Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali — First League
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Spartak Varna and Arda Kardzhali meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Spartak Varna have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Arda Kardzhali have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Spartak Varna and 1.33 for Arda Kardzhali. The models give Spartak Varna a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arda Kardzhali win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Spartak Varna—
Arda Kardzhali7º
Position
6º
1.18
PPG
1.55
27%
Win %
45%
1.00
Goals / game
1.36
1.36
Conceded / game
1.55
45%
BTTS %
48%
30%
Clean sheet %
35%
40%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.8
Avg corners
3.5
10.5
Avg shots
10.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.0%
Avg possession
45.8%
Home vs Away
Spartak Varna
Home (6)
—
Arda Kardzhali
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.17
17%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
21%
30%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.8
Avg corners
3.5
10.5
Avg shots
10.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
46.0%
Avg possession
45.8%
Goals Scored
| Spartak Varna | Home | Away | Arda Kardzhali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 70% | 60% | 78% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 30% | 40% | 39% | 56% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 10% | 30% | 9% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 30% | 40% | 22% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Spartak Varna | Home | Away | Arda Kardzhali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 65% | 44% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 30% | 35% | 11% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 35% | 56% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Spartak Varna | Arda Kardzhali | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 45% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Spartak Varna | Arda Kardzhali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Spartak Varna (H)L
Lokomotiv Sofia0–1
Lokomotiv Sofia0–1D
CSKA Sofia1–1
CSKA Sofia1–1D
Ludogorets1–1
Ludogorets1–1L
Septemvri Sofia0–1
Septemvri Sofia0–1W
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0D
CSKA 19482–2
CSKA 19482–2Arda Kardzhali (A)W
Spartak Plovdiv2–1
Spartak Plovdiv2–1LLudogorets0–5
Ludogorets0–5LLokomotiv Plovdiv0–2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2LCSKA Sofia1–4
CSKA Sofia1–4WLokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
Dunav Ruse2–0
Dunav Ruse2–0Number of Corners
12.0
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.3
29 games
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Spartak Varna | Arda Kardzhali | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 50% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 0% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 0% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 75% | 0% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Spartak Varna | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 25% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Spartak Varna
29%
1
Draws
14%
4
Arda Kardzhali
57%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
27/02/26Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
1–0Spartak Varna13/09/25Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
3–0Arda Kardzhali07/02/25Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2–2Spartak Varna16/08/24Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1–0Arda Kardzhali06/03/23Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2–0Spartak Varna20/08/22Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1–3Arda Kardzhali04/11/20Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1–2Arda Kardzhali| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Spartak Varna- ●Spartak Varna have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spartak Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Arda Kardzhali- ●Arda Kardzhali have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Arda Kardzhali's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Spartak VarnaWABotev Vratsa1–0
Botev Vratsa1–0LHLokomotiv Sofia0–1
Lokomotiv Sofia0–1DASlavia Sofia0–0
Slavia Sofia0–0DHCSKA Sofia1–1
CSKA Sofia1–1DHLudogorets1–1
Ludogorets1–1LALevski Sofia0–6
Levski Sofia0–6–ADunav Ruse24/10
Dunav Ruse24/10–HArda Kardzhali31/10
Arda Kardzhali31/10–ACSKA 194807/11
CSKA 194807/11Arda KardzhaliLALudogorets0–5
Ludogorets0–5DHCherno More Varna1–1
Cherno More Varna1–1LACSKA Sofia1–4
CSKA Sofia1–4LHBotev Plovdiv2–3
Botev Plovdiv2–3WHBotev Vratsa2–0
Botev Vratsa2–0WALokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0–HLevski Sofia24/10
Levski Sofia24/10–ASpartak Varna31/10
Spartak Varna31/10–HSeptemvri Sofia07/11
Septemvri Sofia07/11Top Scorers
Spartak VarnaG. Stojanovski5 ⚽
O. M. Chidera2 ⚽
Bua2 ⚽
G. Trifonov2 ⚽
Boubacar Hanne2 ⚽
P. Prindze2 ⚽
Arda KardzhaliB. Karagaren5 ⚽
Antonio Vutov3 ⚽
S. Ivanov3 ⚽
S. Kovachev2 ⚽
A. Kabov2 ⚽
Birsent Karagaren1 ⚽
Cards Given
Spartak VarnaAngel Granchov3 🟨
A. Granchov3 🟨
V. Oliveira2 🟨
D. Yordanov1 🟨
D. Valverde1 🟨
Boubacar Hanne1 🟨
Arda KardzhaliVyacheslav Velev4 🟨
3 🟨
B. Karagaren2 🟨
Antonio Vutov1 🟨
D. Idowu1 🟨
Atanas Kabov1 🟨