Cruz Azul vs Leon — Liga MX
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Cruz Azul and Leon meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Cruz Azul have recorded 12 wins from 26 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Leon have won 57% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Cruz Azul and 1.36 for Leon. The models give Cruz Azul a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leon win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cruz Azul | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 92% | 69% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 54% | 54% | 48% | 64% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 31% | 54% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 8% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Cruz Azul | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 69% | 85% | 67% | 45% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 62% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 18% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 31% | 15% | 33% | 55% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cruz Azul | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 19% |
| BTTS | 62% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cruz Azul | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Cruz Azul | Leon | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 95% | 93% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 95% | 93% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 67% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 32% | 40% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 27% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 20% | 36% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 7% | 26% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cruz Azul | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 95% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 95% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 74% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 37% | 60% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Cruz Azul have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cruz Azul have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cruz Azul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cruz Azul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cruz Azul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leon have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Leon have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Leon's goals conceded were conceded away.