Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas — Liga MX
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Leon and Guadalajara Chivas meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Leon have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Guadalajara Chivas have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Leon and 1.40 for Guadalajara Chivas. The models give Leon a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Guadalajara Chivas win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Leon—
Guadalajara Chivas14º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
0.67
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
39%
33%
Clean sheet %
44%
48%
Over 2.5 %
28%
4.4
Avg corners
8.5
13.7
Avg shots
15.8
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
12.1
Avg fouls
11.3
48.1%
Avg possession
60.9%
Home vs Away
Leon
Home (2)
—
Guadalajara Chivas
Away (1)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
45%
BTTS %
55%
55%
Clean sheet %
45%
55%
Over 2.5 %
27%
4.4
Avg corners
8.5
13.7
Avg shots
15.8
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
48.1%
Avg possession
60.9%
Goals Scored
| Leon | Home | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 91% | 80% | 72% | 57% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 64% | 30% | 33% | 43% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 27% | 10% | 17% | 29% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 9% | 20% | 28% | 43% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Leon | Home | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 45% | 90% | 56% | 57% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 36% | 30% | 22% | 43% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 55% | 10% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leon | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 6% |
| BTTS | 57% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leon | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Leon (H)W
FC Juarez2–1
FC Juarez2–1W
Atletico San Luis2–0
Atletico San Luis2–0W
Club America1–0
Club America1–0W
Real Salt Lake3–0
Real Salt Lake3–0W
Monterrey2–0
Monterrey2–0W
CF Pachuca1–0
CF Pachuca1–0Guadalajara Chivas (A)D
Atlas1–1
Atlas1–1DClub America2–2
Club America2–2WAtletico San Luis3–0
Atletico San Luis3–0DCF Pachuca1–1
CF Pachuca1–1W
Santos Laguna1–0
Santos Laguna1–0W
Seattle Sounders2–1
Seattle Sounders2–1Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.9
92 games
12.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Leon | Guadalajara Chivas | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 92% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 85% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 77% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 77% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 54% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 46% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 38% | 26% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leon | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 8.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 38% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
8
Leon
35%
5
Draws
22%
10
Guadalajara Chivas
43%
78%
Over 1.5
18/23
39%
Over 2.5
9/23
13%
Over 3.5
3/23
43%
BTTS
10/23
19/03/26Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
5–0Leon20/07/25Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
1–0Guadalajara Chivas29/01/25Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
2–1Guadalajara Chivas19/09/24Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
2–0Leon09/03/24Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1–2Leon09/09/23Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
2–0Leon04/07/23Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
1–2Guadalajara Chivas16/04/23Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
0–2Guadalajara Chivas21/07/22Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0–0Leon20/02/22Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
2–1Guadalajara Chivas19/08/21Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0–3Leon09/02/21Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
1–3Guadalajara Chivas06/12/20Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
1–0Guadalajara Chivas03/12/20Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1–1Leon26/07/20Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0–0Leon01/03/20Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
2–0Leon18/08/19Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
4–3Guadalajara Chivas28/04/19Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
2–1Leon11/11/18Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
0–1Guadalajara Chivas29/04/18Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0–2Leon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Leon- ●Leon have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Leon have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Leon's goals conceded were conceded away.
Guadalajara Chivas- ●Guadalajara Chivas have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Guadalajara Chivas have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
LeonDAPuebla1–1
Puebla1–1WHFC Juarez2–1
FC Juarez2–1DAClub Queretaro1–1
Club Queretaro1–1WHAtletico San Luis2–0
Atletico San Luis2–0LAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–3DAAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1–HClub America18/10
Club America18/10–ATigres UANL21/10
Tigres UANL21/10–HToluca24/10
Toluca24/10Guadalajara ChivasDAAtlas1–1
Atlas1–1LHClub Queretaro0–2
Club Queretaro0–2DAClub America2–2
Club America2–2WHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–0WAAtletico San Luis3–0
Atletico San Luis3–0DACF Pachuca1–1
CF Pachuca1–1–HTigres UANL17/10
Tigres UANL17/10–HNecaxa21/10
Necaxa21/10–AMonterrey25/10
Monterrey25/10Top Scorers
LeonD. Arcila7 ⚽
D. Cambindo5 ⚽
J. Cortizo2 ⚽
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco2 ⚽
Jose Alvarado2 ⚽
A. Alvarado1 ⚽
Guadalajara ChivasR. Alvarado6 ⚽
R. Marin4 ⚽
Bryan Gonzalez2 ⚽
L. Rey2 ⚽
S. Sandoval2 ⚽
Santiago Sandoval2 ⚽
Cards Given
LeonJ. Romana5 🟨
S. Vegas4 🟨
D. Arcila3 🟨
J. Guevara3 🟨
B. Colula3 🟨
Juan Guevara3 🟨
Guadalajara ChivasKevin Castañeda2 🟨
Daniel Aguirre2 🟨
Diego Campillo1 🟨
F. Gonzalez1 🟨
Fernando González1 🟨
E. Alvarez1 🟨