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Napoli vs Lecce — Serie A

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Napoli
Napoli
8º · 1.40 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 21h
vs
–
–
Lecce
Lecce
14º · 0.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Napoli and Lecce meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Napoli have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Lecce have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Napoli and 1.31 for Lecce. The models give Napoli a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Lecce win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Napoli
—
Lecce
8º
Position
14º
1.40
PPG
0.90
40%
Win %
30%
1.70
Goals / game
1.10
1.30
Conceded / game
2.10
61%
BTTS %
38%
22%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.8
Avg shots
13.2
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
9.1
Avg fouls
13.3
50.3%
Avg possession
43.0%

Home vs Away

Napoli
Home (4)
—
Lecce
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
1.20
50%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.25
Conceded / game
1.80
64%
BTTS %
14%
27%
Clean sheet %
43%
64%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.8
Avg shots
13.2
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
50.3%
Avg possession
43.0%

Goals Scored

NapoliHomeAwayLecceHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%91%71%63%67%57%
Over 1.5 Scored50%55%43%31%33%29%
Over 2.5 Scored28%36%14%19%22%14%
Failed To Score17%9%29%38%33%43%

Goals Conceded

NapoliHomeAwayLecceHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%73%86%75%89%57%
Over 1.5 Conceded44%45%43%63%78%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded28%27%29%19%11%29%
Clean Sheets22%27%14%25%11%43%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

NapoliLecce
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.583%75%
Over 2.556%56%
Over 3.539%31%
Over 4.528%19%
BTTS61%38%
BTTS & Win22%13%
BTTS & Draw17%6%
BTTS & Over 2.550%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

NapoliLecce
Win 1st Half44%25%
Draw 1st Half39%19%
Loss 1st Half17%56%
Scored 1st Half61%31%
Conceded 1st Half33%69%
Win 2nd Half28%31%
Draw 2nd Half22%38%
Loss 2nd Half50%31%
Scored 2nd Half56%44%
Conceded 2nd Half67%50%
Over 0.5 HT67%81%
Over 1.5 HT39%50%

Recent Venue Form

Napoli (H)
DAS Roma3–3
WBodo/Glimt4–3
WFrosinone3–0
WBologna1–0
LArsenal0–1
LComo1–2
Lecce (A)
LFrosinone1–5
WUdinese3–0
LAC Milan0–3
LCagliari0–1
WVenezia2–0
LPalermo0–2

Number of Corners

9.8
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.6
100 games
8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersNapoliLecceLeague Avg
Over 685%73%80%
Over 769%73%68%
Over 862%55%58%
Over 946%45%43%
Over 1031%27%36%
Over 1131%27%31%
Over 1223%18%24%
Over 1315%0%18%

Team Corners

Team CornersNapoliLecce
Corners Earned / Match4.44.8
Corners Against / Match5.43.9
Over 2.5 Corners For62%91%
Over 3.5 Corners For54%64%
Over 4.5 Corners For38%45%
Over 2.5 Corners Against77%64%
Over 3.5 Corners Against77%36%
Over 4.5 Corners Against46%36%

Head to Head · 14 matches

10
Napoli
71%
2
Draws
14%
2
Lecce
14%
64%
Over 1.5
9/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
14/03/26
Napoli
2–1
Lecce
28/10/25
Lecce
0–1
Napoli
03/05/25
Lecce
0–1
Napoli
26/10/24
Napoli
1–0
Lecce
26/05/24
Napoli
0–0
Lecce
30/09/23
Lecce
0–4
Napoli
07/04/23
Lecce
1–2
Napoli
31/08/22
Napoli
1–1
Lecce
09/02/20
Napoli
2–3
Lecce
22/09/19
Lecce
1–4
Napoli
25/04/12
Lecce
0–2
Napoli
03/12/11
Napoli
4–2
Lecce
08/05/11
Lecce
2–1
Napoli
19/12/10
Napoli
1–0
Lecce
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lazio10910+1628
2Inter10811+1325
3AS Roma10730+1824
4Como10721+1023
5AC Milan10631+921
6Frosinone10622+1020
7Juventus10523+317
8Napoli10424+414
9Bologna10424+114
10Torino10415-213
11Genoa10415-413
12Cagliari10415-613
13Atalanta10325-411
14Lecce10307-109
15Parma10226-78
16Fiorentina10226-88
17Sassuolo10226-108
18Monza10217-77
19Udinese10127-125
20Venezia10109-143

Team Insights

Napoli
  • ●Napoli have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Napoli have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Napoli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Napoli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Lecce
  • ●Lecce have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lecce have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lecce have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lecce have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lecce have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●67% of Lecce's points have been earned away.
  • ●Lecce have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Lecce have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
LAJuventus7º0–2
LAJuventus12º0–2
WAMonza18º4–1
WAMonza2º4–1
DHAS Roma3º3–3
DHAS Roma4º3–3
WHBodo/Glimt23º4–3
WHBodo/Glimt28º4–3
LAVenezia20º0–1
LAVenezia20º0–1
LHGenoa11º1–2
LHGenoa10º1–2
LAFrosinone6º1–5
LAFrosinone9º1–5
LHJuventus7º0–2
LHJuventus12º0–2
WAUdinese19º3–0
WAUdinese18º3–0
LHBologna9º1–2
LHBologna6º1–2

Season Schedule

Napoli
LAJuventus0–2
WAMonza4–1
DHAS Roma3–3
LAVenezia0–1
WHFrosinone3–0
DAFiorentina1–1
–HLazio08/11
–HTorino21/11
–ASassuolo29/11
Lecce
LHGenoa1–2
LAFrosinone1–5
LHJuventus0–2
WAUdinese3–0
LHBologna1–2
LAAC Milan0–3
–ATorino07/11
–ALazio21/11
–HAtalanta29/11

Top Scorers

Napoli
Scott McTominay4 ⚽
Matteo Politano3 ⚽
K. De Bruyne3 ⚽
Kevin De Bruyne3 ⚽
L. Lucca3 ⚽
M. Politano2 ⚽
Lecce
Tiago Gabriel2 ⚽
Y. Maleh2 ⚽
L. Coulibaly2 ⚽
P. Esteban2 ⚽
Kialonda Gaspar1 ⚽
H. Laerke1 ⚽

Cards Given

Napoli
Rafael Marin Zamora3 🟨
Luca Marianucci2 🟨
G. Di Lorenzo2 🟨
Giovanni Di Lorenzo2 🟨
Frank Anguissa1 🟨
Benoît Badiashile1 🟨
Lecce
Kialonda Gaspar3 🟨
Jamil Siebert3 🟨
D. Veiga3 🟨
O. Ngom2 🟨
Ivan Ilić2 🟨
K. Gaspar1 🟨