Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets — First League
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Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.73 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 13%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Ludogorets have won 61% of their 18 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.61 for Ludogorets. The models give Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 30% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ludogorets win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv—
Ludogorets11º
Position
2º
0.67
PPG
2.56
22%
Win %
78%
0.44
Goals / game
1.78
1.33
Conceded / game
0.78
20%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
22%
13%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
7.5
Avg shots
15.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.5%
Avg possession
55.5%
Home vs Away
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Home (4)
—
Ludogorets
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
13%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
7.5
Avg shots
15.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
50.5%
Avg possession
55.5%
Goals Scored
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | Ludogorets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 75% | 29% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 67% | 70% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 25% | 71% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | Ludogorets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 71% | 78% | 70% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 13% | 43% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 13% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 20% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (H)W
Cherno More Varna1–0
Cherno More Varna1–0L
Arda Kardzhali0–1
Arda Kardzhali0–1L
Dunav Ruse1–2
Dunav Ruse1–2W
Septemvri Sofia2–1
Septemvri Sofia2–1WArda Kardzhali2–0
Arda Kardzhali2–0W
Botev Plovdiv2–1
Botev Plovdiv2–1Ludogorets (A)W
Lokomotiv Sofia2–1
Lokomotiv Sofia2–1D
Spartak Varna1–1
Spartak Varna1–1WCherno More Varna3–2
Cherno More Varna3–2WDunav Ruse2–0
Dunav Ruse2–0L
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2LSeptemvri Sofia0–1
Septemvri Sofia0–1Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
10.3
15 games
9.5
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
19%
5
Draws
19%
16
Ludogorets
62%
65%
Over 1.5
17/26
46%
Over 2.5
12/26
23%
Over 3.5
6/26
50%
BTTS
13/26
18/07/26Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv29/05/26Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv02/03/26Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–1Lokomotiv Plovdiv14/09/25Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1Ludogorets30/03/25Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0Ludogorets06/10/24Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv22/05/24Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
3–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv30/03/24Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2Ludogorets06/12/23Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
4–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv27/09/23Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–1Lokomotiv Plovdiv26/06/23Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
3–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv15/05/23Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv08/11/22Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–3Ludogorets15/07/22Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
2–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv07/11/21Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv25/07/21Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–3Ludogorets08/05/21Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1–2Lokomotiv Plovdiv16/03/21Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
2–1Lokomotiv Plovdiv20/02/21Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3–2Ludogorets12/09/20Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
3–1Lokomotiv Plovdiv| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 |  CSKA Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +15 | 20 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Lokomotiv Plovdiv- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ludogorets- ●Ludogorets have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ludogorets have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ludogorets have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lokomotiv PlovdivLABotev Plovdiv0–2
Botev Plovdiv0–2WHCherno More Varna1–0
Cherno More Varna1–0LACSKA 19480–2
CSKA 19480–2LHArda Kardzhali0–1
Arda Kardzhali0–1LHDunav Ruse1–2
Dunav Ruse1–2LALevski Sofia0–2
Levski Sofia0–2–HCSKA Sofia19/09
CSKA Sofia19/09–ALokomotiv Sofia10/10
Lokomotiv Sofia10/10–HSlavia Sofia24/10
Slavia Sofia24/10LudogoretsWHSeptemvri Sofia2–1
Septemvri Sofia2–1WALokomotiv Sofia2–1
Lokomotiv Sofia2–1DASpartak Varna1–1
Spartak Varna1–1DHSlavia Sofia1–1
Slavia Sofia1–1WHBotev Plovdiv2–0
Botev Plovdiv2–0WACherno More Varna3–2
Cherno More Varna3–2–ALevski Sofia19/09
Levski Sofia19/09–HArda Kardzhali10/10
Arda Kardzhali10/10–ACSKA Sofia24/10
CSKA Sofia24/10Top Scorers
Lokomotiv PlovdivA. Velev2 ⚽
C. Itu2 ⚽
C. Longville1 ⚽
E. Ali1 ⚽
J. Lamy1 ⚽
P. Umarbaev1 ⚽
LudogoretsB. Tekpetey7 ⚽
A. Salido Tajero5 ⚽
Rwan Cruz5 ⚽
Ivajlo Čočev3 ⚽
Erick Marcus3 ⚽
I. Chochev2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lokomotiv PlovdivLucas Ryan3 🟨
P. Umarbaev3 🟨
I. Ivanov3 🟨
J. Lamy2 🟨
C. Longville2 🟨
E. Ali2 🟨
LudogoretsE. Rodriguez3 🟨
Rwan Cruz3 🟨
I. Nachmias2 🟨
E. Kurtulus2 🟨
I. Chochev2 🟨
A. Nedyalkov2 🟨