Parma vs Fiorentina — Serie A
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Stadio Ennio Tardini·Parma·Italy·22,885
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Parma and Fiorentina meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Parma have recorded 3 wins from 17 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.76 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Fiorentina have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Parma and 1.75 for Fiorentina. The models give Parma a 34% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Fiorentina win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Parma—
Fiorentina15º
Position
16º
0.80
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
0.80
Goals / game
1.50
1.50
Conceded / game
2.30
41%
BTTS %
72%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
35%
Over 2.5 %
78%
3.8
Avg corners
4.7
9.7
Avg shots
15.9
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.8
Avg fouls
11.7
41.3%
Avg possession
46.5%
Home vs Away
Parma
Home (5)
—
Fiorentina
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
20%
Win %
40%
0.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.40
40%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
20%
Over 2.5 %
88%
3.8
Avg corners
4.7
9.7
Avg shots
15.9
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
41.3%
Avg possession
46.5%
Goals Scored
| Parma | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 50% | 57% | 89% | 90% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 14% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 14% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 50% | 43% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Parma | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 80% | 71% | 83% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 30% | 57% | 61% | 40% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 20% | 29% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Parma | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 28% |
| BTTS | 41% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Parma | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Parma (H)D
Udinese0–0
Udinese0–0L
Torino0–3
Torino0–3W
Genoa2–1
Genoa2–1D
Monza1–1
Monza1–1L
Cremonese0–2
Cremonese0–2L
Cagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1Fiorentina (A)W
Sassuolo4–2
Sassuolo4–2L
Inter1–2
Inter1–2LGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2W
Venezia4–2
Venezia4–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4D
Real Madrid2–2
Real Madrid2–2Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
100 games
8.4
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Parma | Fiorentina | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 58% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 42% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 17% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 17% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 17% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 8% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Parma | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 58% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
4
Parma
18%
13
Draws
59%
5
Fiorentina
23%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
36%
Over 2.5
8/22
23%
Over 3.5
5/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
08/03/26Parma
Fiorentina
0–0Parma27/12/25Fiorentina
Parma
1–0Fiorentina13/04/25Parma
Fiorentina
0–0Parma17/08/24Fiorentina
Parma
1–1Fiorentina06/12/23Parma
Fiorentina
2–2Parma20/07/23Parma
Fiorentina
1–1Parma07/03/21Parma
Fiorentina
3–3Parma07/11/20Fiorentina
Parma
0–0Fiorentina05/07/20Fiorentina
Parma
1–2Fiorentina03/11/19Parma
Fiorentina
1–1Parma19/05/19Fiorentina
Parma
1–0Fiorentina26/12/18Parma
Fiorentina
0–1Parma18/05/15Parma
Fiorentina
3–0Parma06/01/15Fiorentina
Parma
1–0Fiorentina24/02/14Fiorentina
Parma
2–2Fiorentina30/09/13Parma
Fiorentina
2–2Parma03/02/13Parma
Fiorentina
2–0Parma22/09/12Fiorentina
Parma
1–1Fiorentina07/03/12Fiorentina
Parma
2–2Fiorentina21/09/11Parma
Fiorentina
3–0Parma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Parma- ●Parma have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Parma have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Parma's goals have been scored away.
Fiorentina- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Fiorentina's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Fiorentina's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ParmaWAAtalanta3–0
Atalanta3–0DHUdinese0–0
Udinese0–0LALazio1–2
Lazio1–2LHTorino0–3
Torino0–3LAInter0–3
Inter0–3WHGenoa2–1
Genoa2–1–HBologna07/11
Bologna07/11–HAS Roma21/11
AS Roma21/11–AFrosinone29/11
Frosinone29/11FiorentinaWASassuolo4–2
Sassuolo4–2DHAtalanta2–2
Atalanta2–2LAInter1–2
Inter1–2LHComo1–3
Como1–3LAGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2DHNapoli1–1
Napoli1–1–HJuventus08/11
Juventus08/11–AMonza23/11
Monza23/11–AUdinese29/11
Udinese29/11Top Scorers
ParmaSimone Lontani3 ⚽
D. Romero2 ⚽
S. Lontani2 ⚽
R. Kouda1 ⚽
P. Almqvist1 ⚽
Giovanni Fabbian1 ⚽
FiorentinaF. Mastantuono3 ⚽
R. Piccoli3 ⚽
Mateo Pellegrino3 ⚽
M. Kean2 ⚽
C. Ndour2 ⚽
Alieu Njie2 ⚽
Cards Given
ParmaE. Delprato2 🟨
M. Troilo2 🟨
D. Drobnic1 🟨
Diego Carlos1 🟨
F. Carboni1 🟨
Alberto Gilardino1 🟨
FiorentinaViery3 🟨
N. Fagioli2 🟨
A. Gudmundsson2 🟨
Franco Mastantuono2 🟨
L. Ranieri2 🟨
Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera2 🟨