Santos Laguna vs Leon — Liga MX
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Santos Laguna and Leon meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Santos Laguna have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Leon have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Santos Laguna and 1.25 for Leon. The models give Santos Laguna a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Leon win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Santos Laguna | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 43% | 73% | 86% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 29% | 64% | 50% | 67% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 14% | 9% | 23% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 57% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Santos Laguna | Home | Away | Leon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 57% | 82% | 68% | 50% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 55% | 36% | 42% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 36% | 18% | 25% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 43% | 18% | 32% | 50% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santos Laguna | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS | 39% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santos Laguna | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Santos Laguna | Leon | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 94% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 94% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 87% | 81% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 38% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 47% | 19% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 6% | 28% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santos Laguna | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 56% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 21 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Santos Laguna have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Santos Laguna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Santos Laguna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Santos Laguna have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●81% of Santos Laguna's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Leon have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Leon's goals have been scored at home.