Tigres UANL vs Leon — Liga MX
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Tigres UANL and Leon meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Tigres UANL have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Leon have won 65% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Tigres UANL and 1.30 for Leon. The models give Tigres UANL a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leon win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Tigres UANL—
Leon16º
Position
14º
0.33
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
2.67
Conceded / game
1.33
57%
BTTS %
53%
38%
Clean sheet %
35%
38%
Over 2.5 %
53%
6.2
Avg corners
4.7
15.6
Avg shots
13.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.6
Avg fouls
12.3
52.7%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Tigres UANL
Home (1)
—
Leon
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
63%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
30%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.2
Avg corners
4.7
15.6
Avg shots
13.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.7%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Tigres UANL | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 90% | 64% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 9% | 53% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 10% | 36% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Tigres UANL | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 60% | 64% | 65% | 44% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 10% | 45% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 36% | 18% | 22% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 36% | 35% | 56% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tigres UANL | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS | 57% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tigres UANL | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Tigres UANL (H)D
Necaxa1–1
Necaxa1–1W
Atlante FC2–0
Atlante FC2–0D
Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
Vancouver Whitecaps1–1D
Minnesota United FC0–0
Minnesota United FC0–0D
Real Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1D
Atletico San Luis2–2
Atletico San Luis2–2Leon (A)L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3L
Toluca0–2
Toluca0–2DAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1WNecaxa2–1
Necaxa2–1W
Inter Miami3–2
Inter Miami3–2W
Orlando City SC2–1
Orlando City SC2–1Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
19 games
League Avg
10.8
63 games
10.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Tigres UANL | Leon | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 100% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 91% | 71% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 45% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 37% | 27% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 27% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 9% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tigres UANL | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 84% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 64% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
12
Tigres UANL
41%
9
Draws
31%
8
Leon
28%
69%
Over 1.5
20/29
48%
Over 2.5
14/29
21%
Over 3.5
6/29
55%
BTTS
16/29
01/02/26Tigres UANL
Leon
1–2Tigres UANL14/09/25Leon
Tigres UANL
0–0Leon23/02/25Tigres UANL
Leon
1–0Tigres UANL28/09/24Leon
Tigres UANL
2–2Leon18/01/24Tigres UANL
Leon
1–2Tigres UANL16/07/23Leon
Tigres UANL
1–0Leon04/05/23Tigres UANL
Leon
3–1Tigres UANL01/05/23Tigres UANL
Leon
3–0Tigres UANL26/04/23Leon
Tigres UANL
2–1Leon11/09/22Leon
Tigres UANL
0–1Leon12/03/22Tigres UANL
Leon
0–3Tigres UANL05/12/21Tigres UANL
Leon
2–1Tigres UANL02/12/21Leon
Tigres UANL
2–1Leon12/09/21Leon
Tigres UANL
2–2Leon10/01/21Leon
Tigres UANL
2–0Leon10/09/20Tigres UANL
Leon
1–1Tigres UANL01/09/19Leon
Tigres UANL
1–1Leon27/05/19Tigres UANL
Leon
0–0Tigres UANL24/05/19Leon
Tigres UANL
1–0Leon06/01/19Tigres UANL
Leon
2–2Tigres UANL| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 | Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Puebla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -19 | 0 |
Team Insights
Tigres UANL- ●Tigres UANL have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Tigres UANL have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tigres UANL have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●73% of Tigres UANL's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tigres UANL have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Leon- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leon have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leon have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of Leon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Leon's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Tigres UANLDAMonterrey0–0
Monterrey0–0DHNecaxa1–1
Necaxa1–1DASantos Laguna0–0
Santos Laguna0–0WHAtlante FC2–0
Atlante FC2–0LAAtlas1–2
Atlas1–2LAClub Queretaro2–3
Club Queretaro2–3–AFC Juarez19/09
FC Juarez19/09–HPuebla27/09
Puebla27/09–HToluca10/10
Toluca10/10LeonWHAtletico San Luis2–0
Atletico San Luis2–0LAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3DAAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1WHMonterrey2–0
Monterrey2–0WANecaxa2–1
Necaxa2–1WHCF Pachuca1–0
CF Pachuca1–0–AClub Queretaro21/09
Club Queretaro21/09–HFC Juarez28/09
FC Juarez28/09–APuebla10/10
Puebla10/10Top Scorers
Tigres UANLR. Aguirre8 ⚽
J. Brunetta8 ⚽
F. Gorriaran5 ⚽
O. Herrera5 ⚽
Joaquim4 ⚽
A. Correa2 ⚽
LeonD. Arcila7 ⚽
D. Cambindo3 ⚽
Diber Cambindo3 ⚽
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco2 ⚽
J. Cortizo2 ⚽
S. Vegas1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tigres UANLFernando Gorriarán4 🟨
F. Gorriaran4 🟨
J. Garza3 🟨
Diego Lainez3 🟨
D. Lainez3 🟨
Nahuel Guzmán3 🟨
LeonJ. Romana5 🟨
S. Vegas4 🟨
D. Arcila3 🟨
J. Guevara3 🟨
B. Colula3 🟨
R. Echeverria3 🟨