Puebla vs Monterrey — Liga MX
← BackUnlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Puebla and Monterrey meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 22 October 2026. Puebla have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Monterrey have won 48% of their 21 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Puebla and 1.49 for Monterrey. The models give Puebla a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Monterrey win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Puebla | Home | Away | Monterrey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 75% | 80% | 86% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 40% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Puebla | Home | Away | Monterrey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 80% | 81% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 25% | 80% | 38% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 0% | 50% | 10% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Puebla | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 19% |
| BTTS | 64% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Puebla | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Puebla | Monterrey | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 82% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 76% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 59% | 71% |
| Over 9 | 82% | 47% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 73% | 29% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 29% | 35% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 24% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Puebla | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 82% | 41% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -19 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Puebla have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Puebla's points have been earned away.
- ●Puebla have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Monterrey have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●77% of Monterrey's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Monterrey have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.

