Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna — First League
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Dunav Ruse and Spartak Varna meet in the First League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Dunav Ruse have recorded 4 wins from 22 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Spartak Varna have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Dunav Ruse and 1.55 for Spartak Varna. The models give Dunav Ruse a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Spartak Varna win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Dunav Ruse | Home | Away | Spartak Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 63% | 86% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 25% | 36% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 21% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 38% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Dunav Ruse | Home | Away | Spartak Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 86% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 75% | 57% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 14% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dunav Ruse | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 73% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dunav Ruse | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 62% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Dunav Ruse | Spartak Varna | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 100% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 100% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 75% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 75% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 75% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 50% | 25% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dunav Ruse | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 8.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Dunav Ruse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunav Ruse have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Dunav Ruse's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Dunav Ruse's points have been earned away.
- ●Spartak Varna have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spartak Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.