Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv — First League
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Septemvri Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv meet in the First League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Septemvri Sofia have recorded 6 wins from 20 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 13%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.16 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The models give Septemvri Sofia a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 69% | 71% | 56% | 78% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 38% | 0% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 31% | 29% | 44% | 22% | 71% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 77% | 71% | 63% | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 62% | 43% | 25% | 11% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 46% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 23% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Sofia | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Sofia | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Septemvri Sofia | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 0% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Septemvri Sofia | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 0% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 23 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 23 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 22 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 | |
| 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 14 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Septemvri Sofia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●100% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.