Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas — Liga MX
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Monterrey and Guadalajara Chivas meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Monterrey have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Guadalajara Chivas have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Monterrey and 1.39 for Guadalajara Chivas. The models give Monterrey a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Guadalajara Chivas win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Monterrey | Home | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 90% | 83% | 73% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 10% | 17% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Monterrey | Home | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 70% | 83% | 53% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 30% | 17% | 47% | 40% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS | 68% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 70% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 30% | 35% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 30% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 65% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 30% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Monterrey have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Monterrey have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●79% of Monterrey's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Monterrey's points have been earned at home.
- ●Monterrey have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.