Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Fiorentina

16º · 0.80 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h

–

Cagliari

12º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 3h

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Fiorentina and Cagliari meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Fiorentina have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Cagliari have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 44%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Fiorentina and 1.52 for Cagliari. The models give Fiorentina a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cagliari win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Fiorentina

—

Cagliari

16º

Position

12º

0.80

PPG

1.30

20%

Win %

40%

1.50

Goals / game

0.90

2.30

Conceded / game

1.50

72%

BTTS %

38%

17%

Clean sheet %

44%

78%

Over 2.5 %

38%

4.7

Avg corners

3.9

15.9

Avg shots

10.8

5.3

Avg shots on target

3.8

2.2

Avg yellow cards

1.6

11.7

Avg fouls

11.8

46.5%

Avg possession

42.4%

Home vs Away

Fiorentina

Home (5)

—

Cagliari

Away (6)

0.40

PPG

1.50

Win %

50%

1.00

Goals / game

1.17

2.20

Conceded / game

1.83

70%

BTTS %

50%

20%

Clean sheet %

38%

70%

Over 2.5 %

63%

4.7

Avg corners

3.9

15.9

Avg shots

10.8

5.3

Avg shots on target

3.8

2.2

Avg yellow cards

1.6

46.5%

Avg possession

42.4%

Goals Scored

	Fiorentina	Home	Away	Cagliari	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	89%	90%	88%	69%	63%	75%
Over 1.5 Scored	44%	40%	50%	19%	0%	38%
Over 2.5 Scored	28%	30%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	11%	10%	13%	31%	38%	25%

Goals Conceded

	Fiorentina	Home	Away	Cagliari	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	83%	80%	88%	56%	50%	63%
Over 1.5 Conceded	61%	40%	88%	38%	25%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	22%	20%	25%	13%	0%	25%
Clean Sheets	17%	20%	13%	44%	50%	38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Fiorentina	Cagliari
Over 0.5	100%	88%
Over 1.5	89%	50%
Over 2.5	78%	38%
Over 3.5	50%	19%
Over 4.5	28%	6%
BTTS	72%	38%
BTTS & Win	22%	6%
BTTS & Draw	22%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	61%	31%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	17%	6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Fiorentina	Cagliari
Win 1st Half	33%	19%
Draw 1st Half	22%	56%
Loss 1st Half	44%	25%
Scored 1st Half	56%	38%
Conceded 1st Half	56%	38%
Win 2nd Half	50%	25%
Draw 2nd Half	17%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	31%
Scored 2nd Half	67%	44%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	44%
Over 0.5 HT	83%	56%
Over 1.5 HT	44%	19%

Recent Venue Form

Fiorentina (H)

Atalanta2–2

Como1–3

Napoli1–1

Pisa3–0

Torino1–2

Frosinone0–3

Cagliari (A)

Lazio1–2

AS Roma2–4

Monza0–4

Udinese1–0

Atalanta2–1

Parma1–0

Number of Corners

8.4

Corners / Match

12 games

League Avg

9.6

100 games

9.2

Corners / Match

12 games

Match Corners	Fiorentina	Cagliari	League Avg
Over 6	75%	75%	80%
Over 7	58%	58%	68%
Over 8	42%	50%	58%
Over 9	25%	42%	43%
Over 10	17%	33%	36%
Over 11	17%	33%	31%
Over 12	17%	25%	24%
Over 13	8%	25%	18%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Fiorentina	Cagliari
Corners Earned / Match	4.7	3.9
Corners Against / Match	3.8	5.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	92%	50%
Over 3.5 Corners For	58%	42%
Over 4.5 Corners For	25%	42%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	67%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	58%	58%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	58%	50%

Head to Head · 28 matches

Fiorentina

46%

Draws

29%

Cagliari

25%

61%

Over 1.5

17/28

46%

Over 2.5

13/28

21%

Over 3.5

6/28

50%

BTTS

14/28

24/01/26

Fiorentina

1–2

Cagliari

24/08/25

Cagliari

1–1

Fiorentina

23/04/25

Cagliari

1–2

Fiorentina

08/12/24

Fiorentina

1–0

Cagliari

23/05/24

Cagliari

2–3

Fiorentina

02/10/23

Fiorentina

3–0

Cagliari

23/01/22

Cagliari

1–1

Fiorentina

24/10/21

Fiorentina

3–0

Cagliari

12/05/21

Cagliari

0–0

Fiorentina

10/01/21

Fiorentina

1–0

Cagliari

08/07/20

Fiorentina

0–0

Cagliari

10/11/19

Cagliari

5–2

Fiorentina

15/03/19

Cagliari

2–1

Fiorentina

21/10/18

Fiorentina

1–1

Cagliari

13/05/18

Fiorentina

0–1

Cagliari

22/12/17

Cagliari

0–1

Fiorentina

12/03/17

Fiorentina

1–0

Cagliari

23/10/16

Cagliari

3–5

Fiorentina

26/04/15

Fiorentina

1–3

Cagliari

30/11/14

Cagliari

0–4

Fiorentina

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	-12	5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Team Insights

Fiorentina

●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●67% of Fiorentina's goals have been scored away.
●75% of Fiorentina's points have been earned away.

Cagliari

●Cagliari have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
●Cagliari have lost their last 4 matches.
●Cagliari failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●Cagliari have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Cagliari have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Cagliari have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Cagliari have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
●Cagliari have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
●78% of Cagliari's goals have been scored away.
●73% of Cagliari's goals conceded were conceded away.
●69% of Cagliari's points have been earned away.
●Cagliari have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Fiorentina

WASassuolo17º4–2

WASassuolo15º4–2

DHAtalanta13º2–2

DHAtalanta5º2–2

LAInter2º1–2

LAInter11º1–2

LHComo4º1–3

LHComo8º1–3

LAGenoa11º1–2

LAGenoa10º1–2

Cagliari

LALazio1º1–2

LALazio13º1–2

LAAS Roma3º2–4

LAAS Roma4º2–4

LHBologna9º0–2

LHBologna6º0–2

LAMonza18º0–4

LAMonza2º0–4

DHJuventus7º1–1

DHJuventus12º1–1

Season Schedule

Fiorentina

Sassuolo4–2

Atalanta2–2

Inter1–2

Como1–3

Genoa1–2

Napoli1–1

–H

Juventus08/11

–A

Monza23/11

–A

Udinese29/11

Cagliari

Lazio1–2

AS Roma2–4

Bologna0–2

Monza0–4

Juventus1–1

Udinese1–0

–H

Frosinone07/11

–A

Como21/11

–H

AC Milan29/11

Top Scorers

Fiorentina

F. Mastantuono3 ⚽

R. Piccoli3 ⚽

Mateo Pellegrino3 ⚽

M. Kean2 ⚽

C. Ndour2 ⚽

Alieu Njie2 ⚽

Cagliari

Daniel Maldini3 ⚽

M'Bala Nzola2 ⚽

P. Mendy2 ⚽

D. Maldini2 ⚽

A. Deiola1 ⚽

Y. Trepy1 ⚽

Cards Given

Fiorentina

Viery3 🟨

N. Fagioli2 🟨

A. Gudmundsson2 🟨

Franco Mastantuono2 🟨

L. Ranieri2 🟨

Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera2 🟨

Cagliari

Alessandro Deiola3 🟨

Juan Rodriguez3 🟨

Adam Obert2 🟨

F. Pisacane1 🟨

D. Maldini1 🟨

Alieu Fadera1 🟨

Fiorentina vs Cagliari — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 28 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given