Atlas vs Puebla — Liga MX
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Estadio Jalisco·Guadalajara·Mexico·56,713
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Atlas and Puebla meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atlas have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Puebla have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Atlas and 1.43 for Puebla. The models give Atlas a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Puebla win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Atlas—
Puebla9º
Position
11º
2.00
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
67%
22%
Clean sheet %
13%
44%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.5
Avg corners
5.0
10.9
Avg shots
12.2
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.7
Avg fouls
10.4
51.8%
Avg possession
42.8%
Home vs Away
Atlas
Home (1)
—
Puebla
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
55%
BTTS %
60%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
36%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.5
Avg corners
5.0
10.9
Avg shots
12.2
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.8%
Avg possession
42.8%
Goals Scored
| Atlas | Home | Away | Puebla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 55% | 86% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 18% | 57% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 9% | 14% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 45% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlas | Home | Away | Puebla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 82% | 71% | 87% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 36% | 57% | 60% | 20% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 18% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 18% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlas (H)D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1D
Atlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1L
Club Queretaro1–3
Club Queretaro1–3W
Tigres UANL2–1
Tigres UANL2–1L
Monterrey0–2
Monterrey0–2LPuebla3–4
Puebla3–4Puebla (A)W
Necaxa1–0
Necaxa1–0L
Club America0–2
Club America0–2W
CF Pachuca3–2
CF Pachuca3–2L
San Diego2–3
San Diego2–3L
Austin0–3
Austin0–3L
Portland Timbers2–5
Portland Timbers2–5Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.8
68 games
11.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Atlas | Puebla | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 92% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 92% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 83% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 75% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 42% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 17% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlas | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 83% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
11
Atlas
48%
4
Draws
17%
8
Puebla
35%
61%
Over 1.5
14/23
43%
Over 2.5
10/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
52%
BTTS
12/23
10/07/26Puebla
Atlas
3–4Puebla10/01/26Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla12/07/25Atlas
Puebla
2–3Atlas15/02/25Puebla
Atlas
3–2Puebla20/07/24Atlas
Puebla
1–2Atlas09/03/24Atlas
Puebla
2–2Atlas29/09/23Puebla
Atlas
2–3Puebla18/03/23Atlas
Puebla
0–4Atlas21/08/22Puebla
Atlas
1–1Puebla12/02/22Atlas
Puebla
1–1Atlas29/09/21Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla15/05/21Atlas
Puebla
1–0Atlas13/05/21Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla13/03/21Atlas
Puebla
0–1Atlas31/10/20Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla18/01/20Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla19/10/19Atlas
Puebla
0–1Atlas09/02/19Puebla
Atlas
1–2Puebla22/08/18Atlas
Puebla
2–0Atlas10/03/18Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Team Insights
Atlas- ●Atlas have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atlas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atlas failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Atlas's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Atlas's points have been earned away.
Puebla- ●Puebla have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Puebla's points have been earned away.
- ●Puebla have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AtlasDHU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1LAToluca2–5
Toluca2–5DHAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1LHClub Queretaro1–3
Club Queretaro1–3WACruz Azul2–0
Cruz Azul2–0WHTigres UANL2–1
Tigres UANL2–1–AClub Tijuana26/09
Club Tijuana26/09–HGuadalajara Chivas11/10
Guadalajara Chivas11/10–ANecaxa17/10
Necaxa17/10PueblaDHAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1LHToluca0–1
Toluca0–1WANecaxa1–0
Necaxa1–0LAClub America0–2
Club America0–2WHSantos Laguna3–2
Santos Laguna3–2WACF Pachuca3–2
CF Pachuca3–2–ATigres UANL27/09
Tigres UANL27/09–HLeon10/10
Leon10/10–AClub Tijuana17/10
Club Tijuana17/10Top Scorers
AtlasE. Zaldivar2 ⚽
Luís André Leite Esteves2 ⚽
F. Monzon2 ⚽
Florián Monzón1 ⚽
J. San Martin1 ⚽
J. Serrato1 ⚽
PueblaE. Mustre5 ⚽
E. Gomez2 ⚽
K. Velasco2 ⚽
Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges2 ⚽
F. Monarrez1 ⚽
F. Almada1 ⚽
Cards Given
AtlasM. Capasso4 🟨
V. H. Rios De Alba3 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
L. Esteves2 🟨
P. Ramirez2 🟨
Duk1 🟨
PueblaS. Sanabria3 🟨
Fernando Monarrez2 🟨
Alonso Ramirez1 🟨
Eduardo Mustre1 🟨
Carlos Baltazar1 🟨
A. Leyva1 🟨