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CF Pachuca vs Toluca — Liga MX

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Mexico · Liga MX · Apertura - 17
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 22h
vs
–
–
Toluca
Toluca
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 22h
Estadio Hidalgo·Pachuca de Soto·Mexico·30,000
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CF Pachuca and Toluca meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 21 November 2026. CF Pachuca have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Toluca have won 52% of their 29 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for CF Pachuca and 1.63 for Toluca. The models give CF Pachuca a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Toluca win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

CF Pachuca
—
Toluca
13º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
38%
63%
Over 2.5 %
66%
5.4
Avg corners
5.7
15.7
Avg shots
18.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
6.8
3.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
14.5
Avg fouls
12.6
47.9%
Avg possession
59.0%

Home vs Away

CF Pachuca
Home (1)
—
Toluca
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
2.00
Conceded / game
0.00
100%
BTTS %
58%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
83%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.4
Avg corners
5.7
15.7
Avg shots
18.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
6.8
3.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
47.9%
Avg possession
59.0%

Goals Scored

CF PachucaHomeAwayTolucaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%100%80%90%94%83%
Over 1.5 Scored44%67%30%66%71%58%
Over 2.5 Scored25%33%20%38%47%25%
Failed To Score13%0%20%10%6%17%

Goals Conceded

CF PachucaHomeAwayTolucaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%100%60%62%59%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded44%67%30%38%29%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded19%33%10%21%12%33%
Clean Sheets25%0%40%38%41%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CF PachucaToluca
Over 0.5100%97%
Over 1.581%86%
Over 2.563%66%
Over 3.531%45%
Over 4.513%24%
BTTS63%55%
BTTS & Win6%17%
BTTS & Draw25%14%
BTTS & Over 2.550%48%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CF PachucaToluca
Win 1st Half20%46%
Draw 1st Half20%43%
Loss 1st Half60%11%
Scored 1st Half40%57%
Conceded 1st Half60%29%
Win 2nd Half53%50%
Draw 2nd Half33%25%
Loss 2nd Half13%25%
Scored 2nd Half67%79%
Conceded 2nd Half33%50%
Over 0.5 HT80%64%
Over 1.5 HT53%36%

Recent Venue Form

CF Pachuca (H)
DNecaxa3–3
DClub Tijuana2–2
DGuadalajara Chivas1–1
LPuebla2–3
LClub Queretaro1–2
WPuebla3–1
Toluca (A)
LTigres UANL2–3
LMonterrey1–2
DCruz Azul3–3
WPuebla1–0
WClub Queretaro2–1
DAtlante FC0–0

Number of Corners

9.4
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
11.0
101 games
10.5
Corners / Match
23 games
Match CornersCF PachucaTolucaLeague Avg
Over 679%83%87%
Over 771%78%84%
Over 864%74%74%
Over 957%57%67%
Over 1036%52%52%
Over 1121%35%43%
Over 1221%35%37%
Over 1314%22%28%

Team Corners

Team CornersCF PachucaToluca
Corners Earned / Match5.45.7
Corners Against / Match4.04.7
Over 2.5 Corners For93%91%
Over 3.5 Corners For79%83%
Over 4.5 Corners For64%70%
Over 2.5 Corners Against71%65%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%57%
Over 4.5 Corners Against36%48%

Head to Head · 25 matches

8
CF Pachuca
32%
7
Draws
28%
10
Toluca
40%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
68%
Over 2.5
17/25
48%
Over 3.5
12/25
64%
BTTS
16/25
10/05/26
CF Pachuca
2–0
Toluca
04/05/26
Toluca
0–1
CF Pachuca
22/03/26
CF Pachuca
1–1
Toluca
27/10/25
Toluca
2–2
CF Pachuca
29/03/25
Toluca
3–2
CF Pachuca
18/09/24
CF Pachuca
2–2
Toluca
31/03/24
CF Pachuca
2–3
Toluca
03/09/23
Toluca
5–0
CF Pachuca
20/02/23
CF Pachuca
1–2
Toluca
31/10/22
CF Pachuca
3–1
Toluca
28/10/22
Toluca
1–5
CF Pachuca
28/08/22
Toluca
1–4
CF Pachuca
13/03/22
Toluca
0–3
CF Pachuca
14/09/21
CF Pachuca
1–2
Toluca
14/03/21
Toluca
0–2
CF Pachuca
25/09/20
CF Pachuca
0–0
Toluca
19/02/20
Toluca
5–1
CF Pachuca
13/02/20
CF Pachuca
2–2
Toluca
27/10/19
Toluca
2–0
CF Pachuca
31/03/19
CF Pachuca
3–2
Toluca
Liga MX
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Club America11731+1324
2Toluca12633+1021
3Atlas12633+121
4Guadalajara Chivas12552+720
5Cruz Azul12624+620
6Club Queretaro11623+220
7Leon12534+118
8Monterrey11524+317
9Santos Laguna12516+116
10Club Tijuana11443+116
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas12444-116
12Puebla12444-116
13Tigres UANL12354-214
14CF Pachuca12345+313
15Atletico San Luis12345-513
16Atlante FC12255-611
17Necaxa12237-109
18FC Juarez121110-234

Team Insights

CF Pachuca
  • ●CF Pachuca have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●69% of CF Pachuca's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●77% of CF Pachuca's points have been earned away.
  • ●CF Pachuca have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Toluca
  • ●Toluca have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Toluca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Toluca have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●62% of Toluca's goals have been scored at home.
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
LAMonterrey5º1–2
LAMonterrey8º1–2
DHNecaxa8º3–3
DHNecaxa17º3–3
LASantos Laguna17º0–1
LASantos Laguna9º0–1
DHClub Tijuana2º2–2
DHClub Tijuana10º2–2
WAAtlante FC10º3–0
WAAtlante FC16º3–0
TolucaToluca
DHAtletico San Luis15º1–1
DHAtletico San Luis15º1–1
LATigres UANL16º2–3
LATigres UANL13º2–3
LAMonterrey1–2
DACruz Azul6º3–3
DACruz Azul5º3–3
LHSantos Laguna17º2–3
LHSantos Laguna9º2–3
WAPuebla11º1–0

Season Schedule

CF Pachuca
LAMonterrey1–2
DHNecaxa3–3
LASantos Laguna0–1
DHClub Tijuana2–2
WAAtlante FC3–0
WAFC Juarez2–0
–HCruz Azul22/10
–AClub America26/10
–HTigres UANL31/10
Toluca
DHAtletico San Luis1–1
LATigres UANL2–3
DACruz Azul3–3
LHSantos Laguna2–3
WAPuebla1–0
WHAtlas5–2
–HClub Tijuana22/10
–ALeon24/10
–AClub America01/11

Top Scorers

CF Pachuca
S. Rondon9 ⚽
Salomón Rondón4 ⚽
Alan Bautista1 ⚽
C. Moreno1 ⚽
E. Montiel1 ⚽
A. Alcaraz1 ⚽
Toluca
Paulinho8 ⚽
Helinho7 ⚽
F. Vinas5 ⚽
J. Gallardo5 ⚽
A. Vega4 ⚽
Alexis Vega3 ⚽

Cards Given

CF Pachuca
S. D. Barreto7 🟨
Eduardo Bauermann3 🟨
C. Sanchez3 🟨
Carlos Sánchez3 🟨
C. Moreno3 🟨
F. Venegas3 🟨
Toluca
Diego Barbosa4 🟨
N. Castro3 🟨
Bruno Mendez3 🟨
Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich3 🟨
Franco Romero3 🟨
Everardo López2 🟨