrien Rabiot3 ⚽
Christian Pulisic2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
Parma
Simone Lontani3 ⚽
D. Romero2 ⚽
S. Lontani2 ⚽
R. Kouda1 ⚽
P. Almqvist1 ⚽
Giovanni Fabbian1 ⚽

Cards Given

AC Milan
Koni De Winter4 🟨
S. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan3 🟨
Gonçalo Ramos2 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
Filippo Terracciano1 🟨
Parma
E. Delprato2 🟨
M. Troilo2 🟨
D. Drobnic1 🟨
Diego Carlos1 🟨
F. Carboni1 🟨
Alberto Gilardino1 🟨